Fulham host Aston Villa at Craven Cottage in the lunchtime kick-off on Saturday with the visitors in fourth place and clinging on to the last Champions League qualifying spot, and the hosts searching for one more meaningful win to finish the season with something to show for it.
The market is calling this a coin flip; the head-to-head record is doing no such thing.
Kick-off is 12:30 PM local (7:30 AM ET) on Saturday, April 25. Villa arrive on the back of a 4-3 victory over Sunderland at Villa Park and sit 4th in the Premier League on 58 points, level with Manchester United and three clear of Liverpool. Fulham are 12th on 45, safe and settled, and have just played out a goalless draw at Brentford after a 2-0 defeat at Anfield.
bet365 have both sides priced at +155 to win, with Villa marginally the sharper move this week. Ollie Watkins at +175 to score is the anytime goalscorer pick that keeps appearing in the numbers.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | +155 @ bet365 (39.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Villa have won the last five Premier League meetings against Fulham by a combined 12-4 and are still fighting for the top four. |
| Ollie Watkins anytime goalscorer | +175 @ bet365 (36.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Eleven goals and 29 shots on target this season, with an xG of 9.63 that he has comfortably outperformed. |
| Both teams to score — Yes | -163 @ bet365 (61.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams scored in four of the last five Villa Premier League games, and Fulham have found the net at home in three of their last four. |
| Morgan Rogers anytime goalscorer | +210 @ bet365 (32.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nine goals and five assists from 33 matches, with 31 shots on target — Villa’s most consistent creator and finisher from deep. |
Our approach: anchor with Villa to win, add Watkins anytime goalscorer for the parlay, and Rogers as the long-shot third leg at bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Polymarket has listed the Fulham vs Aston Villa fixture, though full match-result pricing was not visible at time of writing. Kalshi has not loaded a match-level market for the game. The sportsbook pricing is the cleaner tool for this one, and we will update here if either venue puts up tradable match-result lines.
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Season Form & Standings
Villa’s 4th-placed finish is still in their hands — three points clear of Liverpool with five to play — though the race for Europe in the Premier League standings tightens every week. Fulham, comfortably clear of any trouble, are playing for pride.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 41 | +6 | 58 |
| Fulham | 12 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa): Eleven Premier League goals and 29 shots on target in 32 matches; xG of 9.63 suggests his finishing has been above even his elite underlying numbers.
- Morgan Rogers (Aston Villa): Nine goals and five assists in 33 matches, 37 successful dribbles and 11 big chances created — Villa’s attacking heartbeat whenever he has the ball.
- Harry Wilson (Fulham): Ten goals and six assists in 31 appearances, 24 shots on target, with an xG of 5.6 comfortably bettered. The Cottagers’ most productive attacker by distance.
- Raúl Jiménez (Fulham): Nine goals and 17 shots on target this season, plus an xG of 8.68 that he has matched almost exactly — still the central reference point for this Fulham side.
Head-to-Head
Villa have won the last five Premier League meetings, outscoring Fulham 12-4 in the process. The most recent was the 3-1 at Villa Park in September, when the Midlands side saw out the game after a first-half lead.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
Recent Form
Fulham — L D W L D
- Apr 18, 2026: Brentford 0-0 Fulham (Draw, away)
- Apr 11, 2026: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Loss, away)
- Mar 21, 2026: Fulham 3-1 Burnley (Win, home)
- Mar 15, 2026: Nottingham Forest 0-0 Fulham (Draw, away)
- Mar 4, 2026: Fulham 0-1 West Ham (Loss, home)
Two goalless draws in three suggests a side that has run out of things to chase. The Burnley win aside, it has been a lukewarm stretch.
Aston Villa — L L W D W
- Apr 19, 2026: Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland (Win, home)
- Apr 12, 2026: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa (Draw, away)
- Mar 22, 2026: Aston Villa 2-0 West Ham (Win, home)
- Mar 15, 2026: Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa (Loss, away)
- Mar 4, 2026: Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea (Loss, home)
That 4-3 over Sunderland tells you everything about Villa right now. The attacking output is there, the defensive tolerance less so; the fixture format is the only thing between them and a cleaner finish.
Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction
Villa have the motivation and the head-to-head. Fulham have the home advantage but not the same edge. Back Villa to win with Watkins anytime goalscorer at bet365 as the cleanest read of the Saturday early-kick window. The market is set for a close game, but the stakes sit heavier on one side.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER