Following a one-sided first leg, Liverpool and PSG go head-to-head once more at Anfield in a high-stakes Champions League quarter-final second leg on Tuesday, April 14.
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Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday. PSG hold the edge in recent meetings and arrive with the competition’s most dominant possession game, but Liverpool’s defensive steel and outstanding shot efficiency mean this tie is still open.
With both clubs chasing continental glory, expect a tactical battle that could hinge on a moment of brilliance.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Liverpool’s resilient home form and PSG’s attacking intent, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in goals flowing at Anfield, given both teams’ impressive attacking metrics and tendency to create chances in Europe.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | -225 @ Bet365 (69.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Trailing 2-0 from the first leg, Liverpool must attack relentlessly at Anfield, guaranteeing an open, chaotic encounter. The Reds average 2.19 goals per Champions League match this season, while Paris Saint-Germain boast a formidable 2.77 goals per game. Arne Slot’s expansive approach will inevitably leave spaces for PSG’s electric counter-attacking trio to exploit. With both sides possessing elite firepower and Liverpool desperate to overturn the deficit, over 2.5 goals is highly likely. |
| Liverpool to Win | +140 @ Bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool are primed to overturn their 2-0 deficit and beat Paris Saint-Germain at Anfield. The Reds are formidable at home, averaging 3.0 goals per Champions League match on their own turf this season. Furthermore, Liverpool have historically troubled PSG at Anfield, famously winning 3-2 in 2018. With Arne Slot’s men desperate for a result and roared on by a ferocious home crowd, Liverpool’s intense attacking play will simply overwhelm the Parisian defence. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Polymarket Match Prediction: Live Odds & Win Probability
At the time of writing, Polymarket traders are viewing this heavyweight clash as a very tight contest, with Liverpool holding a marginal edge at a 41% implied probability on the moneyline. The market has seen a healthy $895K in volume, reflecting the magnitude of the tie, as Paris Saint-Germain are priced closely behind at 39¢ to win on the road, while the draw remains a strong possibility at 23¢. Here is how the live market is shaping up ahead of kickoff.
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Match Result Odds
| Outcome | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | +140 @ Bet365 |
| Draw | +340 @ Bet365 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | +160 @ Bet365 |
How Both Teams Head Into Liverpool vs PSG
It has been a typically eventful Champions League campaign for Liverpool under Arne Slot. The Reds finished third in the newly formatted league phase with 18 points, winning six of their eight matches and scoring 20 goals. Standout moments included a dramatic 3-2 victory over Atlético Madrid and a 6-0 thrashing of Qarabəğ at Anfield.
Despite a 1-0 defeat to Galatasaray in the first leg of the round of 16, Liverpool responded emphatically with a 4-0 home win, during which Mohamed Salah scored his milestone 50th Champions League goal. Summer signing Hugo Ekitike has also impressed, contributing three goals in Europe. However, the quarter-finals present a massive challenge — following a 2-0 first-leg defeat to PSG, Liverpool now trail on aggregate and need a famous Anfield European night.
Paris Saint-Germain’s 2025/26 Champions League campaign has been highly impressive under Luis Enrique. The French champions finished 11th in the league phase, winning four of their eight matches and scoring 21 goals. After edging past Monaco, PSG ruthlessly dismantled Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the round of 16. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been the standout performer with eight Champions League goals, and was instrumental in the first leg against Liverpool, scoring the second goal in a 2-0 victory after Désiré Doué had opened the scoring.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
PSG have won three of the last five Champions League meetings between these sides, including a 2-0 home win in the most recent encounter. Liverpool, however, have taken two wins in Paris and at Anfield, showing this rivalry is far from one-sided.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 | PSG 2-0 Liverpool | Champions League |
| 11/03/25 | Liverpool 0-1 PSG | Champions League |
| 05/03/25 | PSG 0-1 Liverpool | Champions League |
| 28/11/18 | PSG 2-1 Liverpool | Champions League |
| 18/09/18 | Liverpool 3-2 PSG | Champions League |
Will Liverpool’s Defence Stop PSG’s Possession Machine?
This tie brings together PSG’s slick, possession-heavy approach — leading the Champions League for ball retention and pass accuracy — against a Liverpool side that has been more clinical and defensively robust. Our strongest angle is goals, with Over 2.5 at -225 @ Bet365 (69.2%) looking the standout bet for a night of attacking football.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.