Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

Atletico San Luis host Pachuca at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez on Sunday, August 23 (7:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM CT / 4:00 PM PT).

Atletico San Luis and Pachuca both arrive with clean bills on the injury front, at least as far as confirmed absences go, so the shape of this preview leans on who’s actually been doing the damage. For the hosts, Rafa Llorente leads the way with 2 goals from 9 shots and 4 of those on target, while David Rodriguez has matched his goal output with 1 strike from an identical 9 attempts. Pachuca’s main outlet is Salomon Rondon, who has 3 goals from 9 shots this term, with Elias Montiel adding 1 goal of his own and Oussama Idrissi’s 6 chances created making him the creative hub behind them.

San Luis have failed to win in their last 4 matches (L D D L), including a 3-0 defeat at Club America and a 2-3 home loss to Cruz Azul, with a scoreless draw against Club Tijuana their only real sign of defensive control. Pachuca’s own form has been patchy going the other way, with a 3-0 win at Pumas UNAM followed by a 1-2 home defeat to Queretaro FC and a 1-0 loss at Club Leon (W L L). With both sides light on end-to-end quality recently, this looks set up as a tight, low-scoring affair at Estadio Libertad Financiera.

US viewers can watch Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca: Best Bets & Predictions

A cagey Liga MX battle at Estadio Libertad Financiera, with Pachuca's cutting edge fancied to nick it by the odd goal.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

PachucaTop pickPachuca carry the sharper attacking numbers into this one, with Salomon Rondon's three goals from nine shots giving them more cutting edge than anything Atletico San Luis have shown in their last four (L D D L).

40%win prob.125 @ bet365

0-1 Atletico San LuisSalomon Rondon's 3 goals in his last 255 minutes give Pachuca a route to nab 1 goal, while Atletico San Luis's defense, beaten 3-0 by Club America and 2-3 by Cruz Azul, has looked open enough to concede it.

12%chance750 @ bet365

NoWith Atletico San Luis's attack managing goals in just 2 of their last 4 games and Rafa Llorente's 2 goals from 9 shots the headline number, the hosts look more likely to be shut out than to get on the scoresheet against Pachuca.

49%chance105 @ bet365

Under 2.5Recent results for both sides have leaned low-scoring, from Atletico San Luis's 0-0 draw with Club Tijuana to Pachuca's 1-0 and 1-2 results, pointing to another game under 2.5 goals.

54%chance-106 @ bet365

Salomon Rondon to score anytimeSalomon Rondon has 3 goals from 9 shots and 4 on target already this term, making him the obvious pick to get on the scoresheet for Pachuca.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: our Signal model weighs current form, shot and chance-creation data, and market pricing to land on Pachuca by the odd goal, backed here by the goal and shot numbers above rather than reputation.

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Season Form & Standings

Neither side’s league placing is settled enough to lean on this early, so the formline tells the more useful story: Atletico San Luis have taken just two points from their last four (L D D L), while Pachuca’s own form reads W L L across their last three, a mix of one eye-catching away win and two losses either side of it.

Liga MX

Potential Match-Winners

• Rafa Llorente (Atletico San Luis): 2 goals from 9 shots, 4 on target, and 5 chances created make Llorente San Luis’s most productive attacker by some distance.
• David Rodriguez (Atletico San Luis): 1 goal from 9 shots in 318 minutes shows Rodriguez pulling similar attacking weight alongside Llorente.
• Salomon Rondon (Pachuca): 3 goals from just 9 shots in 255 minutes is a conversion rate few others in this fixture can match.

Recent Form

Atletico San Luis: L D D L

• 2026-08-16: Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis (L, away)
• 2026-07-31: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Club Tijuana (D, home)
• 2026-07-25: Tigres UANL 2-2 Atletico San Luis (D, away)
• 2026-07-17: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Cruz Azul (L, home)

L D D L – a 3-0 loss at Club America, a 0-0 draw with Club Tijuana, a 2-2 draw at Tigres UANL and a 2-3 home defeat to Cruz Azul.

Pachuca: W L L

• 2026-08-01: Club Leon 1-0 Pachuca (L, away)
• 2026-07-26: Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro FC (L, home)
• 2026-07-18: Pumas UNAM 0-3 Pachuca (W, away)

W L L – a 3-0 win at Pumas UNAM, a 1-2 home loss to Queretaro FC and a 1-0 defeat at Club Leon.

Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca Prediction

This has the makings of a low-event, cagey affair, and Signal’s model backs Pachuca to nick it. Salomon Rondon’s 3 goals from 9 shots give the visitors the sharper edge in front of goal, while Atletico San Luis’s defense, breached 3 times by Club America and 3 times by Cruz Azul in their last 4 matches, has looked open enough to concede without offering much going the other way. Expect Pachuca to edge it 0-1.