Toronto FC vs Nashville SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Toronto FC host Nashville SC at BMO Field on Wednesday, September 9 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

There are no fitness or suspension concerns to report for either side ahead of this one. Toronto FC will lean on Dániel Sallói and Josh Sargent up top, a pair who have scored 6 and 4 goals respectively this season, while Nashville SC continue to trust in Sam Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, who have scored 13 and 10 goals apiece to fire the visitors to the top of the East.

Toronto FC arrive 10th in the Eastern Conference with 25 points from 22 games, a side still searching for defensive control after conceding enough to sit on a -6 goal difference. Nashville SC, by contrast, sit top of the East on 52 points, built on a +30 goal difference that speaks to a team in complete control of games at both ends. Expect a cagey night at BMO Field: Toronto’s home form has been built on draws rather than victories, and against a Nashville defense this well organized, one moment of quality from Surridge or Mukhtar could be enough to decide it.

US viewers can watch Toronto FC vs Nashville SC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC: Best Bets & Predictions

Nashville SC head to BMO Field aiming to stretch their lead at the top of the Eastern Conference against a Toronto FC side still searching for form.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Nashville SCTop pickNashville sit top of the East with 52 points from a 16-4-2 record, while Toronto's -6 goal difference across 22 games points to a difficult night at BMO Field for the hosts.

48%win prob.115 @ bet365

0-1 Toronto FCWith Nashville boasting a +30 goal difference over 22 games and Toronto sitting at -6, a single Surridge or Mukhtar goal settling a tight contest fits both teams' profiles.

9%chance1000 @ bet365

NoNashville's +30 goal difference points to a defense capable of a clean sheet, while Toronto have managed only enough to sit at -6 across 22 games.

50%chance150 @ bet365

Under 2.5A projected 0-1 scoreline points to a low-scoring, cagey affair that stays under the 2.5 total.

53%chance135 @ bet365

Sam Surridge to score anytimeSurridge has scored 13 goals in 1179 minutes this season, making him the visitors' likeliest source of a goal.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh conference standings, recent form and underlying attacking output to land on the picks below, then stress-test each against the market before locking them in.

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Season Form & Standings

Nashville SC sit first in the Eastern Conference with 52 points from 22 games, a +30 goal difference underlining their dominance this season. Toronto FC sit 10th with 25 points and a -six goal difference, the gap between these two sides as wide as the standings suggest.

Eastern Conference

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Potential Match-Winners

• Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Sallói has fired 6 goals from 44 shots this season, with 21 of those on target, making him Toronto’s central attacking threat.
• Sam Surridge (Nashville SC): Surridge has scored 13 goals in 1179 minutes this season, comfortably Nashville’s most direct route to goal.
• Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): 10 goals and 31 chances created make Mukhtar the creative heartbeat of this Nashville side.

Recent Form

Toronto FC: D W D W D

• 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, home)
• 2026-08-23: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
• 2026-08-20: Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC (D, home)
• 2026-08-16: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (W, home)
• 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, away)

Toronto FC’s last five reads D W D W D: a 1-1 draw with NYCFC most recently, before that a 2-1 win at Inter Miami, a 3-3 thriller with Charlotte FC, a 2-1 home win over New England Revolution, and a 1-1 draw at NYCFC to open the run.

Nashville SC: D W W W W

• 2026-08-30: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati (W, home)
• 2026-08-23: Nashville SC 3-2 Columbus Crew (W, home)
• 2026-08-20: New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC (W, away)
• 2026-08-16: Nashville SC 4-1 Inter Miami (W, home)
• 2026-08-02: DC United 2-2 Nashville SC (D, away)

Nashville SC’s last five reads D W W W W: a 4-0 win over FC Cincinnati most recently, before that a 3-2 win over Columbus Crew, a 1-0 win at New York Red Bulls, a 4-1 win over Inter Miami, and a 2-2 draw at DC United to start the sequence.

Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction

Signal’s model has this finishing 0-1 to Nashville SC, a result that would extend their lead at the top of the East while leaving Toronto stuck in 10th. Given Nashville’s +30 goal difference and Toronto’s -six, a tight, low-scoring night at BMO Field feels the most likely outcome, with one Surridge or Mukhtar strike enough to settle it.