Miami has scored seven touchdowns in five games and recorded four sacks. Both are the lowest figures in the NFL, and our Dolphins vs Jets prediction finds the Dolphins at MetLife.
The New York Jets are 2-4 and finish 37.5% of their red-zone trips, the worst rate in the league. The Miami Dolphins are 0-5 at -62, the worst differential of any team playing this week.
Dolphins vs Jets: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Dolphins vs Jets: 2026 form so far
An 0-5 team against a 2-4 one, and neither finishes drives. Read the table across rather than down: every figure sits next to what has to stop it.
Dolphins attack against the Jets defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 153.6 | 185.0 |
| Rushing yards | 126.6 | 123.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Passer rating | 68.4 | 93.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.3% | 37.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 46.2% | 50.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 2.8 |
Jets attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Jets offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 196.2 | 219.2 |
| Rushing yards | 94.5 | 110.6 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 101.8 | 115.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.1% | 51.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 37.5% | 63.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.2 | 0.8 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
New York converts 37.5% in the red zone and Miami 46.2%. Those are the two lowest rates in the NFL, in the same game.
Dolphins vs Jets quarterback matchup
Geno Smith has seven touchdown passes to one interception at 101.8. Malik Willis has two to four at 68.4, the joint-lowest rating in the league.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 15/27, 137 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 51.0 rtg | 73/130, 849 yds, 2 TD, 4 INT, 68.4 rtg (5 games) |
| Jets | Geno Smith | 20/30, 252 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 89.9 rtg | 122/177, 1336 yds, 7 TD, 1 INT, 101.8 rtg (6 games) |
Dolphins vs Jets injury report and team news
Miami has scored seven touchdowns in five games, fewer than any team in the NFL.
Miami’s defence has recorded four sacks all season, also the fewest in the league.
New York finishes 37.5% of its red-zone trips, the lowest conversion rate in football.
Two attacks that cannot finish
Thirty-seven and a half per cent for New York, 46.2% for Miami. Those are the two worst red-zone conversion rates in the NFL and they meet here.
Miami’s wider numbers are worse. Seven touchdowns, a 68.4 passer rating and four sacks as a defence are each the lowest figure in the league.
The Jets do one thing well: Geno Smith has thrown seven touchdown passes to a single interception, and Miami concedes a 115.0 opponent rating, the second-highest going.
Players to watch
- Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Seven scores through the air to a single interception.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): First read in a passing game rating 101.8.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.87 a carry.
- Malik Washington (MIA, WR): A target in an attack with seven touchdowns all year.
How to watch Dolphins vs Jets in Canada
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. CTV carries one Sunday afternoon game per region and the selection is local, so confirm it in your own listings. The French-language broadcast is on RDS. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Jets |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 7, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Jets prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Jets prediction is New York by 20-16. The Jets are no better than ordinary, but Miami has scored seven touchdowns in five games.
Signal’s win probability for this game moves as the designations land.
Every Week 7 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Patriots @ Bears | Patriots 24-21 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Steelers @ Saints | Steelers 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Ravens | Ravens 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Browns @ Titans | Browns 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Colts @ Vikings | Vikings 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Jets | Jets 20-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Giants @ Texans | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | 49ers @ Falcons | 49ers 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Buccaneers @ Panthers | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Broncos @ Cardinals | Broncos 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Packers @ Lions | Lions 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Rams @ Raiders | Rams 27-23 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Chiefs @ Seahawks | Chiefs 24-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Cowboys @ Eagles | Eagles 23-20 | Read |
The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 7 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the AFC Championship odds, and the NFC Championship odds move on the same page as the season develops.
Dolphins vs Jets FAQ
New York, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Jets as slight favourites, with the live number in the Signal card on this page. The Jets are 2-4; Miami is 0-5 at -62.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at MetLife Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Miami, with seven in five games.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change