Newcastle vs Liverpool: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Newcastle host Liverpool at St James’ Park on Sunday, August 23 (11:30 AM ET / 10:30 AM CT / 8:30 AM PT).

Newcastle will monitor calf-shin-heel doubt Valentino Livramento and groin-hip-pelvic doubt Fabian Schar before kickoff, with the sidelined Joelinton missing entirely. Bruno Guimarães and Nick Woltemade should anchor the side, with Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes providing support from wide. Liverpool’s absence list runs longer: the injured Hugo Ekitike joins the sidelined Conor Bradley, Joe Gomez, Jayden Danns and Giovanni Leoni, while knee doubt Jeremy Jacquet, groin-hip-pelvic doubt Curtis Jones and the doubtful Alexis Mac Allister round out the list. Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo and Dominik Szoboszlai carry the added attacking burden with the injured Ekitike unavailable.

This is the fixture that traditionally kicks off the Premier League calendar, and St James’ Park should be rocking for it. Newcastle head into the new campaign on the back of a productive finish last time out, a home win over West Ham the headline result, while Liverpool closed their season with defeat at Aston Villa sandwiched among home form against Chelsea and Crystal Palace. Both sides had front lines that found goals regularly a season ago, and with Newcastle’s attack built around Guimarães and Woltemade, and Liverpool still able to call on Salah and Gakpo even without Ekitike, goals feel the natural expectation on Tyneside.

US viewers can watch Newcastle vs Liverpool on NBC and Peacock.

Newcastle vs Liverpool: Best Bets & Predictions

Newcastle host Liverpool in a Premier League season-opener loaded with goals potential at St James' Park.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Liverpool to WinLiverpool travel with proven quality in Salah, Gakpo and Szoboszlai even without the injured Ekitike, enough firepower to take control on Tyneside.

53%win prob.-112 @ bet365

Both Teams to Score – YesTop pickNewcastle's front line racked up 9 goals from Guimarães and 8 from Woltemade last season, while Liverpool's Salah, Gakpo and Szoboszlai were just as prolific, and neither defense looks built for a clean sheet on opening weekend.

69%chance-225 @ bet365

Over 2.5 GoalsWith Guimarães, Woltemade and Barnes among the goal contributors for Newcastle and Salah, Gakpo and Szoboszlai doing the same for Liverpool last season, this looks built for goals at both ends.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Newcastle 1-2 LiverpoolA narrow away win with goals at both ends fits a Liverpool side that can call on Salah and Gakpo up front, even without the injured Ekitike.

11%chance850 @ bet365

Mohamed Salah Anytime GoalscorerSalah scored 7 goals last season and topped Liverpool's shot count with 68 attempts, giving him the clearest route to goal at St James' Park.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we lean on last season's underlying attacking numbers and the market's read of Sunday's game to build picks that back goals at both ends without ignoring Liverpool's edge in overall quality.

Trade these markets on KalshiNew users get $10 — trade $10 to unlock. Prices update live.

Trade on Kalshi →

If Kalshi isn’t your choice, we also rate Polymarket and ProphetX — or compare the full lineup.

Compare All →

Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.

Back these with bet365Odds shown for your region — toggle the odds beside each pick above.

Bet with bet365 → bet365 review

Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

Neither side has kicked a ball in the new Premier League season yet, so Newcastle and Liverpool both start level on zero points with no positions to speak of — Sunday’s game at St James’ Park effectively opens the board for both clubs.

Premier League

Shop the matchNewcastle United v LiverpoolOfficial kits via Fanatics

adidasMen's adidas Black Newcastle United Home 2026/27 Replica Jersey$99.99ShopadidasMen's adidas Red Liverpool 2026/27 Home Replica Jersey$100.00ShopadidasMen's adidas White Liverpool 2026/27 Away Replica Jersey$100.00Shop

Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.

Potential Match-Winners

• Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle): Bruno Guimarães scored 9 goals and created 45 chances last season, the complete central influence Newcastle build attacks around.
• Nick Woltemade (Newcastle): Nick Woltemade managed 8 goals inside 1912 minutes last season, a return that points to real sharpness in front of goal.
• Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Mohamed Salah topped Liverpool’s chance-creation numbers with 49 created chances to go with 7 goals of his own last season, still the focal point of their attack.

Recent Form

Newcastle: L L W D W

• 2026-05-17: Newcastle 3-1 West Ham (W, home)
• 2026-05-10: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)
• 2026-05-02: Newcastle 3-1 Brighton (W, home)
• 2026-04-25: Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle (L, away)
• 2026-04-18: Newcastle 1-2 Bournemouth (L, home)

Newcastle’s last competitive outing was a 3-1 win over West Ham at St James’ Park, a scoreline that followed a 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest and another 3-1 home win over Brighton, sandwiched by defeats at Arsenal and against Bournemouth at home.

Liverpool: W W L D L

• 2026-05-15: Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool (L, away)
• 2026-05-09: Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (D, home)
• 2026-05-03: Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool (L, away)
• 2026-04-25: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace (W, home)
• 2026-04-19: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (W, away)

Liverpool won at Everton 2-1 and beat Crystal Palace 3-1 at home before a rougher run — a 3-2 loss at Manchester United, a 1-1 draw with Chelsea, and a 4-2 defeat at Aston Villa to close last season.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

Newcastle and Liverpool both start the 2026/27 season with a clean slate, so this is about early-season form and firepower rather than table position. We expect goals in a tight opener, with Liverpool’s attacking depth just enough to see them win on the road. Our call: 1-2 at St James’ Park.