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Vikings vs Packers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers prediction, picks and odds for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season

The Minnesota Vikings have the best red-zone defense in the NFL and the 31st-ranked passing offense. The Green Bay Packers have the second-best passing offense and the worst run game in football. Our Vikings vs Packers prediction takes the rematch to Lambeau Field.

The Minnesota Vikings won the September meeting 39-22. The Green Bay Packers have changed a great deal since, and so have Minnesota, but not in the same direction.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Vikings vs Packers: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

Vikings AT Packers

Our props

Player propGreen Bay under 100 rushing yardsGreen Bay average 68.2 rushing yards a game, the lowest in the NFL, and have cleared 100 rarely at 3.04 a carry.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propJustin Jefferson 50+ receiving yardsJefferson has cleared 50 in four of the seven games he has played, and saw 11 targets last week. Green Bay concede 214 passing yards a game.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Vikings vs Packers: 2026 form so far

Minnesota are 6-2 at +30 and Green Bay 6-3 at +25, which makes this closer on paper than either side has looked lately. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Vikings attack against the Packers defense

Per gameVikings offensePackers allow
Passing yards160.8213.9
Rushing yards106.0109.0
Yards per carry4.04.0
Passer rating82.077.6
Touchdowns1.52.7
Third-down conversion33.3%41.7%
Red-zone conversion52.9%69.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.92.9

Packers attack against the Vikings defense

Per gamePackers offenseVikings allow
Passing yards279.7161.1
Rushing yards68.2118.9
Yards per carry3.04.2
Passer rating97.967.9
Touchdowns2.81.4
Third-down conversion37.8%31.2%
Red-zone conversion55.9%26.3%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.93.6

Green Bay average 68.2 rushing yards a game, the lowest figure in the NFL, and they are going to have to throw it.

Minnesota Vikings 6-2 · average margin +3.8

+10−10Week 1: beat the Packers 39-22 (home)vGB1Week 2: beat the Bears 9-3 (away)@CHI2Week 3: beat the Buccaneers 23-16 (away)@TB3Week 4: beat the Dolphins 15-10 (home)vMIA4Week 5: beat the Saints 23-13 (away)@NO5Week 7: beat the Colts 16-10 (home)vIND7Week 8: lost to the Lions 15-19 (away)@DET8Week 9: lost to the Bills 6-23 (home)vBUF9

Green Bay Packers 6-3 · average margin +2.8

+10−10+20−20Week 1: lost to the Vikings 22-39 (away)@MIN1Week 2: beat the Jets 20-17 (away)@NYJ2Week 3: lost to the Falcons 14-35 (home)vATL3Week 4: beat the Buccaneers 17-14 (away)@TB4Week 5: beat the Bears 31-7 (home)vCHI5Week 6: beat the Cowboys 23-13 (home)vDAL6Week 7: lost to the Lions 17-20 (away)@DET7Week 8: beat the Panthers 27-19 (home)vCAR8Week 9: beat the Patriots 45-27 (away)@NE9
One bar per game this season, in week order. Bars above the line are wins and below are defeats, sized by margin. “v” is a home game and “@” an away game. Hover or tap a bar for the score. Bye weeks are left blank, so a gap in a run of form is visible rather than hidden.

Vikings vs Packers quarterback matchup

Jordan Love threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns at a 153.2 rating against New England. Carson Wentz completed eight of 25 for 81 yards and two interceptions at 8.9, and Max Brosmer relieved him.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
VikingsCarson Wentz8/25, 81 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 8.9 rtg31/64, 357 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 68.3 rtg (3 games)
Max Brosmer6/7, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 101.2 rtg6/7, 58 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 101.2 rtg (1 game)
PackersJordan Love23/29, 372 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 153.2 rtg215/341, 2618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT, 97.9 rtg (9 games)
Last game is Week 9. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Vikings vs Packers injury report and team news

Minnesota’s opponents have converted 26.3% of their red-zone trips, the best rate in the NFL, and rate 67.9, also the best in the league.

Green Bay have scored 25 touchdowns in nine games and conceded 24.

Green Bay are without Jayden Reed and Skyy Moore, both on injured reserve. Week 10 designations are not filed until later in the week.

The best red-zone defense in football against an offense that cannot run

Minnesota’s defense is the reason they are 6-2. Opponents have converted 26.3% in the red zone and rate 67.9, and both are the best figures in the league. Buffalo put up 23 on them last week and it was still comfortable, because Minnesota scored six.

