
Newcastle host Arsenal at St. James’ Park on Saturday, November 21 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).
Newcastle will be missing the injured Ewen Jaouen and the injured Joelinton, while the suspended Jacob Ramsey also misses out, leaving the hosts light through midfield. Harvey Barnes remains Newcastle’s biggest threat in behind, with 2 goals and 13 chances created in 886 minutes, while Joe Willock has also weighed in with 2 goals in 572 minutes as an attacking midfielder. Arsenal travel without the injured Bukayo Saka and the suspended Max Dowman, with defender Ezri Konsa a doubt through a knee issue, but Kai Havertz leads the line with 3 goals from 15 shots, 8 of them on target, and Declan Rice continues to dictate the game from deep with 17 chances created in 827 minutes.
Arsenal arrive at St James’ Park with 27 points from 10 games and a +10 goal difference, numbers that put real distance between them and a Newcastle side sitting on 12 points and a -3 goal difference. This has the shape of a tight, low-event afternoon rather than an end-to-end shootout: Newcastle’s defence has been breached regularly enough to leave them in the red for goal difference, while Arsenal’s back line, marshalled by Gabriel and Riccardo Calafiori, has barely needed rescuing all season. Expect a scrap for territory more than a procession of chances, with a single goal likely to settle it.
Newcastle vs Arsenal: Best Bets & Predictions
Arsenal's grip on games this season points to a tight, low-scoring away win at St James' Park.
Our approach: we lean on the underlying numbers — points totals, goal difference and shot data — rather than reputation alone, and on that basis Arsenal's control of games this season points to a narrow win rather than an afternoon of end-to-end chances.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
Arsenal have turned 10 league games into 27 points and a +10 goal difference, the kind of return that explains the gap to a Newcastle side with 12 points and a -3 goal difference after the same number of matches.
Premier League
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| Newcastle | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
Newcastle vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Arsenal
4-2-3-1Potential Match-Winners
- Harvey Barnes (Newcastle): Barnes has produced 2 goals and 13 chances created in 886 minutes this season, and he remains Newcastle’s most reliable source of creativity in the final third.
- Kai Havertz (Arsenal): Havertz has three goals from 15 shots, eight of them on target, and looks the likeliest man to decide this one.
- Declan Rice (Arsenal): Rice has created 17 chances and added 5 assists in 827 minutes, dictating tempo from deep.
Recent Form
Newcastle: L L W L D
- 2026-11-07: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)
- 2026-11-02: Newcastle 0-1 Everton (L, home)
- 2026-10-25: Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
- 2026-10-17: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa (L, home)
- 2026-10-12: Coventry City 4-1 Newcastle (L, away)
Newcastle’s last 5 league matches have brought a 1-1 draw at Fulham, a 0-1 home loss to Everton, a 2-0 away win at Crystal Palace, a 0-1 home loss to Aston Villa and a 4-1 away defeat at Coventry City — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in that run.
Arsenal: W W W W W
- 2026-11-07: Arsenal 1-0 Hull City (W, home)
- 2026-11-01: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
- 2026-10-24: Arsenal 2-0 Everton (W, home)
- 2026-10-18: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
- 2026-10-10: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds (W, home)
Arsenal have won all 5 of their last league matches: 1-0 over Hull City, 1-0 away at Liverpool, 2-0 over Everton, 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest and 2-1 over Leeds.
Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
This looks a tight, low-scoring away performance rather than a procession. Newcastle have periods where they trouble teams, but Arsenal’s underlying numbers — 27 points and a +10 goal difference against Newcastle’s 12 points and a -3 goal difference — point to a side capable of controlling the game and making a single opening count. Expect Arsenal to edge it 0-1.