Atletico Madrid travel to Mallorca this weekend looking to reassert their early-season ambitions after a stuttering start.
The 15:15PM kick-off at Son Moix brings together two sides at opposite ends of the confidence scale: Atletico with a dominant head-to-head record and defensive solidity, and Mallorca searching for their first win of the campaign amidst defensive frailties and discipline woes. With history and stats pointing in the visitors’ favour, this fixture could prove pivotal for both teams’ momentum in the opening phase of the season.
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Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Atletico’s defensive numbers and Mallorca’s struggles at the back, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in an away win for Atletico Madrid, given their solid defensive record and dominant head-to-head streak.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid to Win | 3/4 @ Betfair (57.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Atletico have won 7 of the last 10 vs Mallorca and boast a much better defensive record. |
| Both Teams to Score – No | 7/10 @ Bet365 (58.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Mallorca failed to score in 3 of last 4 H2Hs; Atletico defence conceded just 4 in 4 so far. |
Our approach: Start with Atletico Madrid to win, add Both Teams to Score – No for accumulator potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
Atletico Madrid find themselves mid-table after four matches, while Mallorca are languishing near the bottom, yet to win a game. Here’s how the two sides stack up after the opening rounds:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 5 |
| Mallorca | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid) – The Frenchman remains Atletico’s main creative and attacking outlet. While yet to hit top gear this season, his movement and link play have underpinned Atletico’s 87.3% pass accuracy and 59.8% possession – both league-leading marks.
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) – Mallorca’s aerial threat and top target for crosses, Muriqi will need to convert the limited chances that come his way. Mallorca’s xG of 4.12 with only 4 goals scored points to wastefulness that Muriqi must address to give the hosts a shot.
- Julián Álvarez (Atletico Madrid) – The dynamic forward has added directness to Atletico’s attack, helping generate 51 shots in 4 matches, though the conversion rate must improve.
- Takuma Asano (Mallorca) – Offers pace and unpredictability, but with Mallorca’s shot accuracy at 48.5%, he’ll need to be clinical if the hosts are to break down a disciplined Atletico rearguard.
Head-to-Head
Last 10 Meetings
Atletico Madrid have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning seven of the last ten encounters with Mallorca. The last four meetings have all gone the way of Atletico, who have conceded just once to Mallorca in that run.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 01/02/25 | Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 10/11/24 | Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 04/05/24 | Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 25/11/23 | Atletico Madrid 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 26/04/23 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 09/11/22 | Mallorca 1-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 09/04/22 | Mallorca 1-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 04/12/21 | Atletico Madrid 1-2 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 03/07/20 | Atletico de Madrid 3-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 25/09/19 | Mallorca 0-2 Atletico de Madrid | La Liga |
Conclusion
Will Atletico Madrid’s defensive discipline and head-to-head dominance prove too much for a struggling Mallorca side? With the visitors boasting superior stats across possession, passing, and recent results, all signs point to an away win. For those looking for the strongest value, Atletico Madrid at 3/4 (57.1%) with Betfair stands out as our top pick.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.