Miami concede a 114.0 opponent passer rating, the worst in the NFL. Indianapolis rate 69.1 themselves, also the worst. Our Dolphins vs Colts prediction is the league’s worst passing offense against its worst passing defense.
The Miami Dolphins are 1-7 at -74 and the Indianapolis Colts 2-7 at -65. Between them they have won three games.
Dolphins vs Colts: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
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Our props
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Dolphins vs Colts: 2026 form so far
A 1-7 team against a 2-7 team, and the passing numbers at both ends are the worst in the league. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Dolphins attack against the Colts defense
| Per game | Dolphins offense | Colts allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 164.8 | 224.8 |
| Rushing yards | 117.5 | 137.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| Passer rating | 77.1 | 104.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.6% | 32.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 47.6% | 62.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.1 |
Colts attack against the Dolphins defense
| Per game | Colts offense | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 173.7 | 214.4 |
| Rushing yards | 115.2 | 111.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 69.1 | 114.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.9% | 47.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 58.3% | 59.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 1.5 |
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air, the lowest figure in the NFL, and Miami concede a 114.0 opponent rating, the highest.
Miami Dolphins 1-7 · average margin -9.2
Indianapolis Colts 2-7 · average margin -7.2
Dolphins vs Colts quarterback matchup
Malik Willis completed 13 of 25 for 128 yards with an interception at 50.1. Daniel Jones went 20 of 34 for 180 with a touchdown and an interception at 70.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 13/25, 128 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 50.1 rtg | 121/208, 1396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT, 76.1 rtg (8 games) |
| Colts | Daniel Jones | 20/34, 180 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 70.7 rtg | 182/302, 1722 yds, 6 TD, 10 INT, 68.9 rtg (9 games) |
Dolphins vs Colts injury report and team news
Miami concede a 114.0 opponent passer rating, the worst in the NFL.
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air, the lowest in the league.
Indianapolis concede 137 rushing yards a game, 30th in the NFL.
The worst passing offense in football against the worst passing defense
Indianapolis rate 69.1 through the air. No team in the NFL is lower, and Daniel Jones’s 70.7 last week was close to his season.
The reason it might not matter is opposite them. Miami concede a 114.0 opponent rating, the highest figure in the league, so the one thing Indianapolis cannot do is the one thing Miami cannot stop.
On the ground Indianapolis give up 137 yards a game, 30th, and 4.93 a carry, 29th. Miami average 4.37 and have no better route into a game.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): The most reliable thing Indianapolis have at 4.17 a carry.
- Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A primary target in a passing game rating 69.1.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Leads a Miami run game averaging 4.37 a carry, 11th in the NFL.
- Daniel Jones (IND, QB): 180 yards with a touchdown and an interception last week.
How to watch Dolphins vs Colts
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the broadcast.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Colts |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Colts prediction and score projection
Indianapolis win 20-16. Home field and the run game decide a match-up where neither passing attack has been reliable for two months.
The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
Our weekly NFL picks and our NFL betting coverage carry the rest of the card. The outright markets are priced in the AFC board. For the player side of this game, see prop markets for this game.
Dolphins vs Colts FAQ
Indianapolis, at home and narrowly. Miami are 1-7 and the Colts 2-7. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Miami, who concede a 114.0 opponent passer rating — the highest in the NFL.
Indianapolis, at a 69.1 rating — the lowest in the league.
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