Houston Texans Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Texans game this season, plus AFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.
Texans 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | |
|---|---|---|
| Texans Super Bowl odds | 6.9% | Model read |
| Texans AFC Championship odds | 12.8% | Model read |
| Texans AFC South odds | 51.2% | Model read |
vs Buffalo BillsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETMoneyline
Against the spread
Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
AFC South standings and division odds
Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win AFC South | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | – | 51.2% | 78.8% |
 Jacksonville Jaguars | – | 41.8% | 74.2% |
 Indianapolis Colts | – | 6.8% | 24.1% |
 Tennessee Titans | – | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Houston Texans schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line.
Cincinnati BengalsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET71%win prob-5.8proj lineIndianapolis ColtsSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET64%win prob-3.7proj line
Dallas CowboysSun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET74%win prob-6.8proj lineTennessee TitansSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET77%win prob-7.8proj lineJacksonville Jaguars Neutral siteSun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line
New York GiantsSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET77%win prob-8.0proj line
Los Angeles ChargersSun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET54%win prob-0.9proj line
Cleveland BrownsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET69%win prob-5.3proj lineIndianapolis ColtsThu Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET73%win prob-6.4proj line
Baltimore RavensSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET63%win prob-3.5proj line
Pittsburgh SteelersSun Dec 6, 8:20 PM ET55%win prob-1.3proj line
Washington CommandersSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET66%win prob-4.2proj lineJacksonville JaguarsSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET58%win prob-2.1proj line
Philadelphia EaglesThu Dec 24, 8:15 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line
Green Bay PackersMon Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET54%win prob-1.1proj lineTennessee Titans FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET83%win prob-10.5proj lineTexans injury report
Latest Texans coverage
Bills vs Texans Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · TodayHouston Texans (HOU) play in the AFC South and host their home games at NRG Stadium. This is our reference record for the 2026 season: the club facts, the schedule markers, and where our model sits against the Canadian market.
Houston Texans club facts
| Item | Detail |
|---|---|
| Conference | AFC |
| Division | AFC South |
| Abbreviation | HOU |
| Home venue | NRG Stadium |
2026 season markers
| Marker | Detail |
|---|---|
| Regular season win total | 9.5 at BetMGM |
| Bye week | Week 8 |
| Week 1 | vs BUF, Sun 13 Sep, 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS |
Win totals close when the season kicks off on Wednesday 9 September and do not reopen. The bye is the one week this team does not play, which matters for anyone tracking a season-long position.
Houston Texans roster
The Houston Texans roster below comes from our data provider, pulled on 1 September 2026. That is 80 players, which is the club’s full file as filed with the league rather than a game-day 53, and it does not separate the active roster from the practice squad. Two notes on reading it. Experience counts completed NFL seasons, so a 0 marks a rookie. A dash in the number column means no jersey has been assigned.
The Status column flags anyone the league currently lists as unavailable. IR is injured reserve; PUP is the physically unable to perform list; Suspended is a league suspension; Unavailable covers the remaining designations, which our data provider supplies as codes we would rather pass over than guess at. A blank cell means no such designation was found, which is not the same as a confirmed place on the active roster: practice-squad players sit in this list too and are not marked separately.
Offence (39)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | C.J. Stroud | QB | 4 | Ohio State | |
| 10 | Davis Mills | QB | 6 | Stanford | |
| 18 | Graham Mertz | QB | IR | 2 | Florida |
| 4 | Woody Marks | RB | 2 | USC | |
| 32 | David Montgomery | RB | 8 | Iowa State | |
| 44 | British Brooks | RB | 3 | North Carolina | |
| – | Jawhar Jordan | RB | 1 | Louisville | |
| – | Noah Whittington | RB | 0 | Oregon | |
| 12 | Nico Collins | WR | 6 | Michigan | |
| 13 | Jaylin Noel | WR | 2 | Iowa State | |
| 14 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | 4 | LSU | |
| 17 | Jared Wayne | WR | 1 | Pittsburgh | |
| 19 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | 4 | Iowa State | |
