Charlton Athletic welcome Millwall to The Valley on Saturday afternoon, reigniting a rivalry that has been one-sided in recent years.
Despite home advantage, Charlton are looking to overturn a bleak head-to-head record, with Millwall unbeaten in their last four meetings. With both sides sitting in the bottom half after the opening four games of the Sky Bet Championship season, this clash could be pivotal as each team searches for momentum and a statement win.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form and historical trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in Millwall’s ability to avoid defeat, given their dominance in this fixture and Charlton’s struggles in front of goal.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall or Draw (Double Chance) | 8/5 @ Betfair (31.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Millwall unbeaten in last 4 H2Hs (3 wins, 1 draw). |
| Both Teams To Score: Yes | 10/11 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average over 1.5 xG per match but underperform in finishing. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 8/13 @ Bet365 (61.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | 2 of last 4 H2Hs saw under 2.5 goals, both teams wasteful up front. |
| Draw | 11/5 @ Bet365 (38.5%) | ⭐⭐ | Charlton’s goal struggles and Millwall’s away record point to a stalemate. |
Our approach: Start with Millwall or Draw as the safest route, add Both Teams To Score for accumulator value.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 Championship season to date
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Millwall | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
Both teams have made stuttering starts, with Charlton managing just one win and two goals in four matches (25% win rate), while Millwall have been slightly more effective, notching two wins but conceding heavily. Neither side is finding real consistency, but Millwall’s higher points tally and win percentage (50%) gives them the early edge.
Potential Match-Winners
- Miles Leaburn (Charlton) – The focal point up front, but Charlton’s 42.9% shot accuracy and just two goals suggest the service or finishing must improve for him to make a difference.
- Joshua Coburn (Millwall) – Among Millwall’s attacking options, but the team must raise its shot accuracy (20.9%) if he’s to capitalise on chances.
- James Bree (Charlton) – With Charlton struggling for goals, set-piece delivery from Bree could be crucial, especially as both teams have created a handful of big chances but failed to convert them.
- Jake Cooper (Millwall) – A real threat from set-pieces and a leader at the back. Millwall have conceded nine in four, so his defensive organisation will be in the spotlight.
Head-to-head
Last 4 Meetings
Millwall have dominated this rivalry in recent seasons, winning three of the last four encounters, while Charlton have failed to record a victory. Goals have been at a premium, with two of these fixtures ending with one goal or fewer.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 03/07/20 | Charlton 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| 09/11/19 | Millwall 2-1 Charlton | Championship |
| 14/01/17 | Charlton 0-0 Millwall | League One |
| 21/12/16 | Millwall 3-1 Charlton | League One |
Conclusion
Will Millwall’s derby dominance continue, or can Charlton break the cycle and finally deliver at home? On balance, Millwall’s psychological edge in this fixture and Charlton’s lack of attacking spark point towards the away side getting something from the match. Our favourite pick is Millwall or Draw (Double Chance) at 8/5 with Betfair (38.5% implied probability).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.