New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC brings together two Eastern Conference sides level on 22 points at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison on Saturday, July 25, kicking off at 6:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM PT.
Our New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC prediction starts with a table that could barely be tighter. Both teams sit on 22 points, both have won six, drawn four and lost six, and both are clinging to the Eastern Conference playoff line. The Red Bulls are back on home turf after a chastening 3-1 loss at Philadelphia Union on the midweek restart, while the Crown drew 2-2 at home with Atlanta United on the same night.
The market frames this as a narrow home call. New York Red Bulls are the favorites at around a 45% chance, with Charlotte FC close behind and the draw firmly in play. That reflects home advantage more than any gulf in class, because on the table these two are inseparable. The value, though, sits in a game that should bring goals at both ends.
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC: Best Bets & Predictions
The market makes New York Red Bulls narrow home favorites in a meeting of two sides level on points and clinging to the Eastern Conference playoff line, and with the Red Bulls conceding in every game the value sits in goals at both ends.
Our approach: anchor on New York Red Bulls to win, add Julian Hall to score anytime, and treat a 2-1 home win as the natural scoreline in a game that should have goals.
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Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading; Correct Score and Anytime Goalscorer are Squawka estimates as those markets were not yet posted. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
bet365 had not yet posted lines for this fixture at time of writing; odds are served on click and shown in American format for illustration. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
The standings could hardly be closer. Both sides are locked on 22 points, and both are hanging on to an Eastern Conference playoff place. Charlotte FC edge it on goal difference, sitting seventh at +1, while New York Red Bulls are eighth at -9. That gap tells you how the two have gotten here: the Crown have kept it tighter, the Red Bulls have traded goals. The Eastern Conference table shows just how fine the margins are.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 22 |
| New York Red Bulls | 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 22 |
Positions shown are Eastern Conference standings, ordered by conference rank. The two have scored an identical 26 goals apiece; the difference is at the back, where NYRB have shipped 35 to Charlotte FC’s 25.
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC Predicted Lineups
Based on the XI each side started in their last match.
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3Charlotte FC
4-4-2Potential Match-Winners
- Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls): Hall is the Red Bulls’ leading scorer with nine goals and three assists, landing 16 shots on target across 1,375 minutes. He is the most obvious route to a home goal.
- Emil Forsberg (New York Red Bulls): Forsberg remains the creative hub, with four assists and a team-high 28 chances created. If NYRB carve Charlotte FC open, it likely runs through him.
- Pep Biel (Charlotte FC): Biel is the Crown’s most productive attacker, chipping in seven goals and five assists with 29 chances created from midfield. He shapes almost everything Charlotte FC do going forward.
- Idan Toklomati (Charlotte FC): Toklomati leads the line with five goals and 10 shots on target this season. Against a New York Red Bulls defense that has conceded in 14 straight, he should get his chances.
Recent Form
New York Red Bulls: W W D W L
- Jul 22: Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls (L, away)
- May 24: Sporting KC 1-2 New York Red Bulls (W, away)
- May 17: New York Red Bulls 1-1 NYCFC (D, home)
- May 14: New York Red Bulls 3-2 Columbus Crew (W, home)
- May 9: Chicago Fire 1-3 New York Red Bulls (W, away)
The Red Bulls have scored in every game since a blank 0-2 home loss to FC Dallas on May 3. The worry is at the other end. They have now conceded in 14 straight, the last shutout coming back on February 28 against New England Revolution, and Philadelphia Union punished them for three on the restart.
Charlotte FC: D L W W D
- Jul 22: Charlotte FC 2-2 Atlanta United (D, home)
- May 24: Charlotte FC 1-0 New England Revolution (W, home)
- May 17: Charlotte FC 3-1 Toronto FC (W, home)
- May 14: Charlotte FC 0-1 NYCFC (L, home)
- May 10: Charlotte FC 2-2 FC Cincinnati (D, home)
The Crown are unbeaten in three. They shared four goals with Atlanta United on the midweek restart, having signed off before the World Cup break with back-to-back wins. Their last defeat was the 0-1 home loss to NYCFC on May 14, and at 25 conceded they have been steadier than Saturday’s hosts.
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC Prediction
Two sides level on points, and precious little between them on the night. New York Red Bulls have home advantage and a front line that keeps scoring, but a defense that has not kept a clean sheet since February invites Charlotte FC back into it. Julian Hall is the pick to find the net, and with both back lines generous, a goal each way looks the percentage call. Back New York Red Bulls to win with bet365, treat a 2-1 home win as the natural landing spot, and expect goals. There is more on our MLS hub, while our soccer predictions and bet365 review round out the reading. Kick-off is 6:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM CT / 3:30 PM PT at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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