Tottenham host Everton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, May 24 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT) needing only a point to secure Premier League safety.
With relegation now a one-game shootout, the full scenario for Spurs is the context for everything below. Across town, West Ham face Leeds at the same kick-off needing a flip in the order.
Our Tottenham vs Everton prediction starts with the survival hook: Spurs sit 17th on 38 points and stay up with any home result against an Everton side with nothing on the table. A draw is enough on goal difference (-10 vs West Ham’s -22); only a Spurs loss combined with a West Ham win sends Spurs down. The path is in their hands.
bet365 prices Tottenham at -111 to win, with Everton at +260 and the draw at +290. That short Spurs price reflects fixture motivation and a feeble Everton side rather than home form — Spurs have won just two of their 18 home league games this season.
Tottenham vs Everton: Best Bets & Predictions
The survival hook leads, but every standard market still has a clean read on this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham to Win | -111 @ bet365 (52%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Spurs have been awful at home this season — only two wins from 18 — but Everton is the kindest possible final-day fixture: the visitors have not won in five, were dismantled 3-1 at home by Sunderland last weekend, and Tottenham have won the last four home league meetings between these sides without conceding in three of them. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 Tottenham | +850 @ bet365 (11%) | ⭐⭐ | Spurs’s home goals-against (a hefty 57 conceded across the season) and Everton’s 8-of-10 scoring run on the road point to a tight win with the visitors finding the net. |
| Richarlison Anytime Goalscorer | +130 @ bet365 (43%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Eleven league goals from 1,884 minutes and a season xG of 7.53 — Richarlison is overperforming his model but firing on the run-in. Against his former club at home with Spurs’s top option in a season-defining fixture, he is the obvious anytime call. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -138 @ bet365 (58%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Spurs have conceded in 13 of their 18 home matches and Everton averaged 1.2 away goals per game on the road. With Spurs needing the win and Everton happy to attack a soft Tottenham defense, the over fits. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -150 @ bet365 (60%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS has landed in 13 of Spurs’s 18 home games and Everton scored in eight of their last 10 on the road. Pair with Over 2.5 for the natural same-game double. |
Our approach: Start with Tottenham to Win as the survival anchor at -111, layer Richarlison anytime for the strongest player-prop angle on the card, and add BTTS for the natural over.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
The relegation third spot is the cleanest signal on the prediction-market side this weekend. Polymarket traders have leant heavily on Tottenham staying up because their final-day path is the easier one: any home draw against Everton is enough. Kalshi‘s contract on West Ham being the team to drop has firmed in recent days as traders have priced in Spurs’s softer fixture.
For this individual fixture, match-specific prediction market pricing for Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for the 90-minute call. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Season Form & Standings
Eleven points separate the teams in the table but neither has had a season to remember. The full 2025-26 Premier League relegation odds page tracks the live market and updates as the day plays out.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 12 | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 49 |
| Tottenham | 17 | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 38 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Richarlison (Tottenham): Eleven league goals from 1,884 minutes — Spurs’s top scorer and the obvious focal point against his former club. His 26 shots on target and 7.53 xG put him in the conversation with any forward in the league for output per minute.
- Mathys Tel (Tottenham): Four league goals and seven big chances created from just 1,269 minutes off the bench — a likely impact substitute who has shown enough to start in a must-win.
- Beto (Everton): Nine league goals and an 8.92 xG from just 1,559 minutes — Everton’s center-forward is the cleanest in-the-box threat and has the volume to punish a Tottenham defense that has shipped 57 league goals.
- Iliman Ndiaye (Everton): Six league goals, three assists and 4.28 xG plus a season-high 69 successful dribbles — the Everton attack runs through him and he carries the creative load with Grealish sidelined for the season.
Head-to-Head
Spurs have won the last four home Premier League meetings between these sides — 4-0, 2-1, 2-0 and 5-0 — and went to Goodison last October and won 3-0. The one recent blot was at Goodison in January 2025, when Everton ran out to a 3-0 half-time lead and held on for a 3-2 win. The overall record across the last 10 meetings is Spurs 5, draws 4, Everton 1.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Everton 0-3 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Everton 3-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tottenham 4-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Everton 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Tottenham 2-1 Everton | Premier League |
Recent Form
Tottenham: D W W D L (oldest left → most recent right)
- May 19, 2026: Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham (L, away)
- May 11, 2026: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (D, home)
- May 3, 2026: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham (W, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Wolves 0-1 Tottenham (W, away)
- Apr 18, 2026: Tottenham 2-2 Brighton (D, home)
Two wins from five but the Chelsea loss on Monday came at the worst possible moment, leaving Spurs entering the final day still in a relegation fight when a draw at Stamford Bridge would have already sealed safety. The squad is also stretched — a long-running injury list across attack and defense has ruled out five regulars for the year, and another senior player is in doubt as of mid-week.
Everton: L L D D L
- May 17, 2026: Everton 1-3 Sunderland (L, home)
- May 10, 2026: Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton (D, away)
- May 4, 2026: Everton 3-3 Manchester City (D, home)
- Apr 25, 2026: West Ham 2-1 Everton (L, away)
- Apr 19, 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (L, home)
No wins in five and a deeply concerning home loss to Sunderland last weekend that suggested the season had already finished mentally. The visitors are missing Branthwaite and Grealish for the season, and Idrissa Gueye is a doubt with a knock. Mid-table comfort and an end-of-season feel make this a tough fixture to read motivationally.
Tottenham vs Everton Prediction
Spurs control their own destiny — beat or draw against Everton and they are safe regardless of what happens at the London Stadium between West Ham and Leeds. The dreadful home record (just two wins in 18 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this season) is the obvious worry, but Everton is the kindest possible opponent — a side without a win in five, beaten 3-1 at home by Sunderland last weekend, and one Spurs have beaten in their last four home league meetings. That combination makes Tottenham to Win at -111 with bet365 the right anchor. Stack Richarlison anytime scorer and BTTS for the natural double. Kick-off is 11:00 AM ET at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER