New England Revolution restart their MLS season at Gillette Stadium on Wednesday, July 22 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT), and few opponents look more welcome than a Toronto FC side yet to win since spring.
Our New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction starts with the gap between these two in MLS. New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference on 25 points, rested through the World Cup break, while Toronto FC arrive 12th and winless in nine league games.
bet365 make New England Revolution favorites at -109, with Toronto FC out at +275 and the draw priced at +250. The market reads this as a mismatch, and the case for the hosts is not hard to build.
Here is how we are approaching the New England Revolution vs Toronto FC card.
New England vs Toronto: Best Bets & Predictions
New England return fresh and favored against a Toronto side without a win in nine, and we lean toward a home win with goals in it.
Our approach: anchor on New England to win, add Dor Turgeman anytime, and treat New England 2-1 as the natural scoreline in a game that should have goals in it.
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This is one of a full slate of games this week; for more picks, see our soccer predictions.
Season Form & Standings
New England Revolution sit fourth in the Eastern Conference; Toronto FC are 12th in the MLS standings, three points below the playoff line. The Revs have scored 22 goals and kept the tighter defense of the two, while TFC have conceded 29, more than any side in the top half of the East.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 25 |
| Toronto FC | 12 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 15 |
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups
Based on the XI each side started in their last match.
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Toronto FC
3-4-2-1Potential Match-Winners
- Carles Gil (New England Revolution): The Revs’ creative hub has a team-high five goals and 35 chances created, roughly 2.5 per 90, pulling the strings from midfield.
- Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution): No New England player has fired more attempts than his 29 shots this season, and the market rates him the game’s likeliest scorer.
- Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): TFC’s main threat carries four goals and three assists, with 14 shots on target the clearest sign Toronto still create despite the winless run.
- Joshua Sargent (Toronto FC): The USMNT striker has three goals from 21 shots and gives Toronto a focal point, even if service has been thin during the slump.
Recent Form
New England Revolution: W W L W L
- May 24: Charlotte 1-0 New England (L, away)
- May 17: New England 2-1 Minnesota United (W, home)
- May 14: New England 0-3 Nashville SC (L, home)
- May 10: New England 2-1 Philadelphia Union (W, home)
- May 3: New England 1-0 Charlotte (W, home)
Three wins from those last five flattered a defense that has leaked in each of its past four outings, the last clean sheet coming on May 3 against Charlotte. New England have not played since late May, so sharpness after the break is the one open question.
Toronto FC: D L L L D
- July 17: Montréal 0-0 Toronto (D, away)
- May 24: Chicago Fire 2-1 Toronto (L, away)
- May 17: Charlotte 3-1 Toronto (L, away)
- May 9: Toronto 2-4 Inter Miami (L, home)
- May 2: Toronto 1-1 SJ Earthquakes (D, home)
Toronto returned from the break with a goalless draw at Montréal, but they remain winless in nine, a run stretching back to a 3-2 win over Colorado Rapids on April 4. Ten goals conceded across their last five games points to a defense that has managed only one clean sheet in that time.
New England vs Toronto Prediction
Everything points one way. New England Revolution are fresher, higher in the table and at home, while Toronto FC bring a nine-game winless run and a defense shipping goals. The value is in backing a home win that also produces goals, given the Revs’ attacking threat and Toronto’s leaks at the back. We will take New England to win at -109 with bet365, with both teams to score as the natural add-on; you can read our full bet365 review before you play. Kick-off is 7:30 PM ET at Gillette Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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