Crystal Palace host Burnley in a contest where defensive solidity meets desperation for points at the bottom of the Premier League.
Palace have been far more secure at the back than Burnley this season, and recent head-to-heads show a slight Palace edge. Kick-off is at 2:30 PM ET on Wednesday 11 February at Selhurst Park, in a game where both teams’ finishing could decide the outcome.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Palace’s defensive numbers and Burnley’s tendency to concede, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in opposing goals due to both teams’ issues in attack and Palace’s ability to keep matches tight at home.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | +100 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average just over a goal per game, and Palace have kept 9 clean sheets already this season. Burnley have managed only 25 goals in 25 games and rarely look threatening away from Turf Moor. With Palace underperforming their xG, a low-scoring encounter looks likely. |
| Both Teams To Score – No | -110 @ Bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Palace have kept clean sheets in over a third of their games, while Burnley are among the league’s lowest scorers. With neither side boasting a prolific striker, there’s a strong case for at least one blank. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Season Form & Standings
Crystal Palace sit 13th with 32 points from 25 matches, showing a solid if unspectacular campaign. Burnley, by contrast, are 19th with just 15 points, facing a real battle to avoid the drop. Palace’s negative goal difference is modest (-3), while Burnley’s -24 highlights their defensive troubles.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 |
| Burnley | 19 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 15 |
Potential Match-Winners
•Jorgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace): The January signing will be hoping to make a big impatc on his first appearance in red and blue at Selhurst Park.
•Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming (Burnley, Forwards): The joint-top scorers for Burnley with five league goals each, they will be crucial to Burnley’s chances.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Crystal Palace have edged the last six meetings, winning three to Burnley’s one and two draw, but the most recent clash saw Palace take the points at Turf Moor earlier this season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 03/12/25 | Burnley 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 24/02/24 | Crystal Palace 3-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 04/11/23 | Burnley 0 Crystal Palace 2 | Premier League |
| 26/02/22 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 20/11/21 | Burnley 3-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 13/02/21 | Crystal Palace 0-3 Burnley | Premier League |
Will Crystal Palace heap more misery on Burnley? Final thoughts
Will Crystal Palace’s defensive edge be enough to see off a Burnley side fighting for their lives? With both teams struggling for goals and Palace boasting a much tighter back line, a low-scoring match looks the most likely scenario. Backing Under 2.5 Goals at +100 @ Bet365 could be the smart play for this encounter.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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