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Newcastle vs Arsenal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Newcastle vs Arsenal predicted formations

Newcastle host Arsenal at St. James’ Park on Saturday, November 21 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).

Newcastle go into this one without the injured Ewen Jaouen and the injured Joelinton Apolinario de Lira, with the suspended Jacob Ramsey also missing, pushing extra responsibility onto Harvey Barnes and Joseph Willock in the final third. Arsenal arrive without the injured Bukayo Saka and the suspended Max Dowman, while the knee injury doubt over Ezri Konsa is a selection concern at the back, but Kai Havertz and Declan Rice remain the two names most likely to define this game.

Newcastle have won 3 of 10 and sit on 12 points with a -3 goal difference, a mixed record of home losses and away points stolen. Arsenal have won 9 of 10 for 27 points and a +10 goal difference, built on tight, controlled wins rather than goal rushes. St James’ Park hasn’t been kind to Newcastle this season, and Arsenal’s recent 1-0 wins suggest another low-event, single-moment contest rather than an open shootout.

US viewers can watch Newcastle vs Arsenal on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
NewcastleNewcastle20%mkt 15%Value +5
DrawDraw25%mkt 23%
ArsenalArsenal55%mkt 62%Our pick

Newcastle vs Arsenal: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 43%. Signal says 56%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNewcastle 0-1 ArsenalArsenal's +10 goal difference points to control without an avalanche of goals, while Newcastle's -3 goal difference makes a clean sheet unlikely without suggesting an open game.
—
14%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoNewcastle have lost 4 of their 10 games and carry a -3 goal difference, making it hard to back them to score against an Arsenal defense that has lost just 1 game all season.
45%
54%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
43%
56%
Strong value
Anytime ScorerKai Havertz to score anytimeHavertz has scored 3 goals and put 8 of his 15 shots on target this season, making him Arsenal's likeliest source of the only goal at St James' Park.
—
27%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Newcastle have taken 12 points from 10 games this season, with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses leaving them on a -3 goal difference. Arsenal have taken 27 points from 10 games, winning 9 and losing just 1, with a +10 goal difference underlining how dominant they’ve been.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal110901155+1027
Newcastle12103341316-312
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Team News Predicted

Newcastle vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
L. Hornicek
L. Hall
D. Burn
M. Thiaw
A. Dedic
Nico Gonzalez
S. Steur
H. Barnes
Y. Wissa
J. Murphy
W. Osula

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
David Raya
R. Calafiori
Gabriel Magalhaes
E. Konsa
J. Timber
D. Rice
Bruno Guimaraes
C. Tzolis
M. Odegaard
N. Madueke
K. Havertz
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Harvey Barnes (Newcastle): 2 goals and 2 assists from 13 chances created in 886 minutes make Barnes Newcastle’s most productive attacking outlet this season.
    • Kai Havertz (Arsenal): 3 goals from 15 shots, 8 of them on target, in 736 minutes make Havertz the sharpest finisher on the pitch.
    • Declan Rice (Arsenal): 5 assists and 17 chances created in 827 minutes make Rice the creative force driving Arsenal’s 27-point league return this season.

    Recent Form

    Newcastle: L L W L D

    • 2026-11-07: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)
    • 2026-11-02: Newcastle 0-1 Everton (L, home)
    • 2026-10-25: Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
    • 2026-10-17: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa (L, home)
    • 2026-10-12: Coventry City 4-1 Newcastle (L, away)

    Newcastle’s last five league games have read L L W L D.

    Arsenal: W W W W W

    • 2026-11-07: Arsenal 1-0 Hull City (W, home)
    • 2026-11-01: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
    • 2026-10-24: Arsenal 2-0 Everton (W, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds (W, home)

    Arsenal’s last five league games have read W W W W W.

    Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

    Signal’s model lands on a 0-1 Arsenal win at St James’ Park, a tight and low-scoring finish in keeping with a defense that has conceded sparingly all season. Kai Havertz, who has scored 3 goals already, looks the most likely source of the only goal, with Newcastle’s -3 goal difference suggesting they’ll be stretched to create clear chances against a side that has lost just 1 of 10.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Newcastle v Arsenal.

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