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Rams vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders prediction, picks and odds for Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season

Washington converts 31.9% of its third downs and concedes on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips. Both are among the three worst marks in the NFL. Our Rams vs Commanders prediction finds the Commanders hosting a 4-4 team that scores.

The Los Angeles Rams have 25 touchdowns and 2,071 passing yards. The Washington Commanders are 2-4-1 and lost Terry McLaurin to injured reserve on Oct. 28.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Los Angeles Rams favourites by about 5 points, a 69% win probability.

LALos Angeles RamsWin prob69%
WASWashington CommandersWin prob31%
Projected lineLos Angeles Rams -5

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.

Week 9 · Editorial pick

Rams vs Commanders: our editor’s props

Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.

Rams AT Commanders

Our props

TotalOver 46.5 pointsWashington gives up 79.2% of red-zone trips and has conceded 21 touchdowns. Los Angeles has scored 25.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propKyren Williams 70+ rushing yardsLos Angeles has 1,004 rushing yards at 4.71 a carry. Washington gives up 3.86, the firmer half of its defence.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.

Rams vs Commanders: 2026 form so far

One team finishes its drives and the other cannot prevent it. Read the table across rather than down: every figure sits next to what has to stop it.

Rams attack against the Commanders defence

Per gameRams offenceCommanders allow
Passing yards258.9243.0
Rushing yards125.599.1
Yards per carry4.73.9
Passer rating93.0100.6
Touchdowns3.13.0
Third-down conversion42.7%42.7%
Red-zone conversion68.8%79.2%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.52.3

Commanders attack against the Rams defence

Per gameCommanders offenceRams allow
Passing yards200.6191.9
Rushing yards126.6109.2
Yards per carry4.64.0
Passer rating93.879.7
Touchdowns2.41.9
Third-down conversion31.9%32.4%
Red-zone conversion52.6%42.9%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.31.5

Los Angeles allows a 79.7 opponent passer rating and 42.9% in the red zone, both among the better marks in the league.

Rams vs Commanders quarterback matchup

Matthew Stafford has 15 touchdown passes to eight interceptions at 93.2. Jayden Daniels has six and no interceptions at 96.2 from five starts.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
RamsMatthew Stafford17/25, 157 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 81.6 rtg204/303, 2146 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games)
CommandersJayden Daniels16/29, 217 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 90.7 rtg91/145, 976 yds, 6 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg (5 games)
Last game is Week 8. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Rams vs Commanders injury report and team news

Washington placed Terry McLaurin on injured reserve on Oct. 28.

Washington concedes on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips, the third-worst rate in the NFL.

Washington converts 31.9% of its own third downs, second-lowest in the league.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week
LALos Angeles Rams
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Kobie TurnerDEIR
Blake GrupeKIR
Poona FordNTIR
Justin DedichOLIR
Eddie Walls IIIOLBIR
Keir ThomasOLBIR
Myles GarrettOLBIR
Matthew CaldwellQBIR
Ronnie RiversRBIR
Terrance FergusonTEIR
Davante AdamsWRIR
WASWashington Commanders
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Jer’Zhan NewtonDTIR
Leo ChenalLBIR
Javontae Jean-BaptisteOLBIR
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBIR
Laremy TunsilTIR
Jaylin LaneWRIR
Terry McLaurinWRIR

A red-zone defence that does not hold

Opponents finish 79.2% of their red-zone trips against Washington. Only Seattle and Carolina are worse, and the Commanders pair that with the second-worst third-down offence in football.

The Rams have the attack to punish it: 25 touchdowns, 2,071 passing yards and 1,004 on the ground.

Jayden Daniels is the reason this stays close. Six touchdown passes and no interceptions in five starts is the most efficient thing Washington has, McLaurin or not.

Players to watch

  • Matthew Stafford (LA, QB): 2,146 yards and 15 scores from eight games.
  • Kyren Williams (LA, RB): 1,004 on the ground at 4.71 a carry.
  • Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Six touchdown passes and no interceptions at 96.2.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS, WR): A senior target with McLaurin on injured reserve.

How to watch Rams vs Commanders in Canada

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at Northwest Stadium in Landover. Which Sunday afternoon game CTV shows depends on where you are watching, so check locally. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailRams vs Commanders
DateSunday, November 8, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueNorthwest Stadium, Landover, MD
TVCTV (regional) / TSN / RDS (French)
Live streamDAZN (NFL Game Pass)
WeekWeek 9, 2026 NFL season

Rams vs Commanders prediction and score projection

Our Rams vs Commanders prediction is Los Angeles by 27-17. Daniels keeps the Commanders in it for a while, but a red-zone defence this soft against 25 touchdowns only ends one way.

Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 9:15 PMJaguars @ RavensJaguars 27-20Read
Sun 10:30 AMBengals @ FalconsBengals 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SaintsSaints 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMCowboys @ ColtsCowboys 26-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMBroncos @ PanthersBroncos 26-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMLions @ DolphinsLions 30-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMRams @ CommandersRams 27-17You are here
Sun 2:00 PMGiants @ EaglesGiants 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMJets @ ChiefsChiefs 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMTexans @ ChargersTexans 23-17Read
Sun 5:25 PMCardinals @ SeahawksSeahawks 30-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMPackers @ PatriotsPatriots 24-20Read
Sun 5:25 PMRaiders @ 49ers49ers 30-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMBuccaneers @ BearsBears 27-20Read
Mon 9:15 PMBills @ VikingsBills 27-24Read

The rest of the week is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every Week 9 game the same way. Both these teams are chasing the NFC Championship odds, with the AFC Championship odds tracked alongside them through the season.

Rams vs Commanders FAQ

Who is favoured, the Rams or the Commanders?

Los Angeles. Our Signal model has the Rams as clear favourites and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. The Rams are 4-4 at +26; Washington is 2-4-1 at -23.

What time is Rams vs Commanders in Canada?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT, at Northwest Stadium.

How can I watch Rams vs Commanders in Canada?

CTV’s Sunday afternoon game is a regional pick, so check your local listings. RDS has the French call. DAZN carries every game of the season in Canada through NFL Game Pass.

Is Terry McLaurin playing?

No. Washington placed him on injured reserve on Oct. 28.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change