Norway head into matchday two of the World Cup 2026 with three points already banked, while Senegal arrive at MetLife Stadium needing a result to keep their tournament alive. Kick-off is Monday, June 22 at 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM MT / 5:00 PM PT in East Rutherford.
Our Norway vs Senegal prediction is shaped by a clear contrast in opening-night form. Norway hammered Iraq 4-1 in Foxborough on June 16 with Erling Haaland on the scoresheet twice; Senegal slid to a 3-1 defeat against France at this same MetLife pitch on the same evening. Group I is wide open behind Norway, and a draw here would put Senegal on the brink.
bet365 lists Norway as the favourites at +130, with Senegal at +200 and the draw at +250. The market reads the Norwegians’ opening showing as the more repeatable performance, and Haaland’s price as anytime goalscorer reflects a forward in scoring form against a back four still searching for cohesion after Senegal conceded three in 90 minutes against Les Bleus.
Norway vs Senegal: Best Bets & Predictions
Our slate leans on Norway’s attacking edge, with two singles around the goal supply and a tight match-total call to round out the card.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway to Win | +130 @ bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Four goals against Iraq in their opener, with Haaland scoring twice and Senegal’s defence already breached three times by France on this surface. |
| Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Two goals on opening night and Norway’s main attacking outlet against a Senegal back line that gave up three to France in the same building. |
| Both Teams to Score — Yes | -134 @ bet365 (57.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Senegal carry Mane, Ismaila Sarr and Nicolas Jackson; Norway shipped a goal in their MD1 win and the away side scored in each of their last competitive run-outs heading into the tournament. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both MD1 fixtures involving these sides cleared the line — Norway-Iraq produced five, France-Senegal four. Two attacks with no defensive reputation to lean on. |
| Correct Score 2-1 Norway | +900 @ bet365 (10.0%) | ⭐⭐ | Ties together the Norway win, BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 picks in one scoreline; bet365’s shortest correct-score for a Norway win with Senegal scoring. |
Our approach: anchor the slate on Norway and Haaland to score, then add BTTS Yes if you want a goals-led shape rather than another straight outcome leg.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.
World Cup Form & Standings
Norway top Group I after a 4-1 win over Iraq on opening night, while Senegal sit at the bottom following the loss to France. The standings will firm up as Group I plays out — see the live table on our World Cup standings page.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| Senegal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
For the wider tournament picture, our World Cup outright odds page tracks how this group’s MD2 results are reshaping the broader bracket.
Potential Match-Winners
- Erling Haaland (Norway): Scored twice on MD1 against Iraq and is the central figure in Norway’s attack. Against a Senegal defence that conceded three to France, he is the obvious focal point and is priced shortest in the anytime market.
- Martin Ødegaard (Norway): Norway’s creator-in-chief, picked up an assist in the Iraq win across 81 minutes. His ability to find Haaland in the half-spaces is the move Senegal need to break up.
- Sadio Mane (Senegal): The senior figure in Senegal’s forward unit and their best chance of dragging the side back into Group I. Mane needs to lead from the front after a quiet 90 against France.
- Nicolas Jackson (Senegal): Quick, direct and a runner Norway’s centre-backs will have to track all night. Carries Senegal’s most repeatable in-behind threat.
For more on each side’s route through the bracket, see our Norway World Cup 2026 odds and Senegal World Cup 2026 odds trackers.
Head-to-Head
Norway and Senegal have no recorded competitive meetings, which makes this their first meaningful 90 minutes against one another. Without a historical thread to pull on, the read is built on form, personnel and the matchday-1 contrast.
Recent Form
Norway: W
- June 16, 2026: Iraq 1-4 Norway (W)
One match in Group I, four goals and a clean attacking performance. Haaland’s brace and Ødegaard’s assist were the standout numbers; the only blemish was the goal conceded after going two up at the break.
Senegal: L
- June 16, 2026: France 3-1 Senegal (L)
The 3-1 loss to France carried mitigating context — France are a tournament favourite — but Senegal still gave up three at MetLife and now return to the same venue needing a result.
Norway vs Senegal Prediction
Norway have the better player on the pitch, the cleaner opening performance and a centre-forward priced as a near-coin-flip to find the net. Senegal will push hard with Mane, Sarr and Jackson, but a back four that gave up three to France three nights earlier is a hard ask to shut Haaland down. We back Norway to Win at +130 with bet365, with Haaland anytime as the supporting leg. Kick-off is Monday, June 22 at 8:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.
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