Bournemouth host Manchester City at the Vitality Stadium on Tuesday, May 19 at 3:30 PM ET / 2:30 PM CT / 12:30 PM PT, with Pep Guardiola’s side two points behind Arsenal and needing wins in both remaining games to hold any title arithmetic into the final day.
Our Bournemouth vs Manchester City prediction starts with the table. City sit second on 77 points, two behind Arsenal with two games to play, and arrive off a 3-0 win over Crystal Palace on Wednesday that kept the title race alive. Bournemouth are sixth on 55 points and chasing a top-six finish that has stayed within reach all season.
bet365 has not yet priced this fixture — lines are typically posted 48 to 72 hours from kick-off. We have left placeholders below and will update each market when the book opens. Check the bet365 odds page for the latest.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City: Best Bets & Predictions
The Bournemouth vs Manchester City betting angle leans heavily toward the visitors. City have won nine of their last 10 Premier League meetings between these teams, and Erling Haaland is the league’s top scorer on 26 goals with a title race riding on every match.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland to score anytime | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | The league’s leading scorer on 26 goals from 58 shots on target. Haaland has scored in seven of City’s last 10 league matches and has a title race riding on every minute. |
| Manchester City to win | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | City have won nine of the last 10 Premier League meetings, including 3-1 at the Etihad in November. The title race forces a maximum-effort selection. |
| Over 2.5 goals | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | City have averaged 2.1 goals per league match this season and Bournemouth have shipped 52 in 36 games. Eight of the last 10 head-to-heads have gone over 2.5. |
| Both teams to score: Yes | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Bournemouth have scored in eight of their last 10 home matches. City have conceded in seven of their last 10 away days. |
| Correct Score: 1-3 Manchester City | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Mirrors both Etihad scorelines in this fixture’s last two meetings (Nov 2025 and May 2025). Aligns with the moneyline, Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. |
Our approach: anchor on Haaland anytime and the City moneyline. The 1-3 correct score and Over/BTTS parlay both ride on the same script — City score early, Bournemouth get one back, the visitors close it out.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for Bournemouth vs Manchester City has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The bet365 sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Two of the league’s better fixed-XI sides at very different points of the table. City carry a +43 goal difference and need to win out to keep pressure on Arsenal at the top. Bournemouth’s +4 GD is their best since promotion and reflects a genuine top-half side rather than the lottery-ticket projects of recent years.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 32 | +43 | 77 |
| Bournemouth | 6 | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 55 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Erling Haaland (Manchester City): The Premier League’s leading scorer with 26 goals from 58 shots on target and an xG of 18.26 — a season where the underlying numbers and the finishing both lined up. He has scored in both league meetings with Bournemouth this season.
- Phil Foden (Manchester City): Seven league goals and five assists across 1,960 minutes, with 11 big chances created. He has stepped into the deeper creator role since the January window and remains City’s most reliable second-line scorer.
- Marcus Tavernier (AFC Bournemouth): Bournemouth’s most-used wide creator on 6 goals and 4 assists, with 23 shots on target and an xA of 4.61. He has driven their attacking output since Antoine Semenyo’s mid-season move.
- Junior Kroupi (AFC Bournemouth): Twelve goals in just 1,534 minutes — a remarkable strike rate from a teenage striker who has only started 19 of 36 league games. The likeliest Bournemouth scorer if City switch off at the back.
Head-to-Head
City dominate the recent series — nine wins from the last 10 Premier League meetings and 28 goals scored. Bournemouth’s lone bright spot in the run is a 2-1 home win in November 2024.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| May 20, 2025 | Manchester City 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Bournemouth 2-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Bournemouth 0-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Manchester City 6-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
Recent Form
Bournemouth: D W W D W
- May 9, 2026: Fulham 0-1 Bournemouth (W, away)
- May 3, 2026: Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace (W, home)
- Apr 26, 2026: Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester United (D, home)
- Apr 19, 2026: Brighton 0-2 Bournemouth (W, away)
- Apr 12, 2026: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (D, home)
Bournemouth have not lost since early April and are unbeaten in their last five. The 3-0 win over Palace at home on May 3 was the clearest read on their finishing in attack-mode at the Vitality.
Manchester City: W W D W W
- May 13, 2026: Manchester City 3-0 Crystal Palace (W, home)
- May 9, 2026: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford (W, home)
- May 2, 2026: Aston Villa 1-1 Manchester City (D, away)
- Apr 26, 2026: Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle United (W, home)
- Apr 18, 2026: Liverpool 0-1 Manchester City (W, away)
Four wins from five with the only blemish a 1-1 draw at Villa Park. Pep Guardiola’s side have scored eight goals across the last two home matches and have the title race to chase down.
Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction
Bournemouth are in form, the Vitality has been hard work for top-six visitors this season, and the home side beat City here in November 2024. None of that is enough to bet against a Manchester City side two points behind Arsenal with two games to play. Once bet365 opens the market, expect City around -180 and Haaland near plus money on anytime. The headline pick is Haaland to score and City to win. Kick-off is 3:30 PM ET at the Vitality Stadium.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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