Our Packers vs Vikings prediction leans narrowly to Green Bay. The Packers travel to U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 13, and CBS has the 4:25 PM ET kickoff. This division game opens the NFL season for both. Squawka Signal’s live numbers, and the value read, sit in the block underneath. Signal rates the whole Week 1 card the same way.
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 and Minnesota 9-8, so a single game separated them. However, the Packers scored 391 points to Minnesota’s 344.
Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs in 2025, the best rate of any team playing this weekend. Minnesota managed 31.8%, the weakest.
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay PackersSquawka52%Market47%▲ Value
Minnesota VikingsSquawka48%Market53%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly.
Packers vs Vikings: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
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Packers vs Vikings: 2025 season form
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 at plus 31, Minnesota 9-8 at plus 11. The Vikings, however, closed the season on a five-game winning streak, while the Packers lost their last four.
| 2025 regular season | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-7-1 | 9-8 |
| Points for | 391 | 344 |
| Points against | 360 | 333 |
| Point differential | +31 | +11 |
| Sacks recorded | 36 | 49 |
| Sacks allowed | 29 | 60 |
| Interceptions made | 7 | 8 |
| Third-down offense | 48.8% | 31.8% |
| Red-zone offense | 57.6% | 56.9% |
| Red zone allowed | 59.6% | 42.9% |
| Opponent passer rating | 92.7 | 86.0 |
The third-down rows are the widest gap on the page. Green Bay converted 48.8% and Minnesota 31.8%, a 17-point difference. Minnesota’s defense was the better one, though, allowing just 42.9% in the red zone.
Packers vs Vikings injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, one quarterback room is settled and the other is not.
Jordan Love starts for Green Bay after 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating. Jayden Reed and Matthew Golden lead the receivers, meanwhile, with Josh Jacobs in the backfield and Tucker Kraft at tight end.
Minnesota has not confirmed a starter. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona and J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster, with Carson Wentz behind them. Justin Jefferson leads the receivers regardless, moreover, alongside Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson.
Green Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsThe matchup that decides it: Green Bay on third down against a Minnesota defense that holds
Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs last season, the best rate on this weekend’s slate. Jordan Love’s 102.5 passer rating was also the highest here.
Minnesota’s answer is the red zone. Indeed, they allowed just 42.9% of opponent trips inside the twenty to become touchdowns, the second-best rate in this round.
The Vikings’ problem was their own offense. They threw 21 interceptions at a 75.3 rating, and 31.8% on third down gave the defense no rest. Consequently the quarterback decision matters more here than in most fixtures.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating, indeed the best mark in this fixture.
- Micah Parsons (GB, DE): 12 sacks in 2025, notably against a line that allowed 60.
- Josh Jacobs (GB, RB): 929 rushing yards, notably behind a line that conceded only 29 sacks.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): 1,048 receiving yards, moreover, despite unsettled quarterback play.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): Arrived from Arizona and is, notably, competing with J.J. McCarthy to start.
How to watch Packers vs Vikings
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. CBS has the broadcast, meanwhile, with Paramount+ streaming it. Because this is the late Sunday window, coverage is regional, so check your local listings.
| Detail | Packers vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 2:25 PM MT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | CBS / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Vikings prediction is a narrow Green Bay win, and narrow is the right word. One game separated these teams last season.
Green Bay’s edge is third down and the settled quarterback. However, Minnesota’s defense allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate in this round, and they won their last five.
So we will take the Packers to win, 23-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Packers vs Vikings FAQ
Green Bay, narrowly. The Packers finished 9-7-1 to Minnesota’s 9-8 and converted 48.8% of third downs, the best rate on this weekend’s slate. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: one game separated these teams across the whole of 2025.
CBS has the broadcast and Paramount+ streams it. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Notably, coverage is regional in the late window.
Minnesota had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona, J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster and Carson Wentz is behind them.
Packers 23-20. Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs to Minnesota’s 31.8%, though the Vikings allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate in this round.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change