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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC predicted formations

New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, October 17 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

New York Red Bulls have no fresh fitness concerns to report, and the headline news centers on the form of Julian Hall, who has scored 11 goals this season and should once again lead the line, with Emil Forsberg pulling strings from midfield after creating a team-high 34 chances. Toronto FC, also with a clean bill of health, will lean on Dániel Sallói and Joshua Sargent up top, a pair who have each scored 7 goals this season.

New York Red Bulls have scored goals for fun at home recently, highlighted by a 4-1 rout of San Diego FC, and Toronto FC’s -11 goal difference suggests life won’t get any easier on the road. Still, Toronto FC have shown enough going forward to trouble most defenses this season, and it would be no surprise if Sallói or Sargent found the net even in defeat.

US viewers can watch New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls50% Our pick
DrawDraw23% 
Toronto FCToronto FC27% 

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has New York Red Bulls at 50% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result

Live market prices load here when the books open — Signal’s model read is above.

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNew York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto FCA 2-1 scoreline fits a game where Julian Hall's 11 goals give New York Red Bulls control while Toronto FC's -11 goal difference leaves them exposed at the other end.
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10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreDániel Sallói has 7 goals and Joshua Sargent 7 more for Toronto FC, enough of a threat to get on the scoresheet against a Red Bulls defense that has shipped goals too.
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60%
Model read
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5New York Red Bulls hit 4 goals in their last home game and Toronto FC have conceded freely all season with a -11 goal difference, pointing to a game with more than 2 goals.
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58%
Model read
Anytime ScorerAnytime Goalscorer – Julian HallJulian Hall leads all players in this match with 11 goals from 58 shots, making him the clearest route to a goal on either side.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

New York Red Bulls sit eighth in the Eastern Conference heading into this one. Toronto FC occupy 11th with 32 points from 28 games, still searching for the form to climb back into the playoff picture.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC1128711104152-1132
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Team News Predicted

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

New York Red Bulls

4-3-3
E. Horvath
D. Padelford
J. Bazan
J. Che
D. Nealis
M. Sofo
A. Mehmeti
R. Donkor
C. Cowell
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba

Toronto FC

4-3-3
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
N. Gomis
B. Kuscevic
R. Laryea
N. Dorsch
Alonso Coello
J. Osorio
D. Salloi
J. Sargent
T. Corbeanu
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls): Hall has scored 11 goals from 58 shots this season, with 32 shots on target underlining how clinical a threat he is up top.
    • Emil Forsberg (New York Red Bulls): Forsberg has created a team-high 34 chances for New York Red Bulls to go with 3 goals of his own, so expect him pulling strings centrally.
    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Sallói leads Toronto FC’s attack with 7 goals and 32 chances created, making him their biggest source of goal threat on the night.

    Recent Form

    New York Red Bulls: L W W L W

    • 2026-10-11: New York Red Bulls 4-1 San Diego FC (W, home)
    • 2026-10-01: New York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis City SC (L, home)
    • 2026-09-19: NYCFC 0-1 New York Red Bulls (W, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls (W, away)
    • 2026-09-10: LAFC 2-0 New York Red Bulls (L, away)

    New York Red Bulls head into this one on the back of a 4-1 demolition of San Diego FC at home, backing up wins over NYCFC and Columbus Crew either side of defeats to St. Louis City SC and LAFC.

    Toronto FC: W L L L W

    • 2026-10-10: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-20: St. Louis City SC 3-1 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Orlando City 3-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (W, home)

    Toronto FC arrive on the back of a 2-1 win over CF Montreal, but that followed a three-game losing run that saw them beaten by Orlando City, St. Louis City SC and Nashville SC in succession.

    New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

    With New York Red Bulls eighth in the East and Toronto FC 11th on 32 points, neither side can afford too many more slip-ups in the playoff race, and we’re backing the hosts to edge this one. Julian Hall’s finishing instincts should be enough to break down a Toronto FC side that has shipped goals at the wrong moments all season, while Dániel Sallói keeps Toronto FC interested at the other end. Expect a tight finish with New York Red Bulls edging it 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

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