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Toronto FC vs CF Montreal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal predicted formations

Toronto FC host CF Montreal at BMO Field on Saturday, October 10 (1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT).

Toronto FC have no fresh absences to report, and the attacking picture centers on Daniel Sallói, a midfielder with seven goals and a team-high thirty chances created this season, alongside Josh Sargent, a striker with seven goals and nineteen shots on target of his own. CF Montreal’s lineup is expected to lean on Prince Owusu, a striker with fifteen goals and thirty-three shots on target, and Matthew Longstaff, a midfielder with two goals and twenty-five chances created from the middle of the park.

This has the makings of a cagey, low-scoring affair between two sides with defensive issues to work through — Toronto FC’s -12 goal difference and CF Montreal’s -20 both point to games short on quality at both ends. Toronto FC sit 13th in the Eastern Conference and still have something to play for, while CF Montreal are 15th and will need a big finish to the season to make up ground.

US viewers can watch Toronto FC vs CF Montreal on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Toronto FCToronto FC52%mkt 50%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 25%
CF MontrealCF Montreal24%mkt 27%

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 34%. Signal says 44%.

+10points of value · both teams to score

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreToronto FC 1-0 CF MontrealA 1-0 scoreline fits Toronto's reliance on Sallói and Sargent, who have scored 7 goals apiece, in a game we expect Montreal to struggle to break down away from home.
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10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoCF Montreal have won just 6 of their 27 games this season, and with no proven away firepower to match Toronto FC's, we expect only the home side to get on the scoresheet.
34%
44%
Strong value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5With Toronto FC's -12 goal difference and CF Montreal's -20 across 27 games apiece, neither side has shown the firepower for an open game, supporting the under.
36%
45%
Value
Anytime ScorerJosh Sargent to score anytimeJosh Sargent has scored 7 goals in 1,528 minutes this season, firing 47 shots including 19 on target, making him the likeliest Toronto FC player to find the net.
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—
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Toronto FC sit 13th in the Eastern Conference with 29 points from 27 games, while CF Montreal are 15th on 24 points from 27 games too.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC1327611103951-1229
CF Montreal152766153454-2024
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Team News Predicted

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Toronto FC

4-4-2
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
N. Gomis
Z. Monlouis
J. Gilman
D. Salloi
J. Osorio
N. Dorsch
T. Corbeanu
J. Sargent
L. Morgan

CF Montreal

3-4-1-2
S. Breza
J. Neal
B. Craig
B. Ceballos
L. Petrasso
V. Loturi
M. Longstaff
D. Bugaj
A. Sanchez
P. Owusu
D. Rios
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Daniel Sallói (Toronto FC): The midfielder leads Toronto FC with 7 goals and 30 chances created from 2,263 minutes, driving most of the team’s attacking threat from midfield.
    • Josh Sargent (Toronto FC): The striker has matched Sallói’s 7 goals from fewer minutes, backing it up with 47 shots and 19 on target.
    • Prince Owusu (CF Montreal): Montreal’s biggest individual threat, the striker has scored 15 goals from 68 shots and 33 on target, comfortably the most productive player on either side.

    Recent Form

    Toronto FC: D W L L L

    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-20: St. Louis City SC 3-1 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Orlando City 3-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire (D, home)

    Toronto’s form reads D W L L L across their last 5 matches. That run included a 4-4 draw with Chicago Fire and a 2-0 defeat at Nashville SC to close the month.

    CF Montreal: L L L L W

    • 2026-09-27: CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: CF Montreal 0-2 Columbus Crew (L, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Colorado Rapids 1-0 CF Montreal (L, away)
    • 2026-09-10: CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte FC (L, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal (L, away)

    CF Montreal’s form reads L L L L W across their last 5 games, with the solitary win a 3-1 victory over FC Cincinnati sandwiched by a 2-0 loss to Columbus Crew and a 1-0 defeat to Colorado Rapids.

    Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction

    Signal points to a tight, low-scoring night at BMO Field, with Toronto FC’s extra firepower up top the difference. Expect few clear sightlines on goal and a single moment, likely from Sallói or Sargent, that settles it. We’re backing a 1-0 win for Toronto FC, who sit 13th in the Eastern Conference, against a CF Montreal side 15th in the East still searching for results on the road.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Toronto FC v CF Montreal.

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