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Home » News » Premier League » Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Newcastle vs Aston Villa predicted formations

Newcastle host Aston Villa at St. James’ Park on Saturday, October 17 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).

Newcastle will be without the injured Ewen Jaouen and Valentino Livramento this weekend, and doubts remain over Jacob Ramsey, Anthony Elanga, Dan Burn, Amar Dedic, Lewis Miley and William Osula. That leaves extra responsibility on Joseph Willock, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Lewis Hall and Sven Botman to carry the home side’s threat going forward. Aston Villa travel to St James’ Park without the ruled-out Amadou Onana, Ian Maatsen, Modou Cisse, Leon Goretzka and Matteo Ruggeri, with Brian Madjo and George Hemmings also doubtful, leaving Nicolas Jackson, John McGinn, Johan Manzambi and Emiliano Buendía as the players Villa will lean on.

Newcastle have taken eight points from six league games this season, while Aston Villa have collected five points from the same number of matches, and that gap feels fair given how each side has performed domestically. St James’ Park has seen goals at both ends in recent home games, and with Villa shipping chances on the road, the pattern points toward another game where both teams find the net before Newcastle’s extra quality decides it.

US viewers can watch Newcastle vs Aston Villa on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
NewcastleNewcastle45%mkt 44%Our pick
DrawDraw24%mkt 26%
Aston VillaAston Villa31%mkt 32%

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Newcastle at 45% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result
Kalshi42¢
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Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Newcastle

Back Newcastle with bet365
The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNewcastle 2-1 Aston VillaThis mirrors the shape of Newcastle's 2-1 win over Hull City, with Joseph Willock and Harvey Barnes both already among the goals this season.
—
9%
Model read
›
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreNicolas Jackson has already scored twice for Aston Villa this season, giving the visitors a route to goal even as Newcastle's own attack looks well-equipped at St James' Park.
63%
63%
In line
›
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Newcastle's results have swung between 2-2 draws and 4-1 defeats this season, a sign that goals have flowed at both ends in their matches.
61%
61%
In line
›
Anytime ScorerJoseph Willock to score anytimeJoseph Willock has already scored twice this season and offers Newcastle a set-piece and aerial threat from midfield.
—
36%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Newcastle sit on eight points from six games, with two wins, two draws and two losses to their name, while Aston Villa have collected five points from the same number of matches, winning one, drawing two and losing three.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Newcastle1162221013-38
Aston Villa166123611-55
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Team News Predicted

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
L. Hornicek
L. Hall
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
L. Miley
J. Willock
Nico Gonzalez
H. Barnes
Y. Wissa
J. Murphy
M. Fernandez-Pardo

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
Z. Suzuki
M. Ruggeri
T. Mings
V. Lindelof
M. Cash
Joao Gomes
B. Kamara
J. Manzambi
E. Buendia
J. McGinn
N. Jackson
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Joseph Willock (Newcastle): The defensive midfielder has scored twice already this season, offering Newcastle a physical presence and set-piece threat from midfield.
    • Harvey Barnes (Newcastle): Harvey Barnes has scored once but leads Newcastle’s creative play, setting up ten chances and hitting five shots on target from eleven attempts this season.
    • Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa): Nicolas Jackson has scored twice for Aston Villa this season, testing keepers with four shots on target from twelve attempts, and remains the visitors’ likeliest source of a goal at St James’ Park.

    Recent Form

    Newcastle: D W D L W

    • 2026-09-19: Newcastle 2-1 Hull City (W, home)
    • 2026-09-14: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (L, away)
    • 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, home)

    Newcastle have drawn two, won two and lost one of their past five league matches: a draw, a win, a draw, a loss and a win in that exact order. The sequence closes with a 2-1 win over Hull City at St James’ Park, following a 4-1 loss at Leeds and a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth.

    Aston Villa: L D L W D

    • 2026-10-10: Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford (D, home)
    • 2026-09-19: Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa (W, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa (D, away)
    • 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (L, home)

    Aston Villa have lost two, drawn two and won one of their last five in the league – a loss, a draw, a loss, a win and a draw. The only win in that run came away at Tottenham by a 2-3 scoreline, with the sequence ending in a 2-2 draw against Brentford.

    Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

    Signal’s model settles on a 2-1 win for Newcastle, with goals at both ends matching the pattern this fixture has followed all season. Joseph Willock has the scoring pedigree to add to Newcastle’s tally, while Nicolas Jackson gives Aston Villa a route to goal, before the hosts’ extra edge at St James’ Park proves decisive.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Newcastle v Aston Villa.

    Premier League AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelBoth Teams to Score predictionsThis week’s picks across the league