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Everton vs Chelsea: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Everton vs Chelsea predicted formations

Everton host Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday, October 17 (7:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM CT / 4:30 AM PT).

Everton’s only fitness concern of note is doubtful Vitalii Mykolenko, while Chelsea travel to Merseyside without the injured Jamie Gittens (ankle/foot) and the sidelined Reece James and Emmanuel Emegha. Thierno Barry and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall carry Everton’s attacking weight, the striker with 3 goals from 22 shots and the attacking midfielder adding 15 chances created, while JoΓ£o Pedro, Cole Palmer and Morgan Rogers lead a Chelsea front line that has produced 11 goals between them this season.

Both sides sit level on 10 points from 6 games, though the routes there differ: Everton have done it by not losing, Chelsea by scoring freely at both ends. Hill Dickinson Stadium has rarely stayed quiet when Everton are involved this season, and with JoΓ£o Pedro and Cole Palmer driving a Chelsea attack that has already shown it can be got at, the pattern of goals flowing at both ends looks set to continue.

US viewers can watch Everton vs Chelsea on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
EvertonEverton36%mkt 30%Value +6
DrawDraw24%mkt 25%
ChelseaChelsea40%mkt 46%Our pick

Everton vs Chelsea: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Chelsea at 40% — no edge over the market on the result. The market’s soft on Everton (+6) — our value angle.

In lineno standout edge on the result
Back Chelsea @ 46¢ · Kalshi · $100 → $217New to Kalshi? Trade $25, Get $25 Bonus · 18+

Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Chelsea

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreEverton 1-2 Chelsea
—
8%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreEverton have found the net in high-scoring draws like their 2-2 with Manchester United, while Chelsea have shipped goals in 4 of their last 5 games, including a 3-0 loss at Brentford.
61%
62%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Chelsea have been part of games with 5-plus goals in at least 3 of their last 5 league outings – 5-1 over Bournemouth and 4-3 over Brighton among them – a trend that points to goals at both ends again.
59%
60%
In line
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Everton sit on 10 points from 6 games, unbeaten with 2 wins and 4 draws for a +3 goal difference, while Chelsea match them exactly on 10 points from 6 games, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses for a +2 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Everton5624085+310
Chelsea663121513+210
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Team News Predicted

Everton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI β€” updated for the latest team news.

Everton

4-2-3-1
J. Pickford
J. Branthwaite
M. Keane
J. Tarkowski
A. Maitland-Niles
H. Armstrong
J. Garner
J. Grealish
K. Dewsbury-Hall
B. Johnson
T. Barry

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
E. Martinez
L. Colwill
M. Lacroix
J. Acheampong
Pep Chavarria
M. Caicedo
J. Henderson
Pedro Neto
M. Rogers
C. Palmer
Joao Pedro
    Squawka Β· Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Thierno Barry (Everton): Thierno Barry leads Everton’s line with 3 goals in 505 minutes this season, backed up by 22 shots and 8 on target – the clearest sign of where Everton’s main threat comes from.
    • JoΓ£o Pedro (Chelsea): JoΓ£o Pedro has been Chelsea’s most clinical weapon, scoring 5 goals and adding 3 assists in just 432 minutes, with 6 of his 13 shots on target.
    • Cole Palmer (Chelsea): Cole Palmer remains Chelsea’s creative hub, chipping in 2 goals and 3 assists while creating a team-high 13 chances from his 531 minutes on the pitch.

    Recent Form

    Everton: D D D W D

    • 2026-10-11: Hull City 2-2 Everton (D, away)
    • 2026-09-19: Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town (W, home)
    • 2026-09-12: Tottenham 0-0 Everton (D, away)
    • 2026-09-06: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (D, away)

    Everton have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, including 2-2 draws at home to Manchester United and away to Hull City, with their only win in that spell a 1-0 defeat of Ipswich Town.

    Chelsea: W L D L W

    • 2026-10-10: Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth (W, home)
    • 2026-09-18: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (D, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (W, home)

    Chelsea’s form has swung from one extreme to the other across their last 5 games – a 5-1 win over Bournemouth and a 4-3 win over Brighton either side of a 3-0 loss at Brentford and a 2-1 loss at Arsenal, plus a 2-2 draw at home to Hull City.

    Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

    Our Signal model lands on a 1-2 away win, with JoΓ£o Pedro among the likely scorers as Chelsea’s extra cutting edge proves decisive. Chelsea arrive with 3 wins from 6 games to Everton’s 2, and that difference in the final third should matter again here. But the market’s price on Everton, out at +200, looks too generous given their unbeaten run of 2 wins and 4 draws – the value, even in defeat, sits with the home side.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Everton v Chelsea.

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