Green Bay has thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL, and run for 485 at 2.85 a carry — fewer and slower than anyone. Our Packers vs Patriots prediction puts that imbalance at Gillette.
The New England Patriots are 5-3 at +22 and have 22 sacks. The Green Bay Packers are 5-3 and have taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland.
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
Green Bay PackersWin prob36%
New England PatriotsWin prob64%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Packers vs Patriots: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Packers vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
Two 5-3 teams, 15 points of differential apart. The columns put each team’s output next to what the other has conceded to date.
Packers attack against the Patriots defence
| Per game | Packers offence | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.0 | 217.2 |
| Rushing yards | 60.6 | 92.6 |
| Yards per carry | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 92.4 | 93.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.7% | 38.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 51.7% | 54.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Patriots attack against the Packers defence
| Per game | Patriots offence | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.1 | 204.0 |
| Rushing yards | 123.1 | 110.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.2 | 78.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 40.0% | 42.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 54.5% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.8 |
Green Bay’s 485 rushing yards at 2.85 a carry are the lowest totals in the NFL on both counts.
Packers vs Patriots quarterback matchup
Jordan Love has 16 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 92.4. Drake Maye has 15 to eight at 100.4 and rated 141.5 last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | Jordan Love | 30/41, 288 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 106.6 rtg | 192/312, 2246 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT, 92.4 rtg (8 games) |
| Patriots | Drake Maye | 16/20, 199 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 141.5 rtg | 157/234, 1983 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 100.4 rtg (8 games) |
Packers vs Patriots injury report and team news
Green Bay has thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL.
Green Bay has run for 485 yards at 2.85 a carry, the lowest figures in the league.
Green Bay has taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland’s 72.
Green Bay PackersNew England PatriotsThe most one-dimensional team in the league
More passing yards than anyone and fewer rushing yards than anyone, at the league’s lowest average. The split is extreme even by the standards of a pass-first era.
New England has the tools for it: 22 sacks and a 93.9 opponent passer rating.
Green Bay’s own pass defence is the counterweight, at 78.2 — among the four best in football — against a Patriots attack converting 54.5% in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 2,246 yards and 16 scores from eight games.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): A primary target in an attack with no ground game.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 1,983 yards and 15 scores at a 100.4 rating.
- Hunter Henry (NE, TE): A steady outlet in an attack with 22 touchdowns.
How to watch Packers vs Patriots in Canada
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. Which Sunday afternoon game CTV shows depends on where you are watching, so check locally. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Packers vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Patriots prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Patriots prediction is New England by 24-20. Both teams are 5-3, but the Patriots are +22 to Green Bay’s +7 and can get after a one-dimensional attack.
Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | You are here |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
You can find the other games on our NFL hub, with Signal’s read on all of Week 9 alongside them. The two conferences meet here, so neither the AFC Championship odds nor the NFC Championship odds tell the whole story on their own.
Packers vs Patriots FAQ
New England. Our Signal model has the Patriots favoured and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Both are 5-3, but New England is +22 and Green Bay +7.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT, at Gillette Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Green Bay, with 2,168 — more than any team in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change