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World Cup 2026: Schedule, Odds, Predictions & Teams

World Cup 2026 · Tournament Hub

World Cup 2026

Your complete guide to the first 48-team finals — schedule, groups, host cities, predictions and live odds across North America.

June 11 — July 19, 2026 48 Teams · 16 Cities
Prediction Markets · Live

Kalshi vs Polymarket — implied probability, live

Outright Winner
CandidateKalshiPolymarket
France34.1%33.2%
Argentina18.9%19.2%
Spain12.0%12.6%
England7.3%7.2%
Portugal7.3%6.2%
See full winner comparison →
Top Goalscorer
CandidateKalshiPolymarket
Lionel Messi45.0%45.8%
Kylian Mbappe42.0%37.5%
Harry Kane7.0%6.9%
Erling Haaland4.0%2.5%
Mikel Oyarzabal3.0%2.4%
See full Golden Boot comparison →

Implied probabilities sourced live from Kalshi (CFTC-regulated event contracts) and Polymarket (CFTC-regulated via QCX). Eligibility and availability vary by US state. 21+ where applicable.

Prediction Markets

Full Tracker →
Squawka Markets
odds by
Kalshi

Who wins the 2026 World Cup?

Live implied probability from 48 nation markets · 3 Jul 2026, 10:01 UTC

Total volume
884.0M contracts
24h volume
42.3M
Open interest
697.5M

Movement · last 90 days

Top 5 favourites now

1
France
41.2M traded ▲ 17.5pt 30d
34.1%
Back on Kalshi →
2
Argentina
35.5M traded ▲ 9.5pt 30d
18.9%
Back on Kalshi →
3
Spain
26.8M traded ▼ 4.6pt 30d
11.9%
Back on Kalshi →
4
Portugal
42.9M traded ▼ 1.4pt 30d
7.4%
Back on Kalshi →
5
England
23.0M traded ▼ 3.5pt 30d
7.3%
Back on Kalshi →
Trade the World Cup on Kalshi
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Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid/last). Markets move — not financial advice. 21+. T&Cs apply.

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