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PSG vs Monaco: Predictions, odds, picks & stats

PSG Monaco 2502

Paris Saint-Germain welcome Monaco to the Parc des Princes in a clash that brings together two Ligue 1 sides in the Champions League.

PSG’s formidable attacking numbers and historical supremacy in this fixture will be tested against a Monaco side desperate for a turnaround.

Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, 25 February, in what promises to be a game of high stakes and tactical intrigue, with PSG holding a 3-2 aggregate lead from the first leg.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams To Score – Yes-163 @ Bet365⭐⭐⭐Despite PSG’s attacking flair, they’ve kept just 2 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals so far. Monaco have found the net in recent H2Hs and PSG’s high line can be vulnerable, suggesting value in both teams scoring.
Correct Score 2-1 PSG+900 @ Bet365⭐⭐PSG average 3 goals per match at home, but Monaco have managed 4 clean sheets and could make this tight. A 2-1 home win covers PSG’s strength and Monaco’s ability to keep things respectable at times.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

Both sides had to settle for the play-off route after missing out on automatic qualification to the last 16 during the league phase. PSG demonstrated their attacking quality with 21 goals scored — the second-highest tally among play-off teams — though two losses exposed occasional defensive lapses. Monaco, by contrast, struggled throughout the campaign, managing just eight goals while conceding 14, leaving them with a negative goal difference. While PSG’s four wins and 14 points secured 11th place with relative comfort, Monaco’s reliance on draws (four in eight matches) and inability to convert chances left them languishing in 21st position with just 10 points. After a thrilling 3-2 first leg win for PSG, the pressure is on Monaco to find a way to win in Paris.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
PSG1184222111+1014
Monaco218242814-610

Potential Match-Winners

•Ousmane Dembélé (PSG): The French winger has been a creative spark, averaging over 2 successful take-ons per match and regularly supplying dangerous balls into the box. His dribbling and pace are a key outlet for PSG.

•Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG): Known for his direct running and flair, his involvement in the final third is crucial—expect him to be a regular threat in and around the Monaco penalty area.

•Simon Adingra (Monaco): Monaco’s brightest attacking hope, Adingra averages several shots per 90 minutes and is often at the heart of their best attacking moves.

•Folarin Balogun (Monaco): Leads Monaco’s line and offers physicality and finishing—he’ll need to make the most of limited service if Monaco are to find a breakthrough.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

PSG have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning three of the last five meetings, including a dramatic 3-2 away victory just last week. Monaco have managed just one win in that period, but the matches have often produced goals and drama.

DateScoreCompetition
17/02/26Monaco 2-3 PSGChampions League
29/11/25Monaco 1-0 PSGLigue 1
07/02/25PSG 4-1 MonacoLigue 1
18/12/24Monaco 2-4 PSGLigue 1
01/03/24Monaco 0-0 PSGLigue 1

PSG vs Monaco prediction

With PSG’s relentless attacking output and a history of strong results against Monaco — especially at home — the signs point to another win. However, Monaco’s knack for keeping games tight means the visitors can’t be written off completely. For punters, we’re tipping both teams finding the net at -163 with Bet365. Will Monaco’s resilience frustrate the Parisian giants? Either way, this one is set up for fireworks in the French capital.

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