Packers vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds

Green Bay have run for 359 yards at 2.87 a carry. Both are the lowest figures in the NFL by a distance, and our Packers vs Lions prediction sends them to a front with 20 sacks.

The Detroit Lions have recorded more sacks than any team in football and Jared Goff has thrown 12 touchdown passes without an interception. The Green Bay Packers are 4-2 and have taken 57 penalties, more than anyone.

Week 7 · Editorial pick

Packers vs Lions: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

AT

Our props

Player propJared Goff 2+ passing touchdownsGoff has 12 touchdown passes and no interceptions in five games at 111.3. Green Bay’s pass defense is strong, but Detroit convert 77.3% in the red zone.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

TotalOver 47.5 pointsDetroit allow 50.7% on third down and 81.0% in the red zone, and have conceded 20 touchdowns. Green Bay have taken 57 penalties, more than any team.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Packers vs Lions: 2026 form so far

A 4-2 team with no run game against a 3-2 team that cannot stop anyone on third down. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Packers attack against the Lions defense

Lions attack against the Packers defense

Figures are season to date, across 5 games.

Detroit allow opponents to convert 50.7% on third down and 81.0% in the red zone. Both are the worst or near-worst in the league, which is why 20 sacks has not translated.

Packers vs Lions quarterback matchup

Jared Goff has 12 touchdown passes and no interceptions at 111.3. Jordan Love has 11 to four at 91.8 and was sacked behind a line that has conceded 13.

Packers vs Lions injury report and team news

Green Bay have run for 359 yards at 2.87 a carry, the lowest figures in the NFL.

Detroit have recorded 20 sacks, more than any team in the league.

Jared Goff has thrown 12 touchdown passes and no interceptions in five games.

No ground game, into the league’s best pass rush

Three hundred and fifty-nine rushing yards at 2.87 a carry. No team in the NFL is close to that, and it means Green Bay are one-dimensional against a front with 20 sacks.

Detroit’s own numbers are strange: 20 touchdowns scored and 20 conceded, a 111.3 passer rating, and a defense that lets opponents convert 50.7% on third down.

Green Bay’s answer is a pass defense allowing 73.9, the third-best rate in football. If Goff is made ordinary, the Packers can win this without running it at all.

Players to watch

• Jordan Love (GB, QB): 1,684 passing yards and 11 touchdowns in six games.
• Christian Watson (GB, WR): A primary target in an offense with no ground game.
• Jared Goff (DET, QB): Twelve touchdown passes and no interceptions at 111.3.
• Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 4.39 a carry.

How to watch Packers vs Lions

Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Ford Field, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.

Packers vs Lions prediction and score projection

Detroit win 27-24. Green Bay cannot run it at all and Detroit’s pass rush is the league’s best, which is enough at home even with a defense that leaks.

Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.

Every Week 7 game, previewed

For the rest of the week, see the full NFL picks page and our wider NFL analysis. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.

Packers vs Lions FAQ

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change