Newcastle United host Everton at St James’ Park this weekend in a clash that could prove decisive in the mid-table battle of the 2025/26 Premier League season.
Both teams are separated by just one point and sit side-by-side in the league table, with Newcastle looking to build on their recent head-to-head dominance and Everton aiming to tighten up after a heavy defeat in the reverse fixture.
Kickoff is set for Saturday, February 28 at 10:00 AM ET, promising a contest full of intrigue as each side chases a crucial three points that could shape their run-in.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Newcastle’s attacking efficiency and Everton’s recent struggles in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this Premier League showdown. We’re particularly confident in Newcastle United to win, given their dominant showing in the last head-to-head and superior attacking stats over the course of the season.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United to Win | -138 @ Bet365 (57.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backed because Newcastle dominated the last H2H (4-1) and have a higher xG, shot volume, and accuracy. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -138 @ Bet365 (57.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Value here due to Newcastle’s high shooting output & 50%+ of recent games crossing this line. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -143 @ Bet365 (58.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because Newcastle concede frequently (39 goals in 27) and Everton can capitalize on chances. |
| Anytime Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade | +130 @ Bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Strong pick: Woltemade is getting quality chances (xG, shots per match). Drought must end soon. |
Our approach: Start with Newcastle to win, add Over 2.5 Goals or Both Teams to Score for parlay potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Season Form & Standings
The 2025/26 Premier League campaign has seen Newcastle United and Everton locked in a tight mid-table race. With 27 matches played, Everton sit ninth on 37 points, just one ahead of Newcastle in eleventh. Both sides have posted identical win percentages but differ sharply in style: Newcastle boast a more expansive attacking profile, while Everton rely on defensive solidity, reflected in their nine clean sheets to Newcastle’s seven. The outcome here could push either club closer to the European places or leave them nervously glancing over their shoulders in the final stretch of the season.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 9 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 37 |
| Newcastle | 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 36 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Nick Woltemade (Newcastle United): Averaging nearly 2.5 shots per game and is Newcastle’s leading scoring threat in the 2025/26 campaign. Woltemade’s movement and ability to get shots on target (conversion rate well above team average in the last H2H) make him a constant danger.
- Thierno Barry (Everton): The main outlet for Everton’s attack, Barry leads his side for shots per match and is their most likely goal threat, especially in transition situations.
All stats refer to the 2025/26 Premier League season.
Head-to-Head
Newcastle United and Everton have met 17 times in recent years, with Newcastle holding a slight edge (seven wins to six, with four draws). The most recent meeting saw Newcastle run out emphatic 4-1 winners at Goodison Park, demonstrating a clear gap in finishing quality between the sides.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Everton 1-4 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Newcastle United 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Newcastle United 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Everton 3-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction
In a fixture that typically produces goals and drama, Newcastle United’s superior attacking numbers and their resounding win in the last head-to-head make them the side to back at home. Everton have the defensive structure to frustrate, but Newcastle’s volume of chances, shot accuracy tip the balance. The best bet for this contest is Newcastle United to win at -137 with Bet365 (57.8% implied probability), combining recent dominance with underlying season data for a strong edge.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
More Premier League stats: EPL standings | Top scorers | Assist leaders | Full EPL stats hub