Buffalo has scored 27 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL. Minnesota has conceded nine, fewer than any team in the NFL. Our Bills vs Vikings prediction closes Week 9 with the best matchup of the week.
Both teams are 6-1. The Buffalo Bills are +52 and the Minnesota Vikings +47, and the gap between them is almost entirely which end of the field they work at.
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo BillsWin prob55%
Minnesota VikingsWin prob45%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Bills vs Vikings: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Bills vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
The league’s best attack against its best defence, with identical records. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has actually allowed.
Bills attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Bills offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.7 | 154.9 |
| Rushing yards | 148.4 | 116.7 |
| Yards per carry | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 101.1 | 64.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.2% | 29.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 70.0% | 25.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 3.6 |
Vikings attack against the Bills defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Bills allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 165.6 | 254.7 |
| Rushing yards | 113.9 | 97.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 90.6 | 96.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.0% | 41.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.2% | 65.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.1 |
Minnesota allows a 64.9 opponent passer rating and 25.0% in the red zone. Both are the best marks in the NFL and neither is close.
Bills vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Josh Allen has 11 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 101.1. Kyler Murray has five to three at 86.6 from six starts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Josh Allen | 21/34, 289 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 96.3 rtg | 135/205, 1793 yds, 11 TD, 5 INT, 101.1 rtg (7 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 17/29, 210 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 89.7 rtg | 100/154, 1022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 86.6 rtg (6 games) |
Bills vs Vikings injury report and team news
Buffalo has scored 27 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL.
Minnesota has conceded nine touchdowns, fewer than any team in the NFL.
Minnesota has 25 sacks, second only to Pittsburgh, and has taken 39 penalties — the fewest in the league.
Buffalo BillsMinnesota VikingsThe best attack in football against the best defence
Twenty-seven touchdowns scored by Buffalo, nine conceded by Minnesota. Both are league-leading figures, and they meet on Monday night.
The rest of Minnesota’s defensive profile is just as stark: a 64.9 opponent rating and 25.0% allowed in the red zone, each the best in the NFL by some way.
Buffalo’s opening is that the Vikings do not score. Twelve touchdowns and 1,159 passing yards are both second-lowest in the league.
Players to watch
- Josh Allen (BUF, QB): 1,793 yards and 11 scores at a 101.1 rating.
- James Cook III (BUF, RB): 1,039 on the ground at 4.79 a carry.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): Five touchdown passes at an 86.6 rating.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): First read in a passing game that throws sparingly.
How to watch Bills vs Vikings in Canada
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 9 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. TSN carries it nationally, because every primetime window in Canada sits with TSN, and RDS has the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Bills vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Monday, November 9, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | TSN (English) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Bills vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Bills vs Vikings prediction is Buffalo by 27-24. Minnesota’s defence will make this awkward, but 12 touchdowns in seven games will not beat the highest-scoring team in the league.
Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | You are here |
You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 9 alongside them. The two conferences meet here, so neither the AFC Championship odds nor the NFC Championship odds tell the whole story on their own.
Bills vs Vikings FAQ
Buffalo, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Bills as slight favourites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. Both teams are 6-1.
8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 9, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT, at U.S. Bank Stadium.
TSN carries every primetime window nationally, with RDS on the French-language broadcast. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Buffalo, with 27 — more than any team in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change