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Sunderland vs Brighton: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Sunderland vs Brighton predicted formations

Sunderland host Brighton at Stadium of Light on Saturday, October 10 (10:00 AM ET / 9:00 AM CT / 7:00 AM PT).

Sunderland will be without the injured Romaine Mundle (knee), the injured Daniel Ballard (thigh) and the injured Mouhamadou Habib Diarra (thigh), with the suspended Reinildo Mandava also sidelined, while the doubtful Brian Brobbey (thigh) is checked before kickoff. If he passes fit, Brobbey leads the line on 3 goals this season, with Enzo Le Fée and Nilson Angulo offering support from attacking midfield. Brighton’s list is longer: the injured Stefanos Tzimas, the injured Yankuba Minteh, the injured Kaoru Mitoma, the absent Jack Hinshelwood, the injured Mats Wieffer, the injured Femi Azeez, the absent Zadok Yohanna and the injured Evan Ferguson are all unavailable, while the doubtful Yasin Ayari (illness) and the doubtful Lewis Dunk (upper back/neck) face late tests. Charalampos Kostoulas and Malick Yalcouyé have carried the attacking load instead, both on 2 goals, with Maxim De Cuyper driving things from midfield.

This one should be tight. Sunderland have won just 1 of their 5 league games and arrive with a -4 goal difference, the product of some heavy beatings including a 5-3 defeat at Manchester City. Brighton have lost just 1 of 5 themselves but carry a +11 difference built on wins like the 5-0 rout of Coventry City and the 3-0 win over Arsenal. Neither side looks built to open this one up, and a cagey game at the Stadium of Light suits the shape of both sides involved.

US viewers can watch Sunderland vs Brighton on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
SunderlandSunderland29%mkt 34%
DrawDraw25%mkt 27%
BrightonBrighton46%mkt 41%Our pick

Sunderland vs Brighton: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Brighton at 41%. Signal says 46%.

+4points of value · the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreSunderland 0-1 BrightonSunderland have managed just 1 win from 5 league games, and a lone Brighton goal looks enough given Brighton's +11 difference.
—
10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoSunderland's -4 goal difference shows a leaky defense, but with the injured Mouhamadou Habib Diarra and doubtful Brian Brobbey limiting their attacking options, finding the net themselves looks a stretch.
41%
43%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5With the Signal model landing on a 0-1 scoreline, goals look set to be in short supply at the Stadium of Light.
46%
46%
In line
Anytime ScorerCharalampos Kostoulas to score anytimeKostoulas has scored 2 goals from 13 shots in 356 minutes this season, comfortably Brighton's most productive outlet in front of goal.
—
24%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Sunderland have taken 4 points from 5 games this season, with a goal difference of -4, while Brighton sit on 10 points from the same number of matches and a goal difference of +11.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Brighton35311165+1110
Sunderland145113610-44
Team News Predicted

Sunderland vs Brighton Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
R. Roefs
D. Methalie
D. Ballard
K. Danso
N. Mukiele
N. Sadiki
G. Xhaka
N. Angulo
E. Le Fee
T. Meunier
B. Brobbey

Brighton

4-2-3-1
B. Verbruggen
O. Boscagli
P. Struijk
L. Vuskovic
F. Kadioglu
P. Gross
Chema Andres
M. De Cuyper
Y. Ayari
D. Gomez
C. Kostoulas
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Brian Brobbey (Sunderland): Brian Brobbey has 3 goals in 401 minutes this season and, if passed fit, remains Sunderland’s likeliest source of a goal.
    • Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland): Enzo Le Fée leads Sunderland’s creative numbers with 8 chances created to go with 1 goal and 1 assist.
    • Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton): Charalampos Kostoulas has scored 2 goals from 13 shots this season, with 5 on target, and looks Brighton’s chief threat again at the Stadium of Light.

    Recent Form

    Sunderland: L W D L L

    • 2026-09-20: Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Brentford 1-1 Sunderland (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham (W, home)
    • 2026-08-22: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland (L, away)

    Sunderland’s form reads L W D L L: beaten 5-3 at Manchester City and 0-2 at home by Arsenal, with a 1-1 draw at Brentford and a 1-0 win over Fulham either side of a 2-1 loss at Ipswich Town.

    Brighton: W L D W W

    • 2026-09-19: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Coventry City 0-5 Brighton (W, away)
    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, home)
    • 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (L, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (W, home)

    Brighton’s form reads W L D W W: a 3-0 win over Arsenal and a 5-0 win at Coventry City either side of a 1-1 draw with Leeds, alongside a 4-3 loss at Chelsea and a 4-0 win over Aston Villa.

    Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction

    Expect a tight, low-scoring afternoon at the Stadium of Light, with Brighton’s control reflected in their +11 goal difference against Sunderland’s -4. The Signal model lands on a 0-1 win for Brighton, with Kostoulas the man most likely to get the goal that decides it.

    Squawka Signal

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    Premier League AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelOver 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league