| 81 | Jayden Higgins | WR | IR | 2 | Iowa State |
| – | Daniel Sobkowicz | WR | 0 | Illinois State | |
| – | Josh Kelly | WR | 1 | Texas Tech | |
| – | Lewis Bond | WR | 0 | Boston College | |
| – | Mitch Tinsley | WR | 3 | Penn State | |
| – | Tank Dell | WR | IR | 4 | Houston |
| 8 | Cade Stover | TE | 3 | Ohio State | |
| 83 | Marlin Klein | TE | 0 | Michigan | |
| 86 | Dalton Schultz | TE | 9 | Stanford | |
| 87 | Foster Moreau | TE | 8 | LSU | |
| – | Brevin Jordan | TE | 6 | Miami (FL) | |
| – | Zaire Mitchell-Paden | TE | 2 | Florida Atlantic | |
| 60 | Jake Andrews | C | 4 | Troy | |
| 64 | Febechi Nwaiwu | G | 0 | Oklahoma | |
| 66 | Keylan Rutledge | G | 0 | Georgia Tech | |
| 69 | Ed Ingram | G | 5 | LSU | |
| 75 | Wyatt Teller | G | 9 | Virginia Tech | |
| 57 | Blake Fisher | T | 3 | Notre Dame | |
| 71 | Braden Smith | T | Unavailable | 9 | Auburn |
| 78 | Nate Thomas | T | 3 | Louisiana | |
| – | Foster Sarell | T | 5 | Stanford | |
| 76 | Sam Hagen | OT | Unavailable | 0 | South Dakota State |
| 77 | Trent Brown | OT | 12 | Florida | |
| 79 | Aireontae Ersery | OT | 2 | Minnesota | |
| – | James Neal III | OT | 0 | Iowa State | |
| 63 | Evan Brown | OL | 8 | SMU |
Defence (38)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Kevin Givens | DL | 7 | Penn State | |
| 51 | Will Anderson Jr. | DE | 4 | Alabama | |
| 54 | Sabastian Harsh | DE | 0 | NC State | |
| 55 | Danielle Hunter | DE | 12 | LSU | |
| 90 | Jadeveon Clowney | DE | 13 | South Carolina | |
| 92 | Dylan Horton | DE | IR | 4 | TCU |
| 95 | Ali Gaye | DE | IR | 3 | LSU |
| 96 | Logan Hall | DE | 5 | Houston | |
| – | Dominique Robinson | DE | 5 | Miami (OH) | |
| 72 | Tommy Togiai | DT | 5 | Ohio State | |
| 93 | Kayden McDonald | DT | 0 | Ohio State | |
| 97 | Mario Edwards Jr. | DT | 11 | Florida State | |
| 98 | Sheldon Rankins | DT | 11 | Louisville | |
| – | Dominic Bailey | DT | 0 | Tennessee | |
| 0 | Azeez Al-Shaair | LB | 8 | Florida Atlantic | |
| 30 | Wade Woodaz | LB | 0 | Clemson | |
| 33 | Jake Hummel | LB | 5 | Iowa State | |
| 35 | Jake Hansen | LB | 5 | Illinois | |
| 39 | Henry To’oTo’o | LB | 4 | Alabama | |
| 45 | E.J. Speed | LB | PUP | 8 | Tarleton State |
| 52 | K.C. Ossai | LB | IR | 1 | Louisiana |
| 59 | Aiden Fisher | LB | 0 | Indiana | |
| – | Jamal Hill | LB | 3 | Oregon | |
| – | Marte Mapu | LB | IR | 4 | Sacramento State |
| 3 | Kamari Lassiter | CB | 3 | Georgia | |
| 11 | Tremon Smith | CB | 9 | Central Arkansas | |
| 22 | Jaylin Smith | CB | 2 | USC | |
| 24 | Derek Stingley Jr. | CB | 5 | LSU | |
| 37 | Collin Wright | CB | 0 | Stanford | |
| – | Alijah Huzzie | CB | 1 | North Carolina | |
| – | Bryce Hall | CB | 6 | Virginia | |
| 2 | Calen Bullock | SAF | 3 | USC | |
| 5 | Jalen Pitre | SAF | 5 | Baylor | |
| 6 | Reed Blankenship | SAF | 5 | Middle Tennessee | |
| 20 | Ja’Marcus Ingram | SAF | Unavailable | 3 | Buffalo |
| 27 | Kamari Ramsey | SAF | 0 | USC | |
| 29 | M.J. Stewart | SAF | PUP | 9 | North Carolina |
| – | George Odum | SAF | 9 | Central Arkansas |
Special teams (3)
| No. | Player | Pos | Status | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ka’imi Fairbairn | K | 11 | UCLA | |
| 38 | Kai Kroeger | P | 2 | South Carolina | |
| 40 | Austin Brinkman | LS | 2 | West Virginia |
Rosters move constantly at this time of year, with practice-squad elevations, injury designations and waiver claims all in play. We refresh this list through the season, and the date above is the one that matters. For how the squad translates into a season-long price, the Super Bowl odds board tracks the market and our model methodology explains the projection.
Model against the market
Houston Texans odds sit in two places: the season-long markets below, which are priced now and settle in February, and the weekly lines that open once the schedule starts. These are the season-long ones.
| Measure | Squawka Signal | Market (DraftKings, de-vigged) | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win the Super Bowl | 6.7% | 4.3% (+1800) | Value |
| Win the AFC | 12.8% | 8.9% (+870) | Value |
| Reach the playoffs | 79% | not priced as a standalone market | |
| Squawka Rating | 83 of 100 (ranked 6 of 32) |
Signal figures are our model. Market figures are the DraftKings price with the book margin removed so the two are comparable. Super Bowl prices checked 27 August 2026, AFC Championship prices checked 27 August 2026. Full workings in our model methodology and the Super Bowl odds board.
The AFC South.
9.5 regular season wins at BetMGM, checked 28 August 2026. The market closes at kickoff on 9 September.
Week 8 of the 2026 season.
There are 80 on the club’s full player file as of 1 September 2026. That figure covers the active roster and the practice squad together, not the game-day 53.
19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON), see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere. Odds shown at the time of writing and subject to change. Model figures are estimates, not predictions.