Miami allows a 119.5 opponent passer rating and lets opponents convert 50.6% of third downs. Both are among the two worst marks in the NFL. Our Lions vs Dolphins prediction points Jared Goff at them.
The Detroit Lions rate 110.0 through the air and have 24 sacks. The Miami Dolphins are 1-6 and have nine sacks of their own.
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Detroit LionsWin prob77%
Miami DolphinsWin prob23%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Lions vs Dolphins: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Lions vs Dolphins: 2026 form so far
A 5-2 team visiting a 1-6 team whose defence never leaves the field. The table weighs what each team produces against what the other keeps giving up.
Lions attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Lions offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 264.0 | 221.0 |
| Rushing yards | 131.4 | 113.1 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 110.0 | 119.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.0% | 50.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 64.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Dolphins attack against the Lions defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 166.7 | 276.6 |
| Rushing yards | 123.3 | 96.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 79.7 | 101.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 42.7% | 45.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 74.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 3.4 |
Detroit has 24 sacks, third-most in the league. Miami has nine, joint-fewest.
Lions vs Dolphins quarterback matchup
Jared Goff has 15 touchdown passes to one interception at 110.0. Malik Willis has six to five at 79.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | Jared Goff | 18/25, 176 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 88.1 rtg | 168/248, 1964 yds, 15 TD, 1 INT, 110.0 rtg (7 games) |
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 21/32, 211 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 92.1 rtg | 108/183, 1268 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT, 79.7 rtg (7 games) |
Lions vs Dolphins injury report and team news
Miami allows a 119.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL.
Miami lets opponents convert 50.6% on third down, second only to Dallas.
Detroit has 24 sacks, third-most in the league; Miami has nine, joint-fewest.
Detroit LionsMiami DolphinsA defence at the bottom of the league in three places
Worst in opponent rating at 119.5, second-worst on third down at 50.6%, joint-fewest sacks at nine. That is three separate bottom-of-the-table finishes.
Detroit can exploit all three: a 110.0 team rating, 24 touchdowns and a quarterback with 15 scores and one interception.
What keeps this from being a formality is Detroit’s own defence — 24 touchdowns conceded and 74.1% allowed in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Jared Goff (DET, QB): 1,964 yards, 15 scores and one interception.
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): 920 on the ground at 4.55 a carry.
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): Six touchdown passes at a 79.7 rating.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.45 a carry.
How to watch Lions vs Dolphins in Canada
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, so check your local listings for this one, and RDS has the French-language call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Lions vs Dolphins |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| TV | CTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Lions vs Dolphins prediction and score projection
Our Lions vs Dolphins prediction is Detroit by 30-17. Miami cannot rush the passer or force a punt, and Goff has thrown one interception all year.
Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | You are here |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 9 game the same way. This one crosses the conferences, so the AFC Championship odds and the NFC Championship odds are both worth a look as the season develops.
Lions vs Dolphins FAQ
Detroit, clearly. Our Signal model has the Lions as strong favourites and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Detroit is 5-2 at +23; Miami is 1-6 at -64.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Hard Rock Stadium.
CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.
Miami, at 119.5 — the worst figure in the NFL.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change