
Predicted lineups: Monterrey are set up in a 3-4-2-1 and Nashville SC in a 4-2-3-1, with both probable XIs in full below.
In the US, the match streams on Apple TV via MLS Season Pass.
The prediction market reflects the tension: Monterrey are 41% favorites at home, Nashville sit at 36%, and the draw-to-penalties outcome commands 23% of the probability. With Monterrey completing their three-game Phase One schedule here, home advantage and familiarity with the no-draws format may tilt a tight contest. Kickoff at GEODIS Park is set for 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM PT on Wednesday, August 12.
Monterrey vs Nashville SC: Best Bets & Predictions
Monterrey’s home edge and 41% Kalshi price justify the narrow lean, but this is a pick-’em proposition.
Our approach: back the home side in a tight market where the five-point edge reflects genuine but modest value.
Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
Odds shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
How Leagues Cup Phase One works
Every club in the Leagues Cup plays three cross-league games, MLS against Liga MX. There are no draws. If the score is level after 90 minutes, the game goes straight to a penalty shootout, and the winner banks two points while the loser takes one. The top four MLS teams and the top four Liga MX teams then advance to the knockout rounds.
Monterrey vs Nashville SC Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Monterrey
3-4-2-1Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Monterrey vs Nashville SC prediction
This is the tightest of Phase One ties, with penalties a live possibility and neither side commanding. Home advantage and the market’s five-point nod to Monterrey make them the fractional pick. Prediction: Monterrey to win, 2-1.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds approximate at time of writing



