Liverpool host Crystal Palace at Anfield on Saturday afternoon with the Reds fifth on 55 points and still fighting for one of the Champions League qualifying spots, and Palace arriving as the side that comfortably beat them 2-1 at Selhurst Park in September.
The home side’s stakes are heavier, but recent head-to-head gives the Eagles something to stand on.
Liverpool are coming off a 2-1 derby win at Everton last weekend and a 2-0 home victory over Fulham before that. Palace sit 13th on 43 points. They drew at home to West Ham last time out to extend their unbeaten league run to four matches. The last five Premier League meetings have been remarkably tight — two wins apiece and a draw.
bet365 make Liverpool strong home favourites at -209 with Palace an outsider at +525.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | -209 @ bet365 (67.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Back-to-back wins over Fulham and Everton, and the top-four race still within reach. Anfield is the safest home floor in the division. |
| Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer | +130 @ bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Seven goals, six assists and 17 shots on target from 26 matches — still the primary outlet in red. |
| Over 2.5 goals | -175 @ bet365 (63.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool’s last six league games have averaged over 2.5 and Palace have found the net in four straight. |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta anytime goalscorer | +210 @ bet365 (32.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Ten Premier League goals and 28 shots on target — Palace’s most reliable source of goal wherever they play. |
Our approach: Liverpool to win anchors the ticket, Salah anytime goalscorer pairs cleanly as parlay value at bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Match-specific prediction market pricing for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace had not surfaced at time of writing — neither Kalshi nor Polymarket are running tradable match-result lines. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool. We’ll update here if Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Season Form & Standings
Liverpool are 5th and seven points clear of 6th-placed Chelsea; Palace sit mid-table, comfortably clear of the one remaining relegation slot. The gap in stakes is what to watch, and the full Premier League standings suggest the Reds still have work to do.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | +11 | 55 |
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 43 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Seven Premier League goals and six assists in 26 appearances, with an xG of 7.32 closely matching output. Still the first name on this Liverpool team sheet when fit.
- Florian Wirtz (Liverpool): Four goals and three assists in 29 matches, 36 successful dribbles and an xA of 5.84 — Liverpool’s creative engine this spring.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): Ten goals, 28 shots on target and an xG of 7.28 that he’s outperformed. Palace’s main route to goal in all forms.
- Ismaila Sarr (Crystal Palace): Seven goals and 14 shots on target in 22 matches; the pace and directness that has troubled the best defences this season.
Head-to-Head
An unusually balanced recent record — two wins apiece and a draw across the last five league meetings. Palace’s 2-1 win at Selhurst Park in September is the fresher number, and the Eagles have taken points from Anfield before.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Liverpool 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
Recent Form
Liverpool — L D L W W
- Apr 19, 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (Win, away)
- Apr 11, 2026: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Win, home)
- Mar 21, 2026: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool (Loss, away)
- Mar 15, 2026: Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham (Draw, home)
- Mar 3, 2026: Wolves 2-1 Liverpool (Loss, away)
Two wins on the bounce, including the derby, should steady the boat after a wobbly first half of March. Anfield has long been the easier half of the picture.
Crystal Palace — L W D W D
- Apr 20, 2026: Crystal Palace 0-0 West Ham (Draw, home)
- Apr 12, 2026: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle (Win, home)
- Mar 15, 2026: Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds (Draw, home)
- Mar 5, 2026: Tottenham 1-3 Crystal Palace (Win, away)
- Mar 1, 2026: Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace (Loss, away)
Two wins, two draws and one loss from a side that, by reputation, travels well. The 3-1 at Spurs and 2-1 win over Newcastle both speak to a Palace in control of how they want to play.
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Liverpool have the quality, the home form and a title-chasing level of motivation that Palace cannot match. Palace have a recent H2H record that says they can frustrate — but not, usually, win at Anfield. Back Liverpool to win with Salah anytime goalscorer at bet365 as the cleanest read of the 3pm window. The market is right about the winner; the question is how comfortably.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER