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Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas predicted formations

Charlotte FC host FC Dallas at Bank of America Stadium on Saturday, October 10 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

Charlotte FC have no fresh injury concerns to report, with Pep Biel the focal point of their attack after 12 goals from 57 shots, including 22 on target, in 2373 minutes this season. Liel Abada offers a second scoring threat in behind him, with 5 goals and 15 chances created in 1077 minutes. FC Dallas are similarly unaffected by absences, with Petar Musa (18 goals, 79 shots, 40 on target) and Logan Farrington (9 goals, 46 shots, 19 on target) set to lead the line.

Both sides arrive capable of scoring and conceding, and the underlying numbers back that up: our model makes both teams to score a 67% shot and overs a 64% shot in this one. Charlotte have shown they can trade blows away from home — beating DC United 2-1 and drawing 3-3 at Cincinnati — while Dallas have scored freely too, including a 4-3 win over Sporting KC. Expect an entertaining, open game at Bank of America Stadium that still tilts in Charlotte’s favor given Biel’s scoring form and the model’s 3.9-point edge toward the home side.

US viewers can watch Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Charlotte FCCharlotte FC48%mkt 44%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 25%
FC DallasFC Dallas29%mkt 32%

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Charlotte FC at 44%. Signal says 48%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreCharlotte FC 2-1 FC DallasPep Biel's 12 goals and Liel Abada's 21 shots on target suggest enough quality for Charlotte to edge a 2-1 finish in an open contest.
—
9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBTTS lands at a 67% clip in the model, and with Petar Musa's 18 goals for Dallas and Pep Biel's 12 for Charlotte, goals at both ends look likely.
67%
64%
Priced in
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5The model gives overs a 64% probability, backed by Petar Musa's 79 shots and Logan Farrington's 46 shots keeping Dallas's attack busy alongside Charlotte's own scoring threats.
64%
63%
In line
Anytime ScorerPep Biel to score anytimeBiel has found the net 12 times from 57 shots, with 22 on target, making him the obvious source of a Charlotte goal.
—
53%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Charlotte FC sit fourth in the Eastern Conference, well inside the playoff picture. FC Dallas are third in the Western Conference, also firmly in postseason contention. Charlotte have picked up 43 points from 27 games this season, with Dallas just ahead on 47 from the same number of matches played.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Charlotte FC42712784738+943

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
FC Dallas32713865042+847
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Team News Predicted

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Charlotte FC

4-3-3
K. Kahlina
H. Toffolo
T. Ream
H. Kessler
W. Cleary
D. Diani
A. Westwood
L. de la Torre
A. Saint-Maximin
A. Goodwin
Pep Biel

FC Dallas

3-4-2-1
J. Sirois
N. Norris
O. Urhoghide
S. Ibeagha
S. Moore
C. Cappis
Kaick
H. Johansson
S. Moreno
J. Valiente
L. Farrington
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Pep Biel (Charlotte FC): Pep Biel leads Charlotte’s attack with 12 goals from 57 shots, 22 of them on target, across 2373 minutes this season.
    • Liel Abada (Charlotte FC): Liel Abada has added 5 goals and 15 chances created in just 1077 minutes, offering a different kind of threat in behind Biel.
    • Petar Musa (FC Dallas): Petar Musa headlines Dallas’s forward line with 18 goals from 79 shots, 40 of them on target, in only 1710 minutes.

    Recent Form

    Charlotte FC: D W D W L

    • 2026-09-27: Charlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire (L, home)
    • 2026-09-20: DC United 1-2 Charlotte FC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-13: FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte FC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte FC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-06: Charlotte FC 0-0 Houston Dynamo (D, home)

    Charlotte FC’s last five league games have brought two wins, two draws and a loss. That run closed with a 0-1 home defeat to Chicago Fire on September 27, having also beaten DC United 2-1 away and drawn 3-3 at Cincinnati.

    FC Dallas: W W W D W

    • 2026-09-27: FC Dallas 1-0 LAFC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: FC Dallas 0-0 Austin FC (D, home)
    • 2026-09-13: FC Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers (W, home)
    • 2026-09-10: Minnesota United 1-2 FC Dallas (W, away)
    • 2026-09-06: FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting KC (W, home)

    FC Dallas go into this on a run of four wins and a draw in their last five matches. That sequence includes a 1-0 win over LAFC on September 27 and a 4-3 win over Sporting KC on September 6.

    Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas Prediction

    Charlotte FC are fourth in the Eastern Conference, firmly in the playoff picture, and FC Dallas sit third in the Western Conference chasing a similar goal. Pep Biel and Petar Musa both carry goal threats into this one, and with BTTS and overs both favored by the model, this one should have goals at both ends before Charlotte edge it 2-1 at Bank of America Stadium.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Charlotte FC v FC Dallas.

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