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Home » News » MLS » NYCFC vs Atlanta United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

NYCFC vs Atlanta United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

NYCFC vs Atlanta United predicted formations

NYCFC host Atlanta United at Citi Field on Wednesday, October 28 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

NYCFC go into this one leaning on Nicolás Fernández Mercau, the attacking midfielder who has produced fifteen goals from seventy-eight shots this season, with fellow attacking midfielders Hannes Wolf and Axel Ojeda also pushing into the final third. Atlanta United will look to strikers Miguel Almirón and Aleksey Miranchuk, who have six goals apiece, to carry the away side’s threat up top.

NYCFC sit 12th in the Eastern Conference and Atlanta United 14th, two teams still jostling for position in a crowded playoff picture rather than anything settled. The pair shared a 2-2 draw back in September, a game that hinted at the goalmouth action likely to repeat here, with Signal’s model landing on an open contest that finishes in NYCFC’s favor.

US viewers can watch NYCFC vs Atlanta United on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
NYCFCNYCFC53%mkt 59%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 26%
Atlanta UnitedAtlanta United24%mkt 27%

NYCFC vs Atlanta United: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has NYCFC at 53% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result
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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNYCFC 2-1 Atlanta UnitedAtlanta United's -14 goal difference shows how often they're conceding, while NYCFC's attack, led by Fernández Mercau's 15 goals, should be enough to edge a tight contest.
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10%
Model read
›
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreNYCFC and Atlanta United shared a 2-2 draw when they met in September, and both defenses continue to leak chances.
95%
57%
Priced in
›
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Their reverse fixture finished 2-2, and recent matches on both sides — including Atlanta's 1-3 loss to FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire's 2-1 win over NYCFC — have regularly gone beyond 2.5 goals.
97%
56%
Priced in
›
Anytime ScorerFernández Mercau to score anytimeFernández Mercau leads all players in this fixture with fifteen goals from seventy-eight shots, forty-three of them on target.
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—
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

NYCFC sit 12th in the Eastern Conference, still searching for the form to climb the standings, while Atlanta United are 14th with 30 points from 30 games played and a -14 goal difference that reflects a season of leaking goals.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Atlanta United143086163751-1430
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Team News Predicted

NYCFC vs Atlanta United Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

NYCFC

4-2-3-1
M. Freese
K. O'Toole
J. Sands
Thiago Martins
T. Gray
A. Perea
A. O'Neill
H. Wolf
N. Fernandez
A. Ojeda
Luighi Hanri

Atlanta United

4-3-3
L. Hoyos
E. Baez
J. Alonso
P. Diaz
T. Jacob
G. Galoppo
M. Amaro
T. Muyumba
M. Almiron
B. Embolo
A. Miranchuk
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC): Fernández Mercau leads the way for NYCFC with fifteen goals and sixty-two chances created from seventy-eight shots this season — he’s the focal point of this attack.
    • Axel Ojeda (NYCFC): Axel Ojeda has created forty-five chances and chipped in five goals, giving NYCFC depth in the final third.
    • Miguel Almirón (Atlanta United): Miguel Almirón has six goals and fifty-two chances created from sixty-two shots, making him Atlanta’s main source of goal threat on the road.

    Recent Form

    NYCFC: L D L L D

    • 2026-10-18: NYCFC 1-1 LAFC (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: Inter Miami 2-0 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Chicago Fire 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-19: NYCFC 0-1 New York Red Bulls (L, home)

    NYCFC’s last five league games have read L D L L D. That includes a 1-1 draw with LAFC and back-to-back losses to Inter Miami and Chicago Fire.

    Atlanta United: W D L W L

    • 2026-10-18: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (L, home)
    • 2026-10-15: CF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United (W, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Atlanta United 1-3 FC Cincinnati (L, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United (W, away)

    Atlanta United’s form over their last five matches reads W D L W L. That stretch featured a 3-0 win at CF Montreal sandwiched between home defeats to Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati.

    NYCFC vs Atlanta United Prediction

    NYCFC and Atlanta United have both shown they can be breached at the back, and this one looks set to echo their September meeting, a 2-2 draw in which both defenses were cut open. Expect Fernández Mercau to add to his season tally of fifteen goals as NYCFC’s firepower edges it at home. Signal has this finishing NYCFC 2-1 Atlanta United, with goals at both ends and the total climbing past 2.5.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind NYCFC v Atlanta United.

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