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Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiakos: Predictions, odds, picks & stats

Bayer Leverkusen Olympiakos 2302

Olympiakos and Bayer Leverkusen meet in a Champions League clash where both sides are looking for consistency, with only one point separating them in the standings.

Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, 24 February in Germany.

With Leverkusen holding a 2-0 aggregate lead from the first leg, this encounter carries extra weight as Olympiakos seek to overturn the deficit and revive their continental ambitions.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Bayer Leverkusen to Win-133 @ Bet365⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Leverkusen to win due to their superior xG (13.35 vs 10.58), more shots on target per game (41 from 106 vs Olympiakos’ 34 from 119), and higher pass accuracy (87.5%). They also won 2-0 away in the first leg.
Over 2.5 Goals-150 @ Bet365⭐⭐⭐There could be value here as both teams average over 1.5 goals conceded per match, and their head-to-heads haven’t lacked attacking intent. Leverkusen’s games see high shot volume, while Olympiakos have conceded 16 in 8 matches.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

Both teams navigated inconsistent league phase campaigns to reach the knockout play-offs. Bayer Leverkusen secured 16th place with 12 points, blending creative attacking play with defensive lapses that saw them concede 14 goals. Olympiakos finished 18th with 11 points, their campaign defined by a struggle to convert chances despite creating plenty. While Leverkusen’s underlying stats suggest a stronger side, their -1 goal difference was only marginally better than Olympiakos’s -4. With Leverkusen holding a 2-0 lead from the first leg, the pressure is on the Greek side to find the clinical edge they previously lacked.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Bayer Leverkusen1683321314-112
Olympiakos Piraeus1883231014-411

Potential Match-Winners

•Patrik Schick (Leverkusen): 6 of Leverkusen’s 15 goals have come from strikers, and Schick remains a key threat inside the box. The team’s average of 43% shot accuracy, with 72 attempts inside the penalty area, plays into his strengths as a poacher.

•Martin Terrier (Leverkusen): Known for his ability to create and convert chances, Terrier benefits from Leverkusen’s high shot assist numbers (75 key passes).

•Ayoub El Kaabi (Olympiakos): Leads the line for Olympiakos and will be crucial if the Greek side are to take their chances. Olympiakos have created 14 big chances but missed 11, so El Kaabi’s finishing will be vital.

•Daniel Podence (Olympiakos): Podence’s creativity is reflected in Olympiakos’ 91 shot assists, and he’s central to their attacking moves, especially in transition.

Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings

These sides have only met twice in recent years, each winning once. The most recent fixture saw Leverkusen win 2-0 away from home in the first leg of this tie.

DateScoreCompetition
18/02/26Olympiakos 0-2 Bayer LeverkusenChampions League
20/01/26Olympiakos 2-0 Bayer LeverkusenChampions League

Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiakos prediction

With both teams level on wins in their recent meetings and separated by just a point in the standings, this match is set to be close. However, Bayer Leverkusen’s superior ball retention, creative output, and recent away win in Greece give them a marginal edge. Will Leverkusen’s precision prove decisive once more? For punters seeking value, -133 @ Bet365 for the home win looks a strong selection.

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