Fulham host Newcastle at Craven Cottage on Sunday, May 24 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT) on the Premier League’s final day, with both clubs locked into mid-table on 49 points apiece.
Our Fulham vs Newcastle prediction starts with the points picture: Newcastle, eleventh-placed with 49 points, travel to Fulham, thirteenth-placed with 49 — separated only by goal difference, with both already safe and outside the European race. Newcastle have endured a frustrating season under Eddie Howe and Fulham have managed Marco Silva’s quiet consolidation year. The trip to Craven Cottage is mid-table for mid-table with little more than pride at stake.
bet365 prices Newcastle at +125 to win on the road, with Fulham at +187 and the draw at +280. The away side carries the recent H2H — Newcastle won the reverse 2-1 at St James’ Park in October — and travel without Joelinton, who is sidelined with a knee problem.
Fulham vs Newcastle: Best Bets & Predictions
The away side is favored on form but Fulham’s home record gives the home side a real path.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle to Win | +125 @ bet365 (44%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle have won the last two PL meetings and arrive on a W-D-W in their last three. Fulham at home have lost six of 18 — a real underlying weakness. |
| Correct Score: 1-2 Newcastle | +900 @ bet365 (10%) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides have scored in 10 of Fulham’s 18 home games. The 2-1 from October repeats often enough to be the most likely away-win line on the card. |
| Nick Woltemade Anytime Goalscorer | +187 @ bet365 (35%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Eight league goals from 1,835 minutes — the German striker has been Newcastle’s best in-form forward and is a likely starter at Craven Cottage with Joelinton missing. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -163 @ bet365 (62%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle have averaged Over 2.5 in 15 of 19 home games and 10 of 18 away. Fulham’s 0-0 with Brentford was the only blank in five — the rest of their fixtures have averaged 2.8 goals. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -188 @ bet365 (65%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS landed in 10 of 18 Fulham home games and 10 of 18 Newcastle trips. With Newcastle’s away problems but Bruno Guimaraes’ nine goals, both teams scoring lines up with the season pattern. |
Our approach: Start with Newcastle to Win at +125, layer Woltemade anytime as the player-prop pick, and add Over 2.5 as the over-friendly leg.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
With both clubs in confirmed mid-table — neither in the European race, neither in the relegation race — the relevant prediction-market angle here is the Europa/Conference shootout above them. Polymarket and Kalshi price the Conference berth as a four-way race between Brighton, Brentford, Chelsea and Sunderland.
For this individual fixture, match-specific prediction market pricing for Fulham vs Newcastle United has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for the 90-minute call. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams sit in confirmed mid-table on 49 points apiece, separated only by goal difference. The 2025-26 Premier League Europa qualification odds page tracks the live race above and our Liverpool vs Brentford preview covers Brentford’s outside shot at the Conference spot.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 11 | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 53 | 53 | 0 | 49 |
| Fulham | 13 | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 49 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Nick Woltemade (Newcastle): Eight goals and three assists this season — the German has been the breakout in-form forward and is the natural anytime pick on the road.
- Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle): Nine goals and five assists this season — Newcastle’s midfield engine and a real arrival-from-deep threat.
- Harry Wilson (Fulham): 10 goals and six assists this season — the Welshman is Fulham’s leading scorer and the most likely home attacker to find the net.
- Raul Jimenez (Fulham): Nine goals and three assists this season — the Mexican has been the steadier striker option and should lead the line at Craven Cottage.
Head-to-Head
Newcastle have won the last two Premier League meetings between the clubs — Newcastle 2-1 at St James’ Park in October and 1-2 at home in February of the previous season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fulham 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Fulham 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Newcastle 3-0 Fulham | Premier League |
Recent Form
Fulham: D W L L D (oldest left → most recent right)
- May 17, 2026: Wolves 1-1 Fulham (D, away)
- May 9, 2026: Fulham 0-1 Bournemouth (L, home)
- May 2, 2026: Arsenal 3-0 Fulham (L, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa (W, home)
- Apr 18, 2026: Brentford 0-0 Fulham (D, away)
Two losses in three is a recent dip and the underlying home picture (10 wins from 18) is the better number — Fulham have been more solid at Craven Cottage than the trip suggests. Marco Silva’s side will be without Andersen, the suspended center-back who picked up a red card earlier in the run-in.
Newcastle: L L W D W
- May 17, 2026: Newcastle 3-1 West Ham (W, home)
- May 10, 2026: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)
- May 2, 2026: Newcastle 3-1 Brighton (W, home)
- Apr 25, 2026: Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle (L, away)
- Apr 18, 2026: Newcastle 1-2 Bournemouth (L, home)
Two wins in the last three home outings have settled the trajectory. The road brief remains the harder one — four wins from 18 trips — but Newcastle’s recent form against London opposition has been better than the headline number.
Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction
This is a final-day fixture between two safely mid-table sides, but the away side has the recent H2H and the in-form striker. Newcastle to Win at +125 with bet365 is the call, with Nick Woltemade’s anytime line as the value lean. Kick-off is 11:00 AM ET at Craven Cottage.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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