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Squawka / News / Real Sociedad vs Mallorca: Predictions, Stats, Tips & Odds

Real Sociedad vs Mallorca: Predictions, Stats, Tips & Odds

Real Sociedad welcome Mallorca to the Reale Arena on Sunday, with both sides desperate for their first win of the LaLiga season. The 8:30pm kick-off on Wednesday comes as each team languishes near the foot of the table, but the hosts are buoyed by a dominant head-to-head record, having won seven of their last ten meetings. Find our match preview below.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on recent form, head-to-head history, and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in a home win, as Real Sociedad have dominated this fixture and created far more chances than Mallorca so far.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Real Sociedad to Win4/5 @ Bet365
(55.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Sociedad have won 7 of last 10 v Mallorca; create more big chances.
Both Teams To Score – No3/4 @ Bet365
(57.1%)
⭐⭐⭐Just 10 goals between the teams in 10 H2Hs; both struggle for firepower.

Our approach: Start with Sociedad to win, add Under 2.5 Goals for Bet Builder value.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Both sides have endured a miserable start, sitting in the relegation zone with just two points apiece from five matches. Neither has claimed a win, and defensive frailty has been a shared theme.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Real Sociedad18502359-42
Mallorca195023510-52

Potential Match-Winners

  • Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): Averaging 0.8 goals per game, he has netted 4 times from just 1.72 expected goals. His shot accuracy is a remarkable 77.8%, making him LaLiga’s most clinical striker in the early weeks.
  • Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad): While yet to ignite, Oyarzabal remains Sociedad’s focal point in attack, regularly leading the team for touches in the opposition box and shot attempts.
  • Take Kubo (Real Sociedad): A key creative force, Kubo has averaged 2.6 key passes per match and is central to Sociedad’s high tally of 65 chances created this season.

Head-to-Head: Last 10 Meetings

Real Sociedad have dominated recent encounters, winning seven of the last ten against Mallorca, who have managed just two wins in this period. The Basques have outscored their rivals 12–5 in these fixtures, keeping things tight at both ends.

Most Recent Results

DateScoreCompetition
12/04/25Real Sociedad 0-2 MallorcaLaLiga
17/09/24Mallorca 1-0 Real SociedadLaLiga
18/02/24Mallorca 1-2 Real SociedadLaLiga
21/10/23Real Sociedad 1-0 MallorcaLaLiga
12/03/23Mallorca 1-1 Real SociedadLaLiga
19/10/22Real Sociedad 1-0 MallorcaLaLiga
02/03/22Mallorca 0-2 Real SociedadLaLiga
16/10/21Real Sociedad 1-0 MallorcaLaLiga
26/01/20Real Sociedad 3-0 MallorcaLaLiga
25/08/19Mallorca 0-1 Real SociedadLaLiga

Conclusion: Will Sociedad End Their Winless Run?

The numbers point to a tight contest, with both teams struggling to convert creativity into points so far. Sociedad’s dominance in the fixture and superior chance creation give them a clear edge, but Mallorca’s efficiency—especially through Muriqi—means an upset can’t be ruled out. For those looking for value, 4/5 with Bet365 (55.6%) on a home win stands out as the smart play in a match where goals could be at a premium.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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