
San Jose Earthquakes host Minnesota United at PayPal Park on Saturday, August 22 (10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT).
San Jose Earthquakes head into this one with no fresh availability concerns, and their frontline options remain settled around Preston Judd, Timo Werner and Ousseni Bouda, the trio who’ve combined for the bulk of their goal threat this season. Minnesota United arrive with a similarly clean bill of health, leaning on Kelvin Yeboah and Anthony Markanich to carry their attack at PayPal Park.
This has the feel of a scrappy, low-event contest. San Jose have not exactly been banging in goals lately, and Minnesota’s form reads as stalemate after stalemate, so neither side looks like turning this into an end-to-end shootout. Expect a game decided by a moment rather than a string of chances, with Judd’s proven scoring touch the likeliest route to breaking the deadlock.
US viewers can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United: Best Bets & Predictions
San Jose look to end a rough patch against a Minnesota side short on goals, in a fixture shaping up tight at PayPal Park.
Our approach: every pick here is anchored to conference standings, verified recent form and real player output — no hunches, no filler.
If Kalshi isn’t your choice, we also rate Polymarket and ProphetX — or compare the full lineup.
Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
San Jose Earthquakes head into this one fourth in the Western Conference, still in the mix for the playoffs, while Minnesota United sit ninth in the same conference. Minnesota have picked up 25 points from 19 games, with 6 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses leaving them with a -5 goal difference.
Western Conference
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United | 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 25 |
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Minnesota United
3-4-3Potential Match-Winners
- Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): Preston Judd’s 11 goals lead the way for San Jose, built on 58 shots and 26 on target across the campaign — the clearest source of a game-winning strike here.
- Timo Werner (San Jose Earthquakes): Timo Werner has racked up 25 chances created in just 799 minutes, giving San Jose’s front line a creative outlet whenever they need it.
- Kelvin Yeboah (Minnesota United): Kelvin Yeboah remains Minnesota’s most direct threat with 8 goals from 39 shots, the kind of volume that keeps them in games even when results dry up.
Recent Form
San Jose Earthquakes: W L D L L
- 2026-08-16: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis City SC (L, home)
- 2026-08-02: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)
- 2026-07-26: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 LA Galaxy (D, home)
- 2026-07-23: San Jose Earthquakes 0-4 Orlando City (L, home)
- 2026-05-24: Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)
San Jose have managed one win in their last five matches (W L D L L). Their most recent outing was a 1-3 home loss to St. Louis City SC on August 16.
Minnesota United: D L D D D
- 2026-08-16: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United (D, away)
- 2026-08-02: Minnesota United 1-1 San Diego FC (D, home)
- 2026-07-26: Minnesota United 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps (D, home)
- 2026-07-23: Sporting KC 2-1 Minnesota United (L, away)
- 2026-05-23: Minnesota United 1-1 Real Salt Lake (D, home)
Minnesota have drawn four of their last five matches (D L D D D), with their only loss coming against Sporting KC. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw at Real Salt Lake on August 16.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Prediction
This looks tight. San Jose Earthquakes sit fourth in the West, still well-placed in the playoff race, while Minnesota United are ninth and short on answers going forward. Neither side has scored freely of late, and a moment of quality should settle it: Preston Judd’s finishing touch, 11 goals so far, looks like the difference. Expect a low-key 1-0 win for San Jose Earthquakes at PayPal Park.
