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Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla predicted formations

Club Tijuana host Club Puebla at Estadio Caliente on Friday, October 16 (11:00 PM ET / 10:00 PM CT / 8:00 PM PT).

Club Tijuana and Club Puebla both arrive with clean team sheets — no absences are flagged for either side — so the lineup picture rests on the players already carrying each attack. Gilberto Mora leads the home side with 5 goals and 9 shots on target in 499 minutes, with striker Mourad El Ghezouani adding 4 goals from 17 shots up top. Puebla will lean on striker Eduardo Mustre, who has 3 goals and 5 chances created in 389 minutes, alongside attacking midfielder Mathias Tomas Borges, whose 8 chances created and 22 shots underline his influence in midfield.

Expect a tight, low-event night at Estadio Caliente. Neither side has been scoring freely this season, and this looks like the kind of game that turns on a single moment rather than a flood of chances. Home advantage and Tijuana’s slightly healthier underlying numbers should be enough to nose a cagey contest, but goals are likely to stay in short supply at both ends.

US viewers can watch Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana55% Our pick
DrawDraw25% 
Club PueblaClub Puebla20% 

Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Club Tijuana at 55% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result

Live market prices load here when the books open — Signal’s model read is above.

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreClub Tijuana 1-0 Club PueblaTijuana's +1 goal difference against Puebla's -1 points to a tight margin, and with both sides level on 15 points, the value sits with the home side nicking it by the odd goal rather than in a high-scoring game.
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14%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoPuebla failed to score in two of their last five results (shut out by Tigres UANL and at home to Toluca), making a clean sheet at one end of Estadio Caliente a real possibility.
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53%
Model read
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5With both sides sitting on wafer-thin goal differences (+1 for Tijuana, -1 for Puebla), neither has been involved in many high-scoring matches this season, supporting a tighter total.
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56%
Model read
Anytime ScorerGilberto Mora to Score AnytimeMora has scored 5 goals from 14 shots (9 on target) in 499 minutes this season, the most prolific return in Tijuana's squad and the natural source of a 1-0 winner.
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42%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Club Tijuana sit on 15 points from 10 games (4-3-3, +1 goal difference), level on points with Club Puebla, who have taken 15 points from 11 outings (4-3-4, -1 goal difference) — a reminder of how tight the Liga MX table remains this season.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Club Tijuana8104331514+115
Club Puebla9114341213-115
Team News Predicted

Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Club Tijuana

4-1-4-1
A. Rodriguez
A. Vega
A. Gomez
J. Porozo
R. Fernandez
I. Tona
A. Preciado
Y. Padilla
I. Rivero
R. Arciga
M. El Ghezouani

Club Puebla

4-2-3-1
R. Gutierrez
F. Monarrez
J. Vargas
F. Almada
I. Moreno
A. Ramirez
A. Organista
O. Moreno
M. Tomas
B. Garnica
L. Hernandez
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Gilberto Mora (Club Tijuana): 5 goals and 9 shots on target from just 14 attempts in 499 minutes make the midfielder the most incisive attacking threat on the night.
    • Mourad El Ghezouani (Club Tijuana): 4 goals from 17 shots this season keep the striker as Tijuana’s most direct route to goal up front.
    • Eduardo Mustre (Club Puebla): 3 goals and 5 chances created in just 389 minutes give the striker a genuine chance to upset the home crowd.

    Recent Form

    Club Tijuana: W L D L D

    • 2026-10-10: FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana (D, away)
    • 2026-09-25: Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas FC (L, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Pachuca 2-2 Club Tijuana (D, away)
    • 2026-09-11: Club Tijuana 0-1 Queretaro FC (L, home)
    • 2026-08-28: Club Tijuana 2-0 Pumas UNAM (W, home)

    W L D L D across their last 5 matches, including a 2-3 home loss to Atlas FC and a 2-2 draw away at Pachuca.

    Club Puebla: W L D L D

    • 2026-10-09: Club Puebla 1-1 Club Leon (D, home)
    • 2026-09-26: Tigres UANL 1-0 Club Puebla (L, away)
    • 2026-09-18: Club Puebla 1-1 Atlante FC (D, home)
    • 2026-09-15: Club Puebla 0-1 Toluca (L, home)
    • 2026-09-11: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (W, away)

    W L D L D over their last 5 outings, highlighted by a 1-1 home draw with Club Leon and a 1-0 win at Necaxa.

    Club Tijuana vs Club Puebla Prediction

    This has the look of a tense, low-scoring affair, and we’re backing Club Tijuana to edge it 1-0 at Estadio Caliente. With both sides level on points but Tijuana’s +1 goal difference a shade healthier than Puebla’s -1, the home side’s extra cutting edge in Gilberto Mora should be the difference in a game where clean sheets look more likely than goals.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — see the numbers behind Club Tijuana v Club Puebla.

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