Arsenal vs Leeds: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Arsenal host Leeds at Emirates Stadium on Saturday, October 10 (7:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM CT / 4:30 AM PT).

Arsenal will be without the injured Saliba, out with a lower back issue, while a thigh problem has also sidelined Tzolis. Doubts remain over Rice, Havertz, Mosquera and White heading into the weekend, but Saka continues to lead the attack with 3 goals and 9 shots on target this season, and Calafiori has chipped in 2 assists from left back. Leeds travel to the Emirates without the injured Joseph, Rodon and Wilson, leaning instead on Calvert-Lewin, who already has 3 goals this term, alongside the creative presence of Stach in midfield.

This has the makings of a tight, low-scoring contest. Arsenal have taken 12 points from 5 games, their only blemish a 3-0 loss away to Brighton, while Leeds have taken 9 points from 5 without losing once, a run built on draws rather than victories. Both sides actually share a +4 goal difference, but Leeds have shown they can go long stretches without scoring, and Arsenal’s control in central areas should be enough to find one route through without this one turning into a shootout.

US viewers can watch Arsenal vs Leeds on NBC and Peacock.

Season Form & Standings

Arsenal have taken 12 points from 5 games this season, with Leeds just 3 points behind on 9 from the same 5 matches — both sides level on a +4 goal difference.

Premier League

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Potential Match-Winners

• Bukayo Saka (Arsenal): Arsenal’s most advanced creator this season with 3 goals and 9 shots on target, Saka is the first name on the team sheet going forward.
• Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal): The left back has already created 4 chances and set up 2 goals this season, underlining Arsenal’s threat from deep positions.
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): Leeds’ central striker leads their line with 3 goals and 7 shots on target already, their most consistent source of goal threat this season.

Recent Form

Arsenal: W W W W L

• 2026-09-19: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (L, away)
• 2026-09-12: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (W, away)
• 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (W, home)
• 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
• 2026-08-21: Arsenal 3-0 Coventry City (W, home)

Arsenal’s form reads W W W W L — 4 wins from their first 5 games, the sole defeat a 3-0 loss away to Brighton on September 19.

Leeds: W D D W D

• 2026-09-20: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace (D, home)
• 2026-09-14: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (W, home)
• 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
• 2026-08-30: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (D, home)
• 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)

Leeds’ form reads W D D W D — 2 wins and 3 draws across their opening 5 games, with no losses yet this season.

Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction

I’m backing a tight 1-0 win for Arsenal, with Saka the most likely source of the goal and Leeds’ defensive resolve on the road keeping this to a single moment of quality rather than anything approaching a shootout. Arsenal remain on 12 points from 5 games and should have enough in the final third even with Saliba out, while Leeds’ 9 points from 5 without a defeat suggests a draw is the main danger to the Gunners’ unbeaten home record this term.