Our Dolphins vs Raiders prediction favours Miami. The Dolphins visit Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, September 13 for the late window, and both sides begin the 2026 NFL season here. Squawka Signal’s current read, and where the value sits, appears in the block directly below. Similarly, Signal rates every Week 1 fixture.
Las Vegas scored 241 points in 2025, fewer than any other team in the league. Miami managed 347, which was hardly prolific either.
The Raiders also allowed 64 sacks, the most of any side playing this week. Consequently their line is the first thing to look at.
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders
Miami DolphinsWin prob57%
Las Vegas RaidersWin prob43%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Dolphins vs Raiders: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Dolphins vs Raiders: 2025 season form
Miami finished 7-10 at minus 77. Las Vegas went 3-14 at minus 191, and their 241 points were the fewest in the league.
| 2025 regular season | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-10 | 3-14 |
| Points for | 347 | 241 |
| Points against | 424 | 432 |
| Point differential | -77 | -191 |
| Sacks recorded | 39 | 37 |
| Sacks allowed | 38 | 64 |
| Interceptions made | 9 | 8 |
| Third-down offence | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| Red-zone offence | 56.3% | 50.0% |
| Red zone allowed | 59.7% | 57.8% |
| Opponent passer rating | 105.3 | 96.4 |
Two rows decide the reading. Las Vegas allowed 64 sacks and gained 3.57 yards a carry, both the weaker figures here. Miami’s defence conceded a 105.3 passer rating, though, so this is not a mismatch of quality.
Dolphins vs Raiders injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, neither quarterback room is fully settled.
The Dolphins have not confirmed a starter. Malik Willis, Kyle McCord and Brady Cook are the options after Tua Tagovailoa’s move to Atlanta. De’Von Achane leads the backfield regardless, moreover, after 1,350 rushing yards.
Las Vegas have Kirk Cousins, Aidan O’Connell and the rookie Fernando Mendoza on the roster. Brock Bowers is the primary target, meanwhile, with Ashton Jeanty alongside him.
Miami DolphinsLas Vegas RaidersThe matchup that settles it: Miami’s ground game against a Raiders line that collapsed
Miami gained 4.73 yards a carry in 2025, the best average of any team playing this week, with De’Von Achane running for 1,350 of those yards.
Las Vegas managed 3.57 a carry, the weakest figure here, and allowed 64 sacks. The Raiders do have Maxx Crosby, indeed, whose 10 sacks against a Miami line conceding 38 is the one matchup favouring the hosts.
Players to watch
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): 1,350 rushing yards, notably at the slate’s best team average.
- Bradley Chubb (MIA, OLB): Eight sacks, indeed against a line that allowed 64.
- Maxx Crosby (LV, DE): 10 sacks in 2025 and the Raiders’ most disruptive player.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): 680 receiving yards in just 12 games, moreover, as the primary target.
How to watch Dolphins vs Raiders
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV. CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region, meanwhile, with RDS on the French-language broadcast. The CTV selection is regional, so DAZN through NFL Game Pass is the dependable way to get this one. Our full guide to watching the NFL in Canada sets out every window. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Raiders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Raiders prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Raiders prediction is a Miami win, though neither team was good last season. A 7-10 record against 3-14 is most of the argument.
Notably, Signal currently puts Miami at 57% and Las Vegas at 43%, with a projected line of Miami Dolphins -2.
Las Vegas scored 241 points across seventeen games. Moreover they allowed 64 sacks and averaged 3.57 yards a carry, so the offence had no reliable route to points.
So we will take the Dolphins, 23-17. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Dolphins vs Raiders FAQ
Miami, on last season’s evidence. The Dolphins finished 7-10 to Las Vegas’s 3-14, and the Raiders scored 241 points, fewest in the league. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide: Miami finished minus 77, Las Vegas minus 191.
CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region and RDS has the French-language coverage, while DAZN streams every game through NFL Game Pass. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13. Notably the CTV selection is regional.
Miami had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Malik Willis, Kyle McCord and Brady Cook are the options, Tua Tagovailoa having moved to Atlanta.
Dolphins 23-17. Las Vegas allowed 64 sacks and averaged 3.57 yards a carry last season, both the weaker figures in this fixture.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change