Green Bay are the opposite shape. They throw it at 279.7 yards a game, second only to Cincinnati, and Jordan Love rated 153.2 last week. On the ground they average 68.2 yards a game, the lowest in the NFL.

So the game asks one question. Green Bay’s red-zone offense has been ordinary and Minnesota’s red-zone defense has been the best there is, and Green Bay have no run game to fall back on inside the 20.

Minnesota VikingsGreen Bay Packers

Their own numbers

Touchdowns per gameMinnesota Vikings: 1.5, 31st of 32Green Bay Packers: 2.8, 13th of 3231st1.52.813thPassing yards per gameMinnesota Vikings: 161, 31st of 32Green Bay Packers: 280, 2nd of 3231st1612802ndRushing yards per gameMinnesota Vikings: 106, 19th of 32Green Bay Packers: 68, 32nd of 3219th1066832ndYards per carryMinnesota Vikings: 4.02, 21st of 32Green Bay Packers: 3.04, 31st of 3221st4.023.0431stThird-down conversionMinnesota Vikings: 33.3%, 30th of 32Green Bay Packers: 37.8%, 18th of 3230th33.3%37.8%18thRed-zone conversionMinnesota Vikings: 52.9%, 22nd of 32Green Bay Packers: 55.9%, 19th of 3222nd52.9%55.9%19thSacks per gameMinnesota Vikings: 3.6, 2nd of 32Green Bay Packers: 2.9, 8th of 322nd3.62.98thInterceptions per gameMinnesota Vikings: 1.1, 4th of 32Green Bay Packers: 1.4, 2nd of 324th1.11.42nd
Each club’s own production, per game this season. The small grey number is the league rank out of 32.

What opponents have managed against them

Touchdowns per gameMinnesota Vikings: 1.4, 1st of 32Green Bay Packers: 2.7, 18th of 321st1.42.718thPassing yards per gameMinnesota Vikings: 161, 2nd of 32Green Bay Packers: 214, 11th of 322nd16121411thRushing yards per gameMinnesota Vikings: 119, 18th of 32Green Bay Packers: 109, 15th of 3218th11910915thYards per carryMinnesota Vikings: 4.25, 21st of 32Green Bay Packers: 4.02, 14th of 3221st4.254.0214thThird-down conversionMinnesota Vikings: 31.2%, 3rd of 32Green Bay Packers: 41.7%, 22nd of 323rd31.2%41.7%22ndRed-zone conversionMinnesota Vikings: 26.3%, 1st of 32Green Bay Packers: 69.0%, 26th of 321st26.3%69.0%26thSacks per gameMinnesota Vikings: 2.9, 23rd of 32Green Bay Packers: 1.9, 11th of 3223rd2.91.911thInterceptions per gameMinnesota Vikings: 0.6, 11th of 32Green Bay Packers: 0.7, 14th of 3211th0.60.714th
What each club’s opponents have managed, per game. Ranks here run the other way: first is the lowest number conceded, not the highest. The ringed dot is the better figure.

Players to watch

  • Jordan Love (GB, QB): 372 yards and three touchdowns at 153.2 last week.
  • Christian Watson (GB, WR): Seven catches for 171 yards and a touchdown against New England.
  • Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): Eleven targets last week in an offense that managed six points.
  • Byron Murphy Jr. (MIN, CB): Intercepted a pass in the secondary rating 67.9, the best in the NFL.

How Vikings vs Packers last unfolded

Minnesota Vikings scored on 6 of 13 drives  ·  Green Bay Packers scored on 5 of 12 drives

Q1MINQ1 Minnesota Vikings: -1 yards, 2 plays, Interception-1 yds, 2 playsInterceptionQ1GBQ1 Green Bay Packers: +17 yards, 6 plays, Field Goal, 3 points+17 yds, 6 playsField GoalQ1MINQ1 Minnesota Vikings: +25 yards, 6 plays, Punt+25 yds, 6 playsPuntQ1GBQ1 Green Bay Packers: +81 yards, 2 plays, Touchdown, 6 points+81 yds, 2 playsTouchdownQ1MINQ1 Minnesota Vikings: +35 yards, 12 plays, Field Goal, 3 points+35 yds, 12 playsField GoalQ1GBQ1 Green Bay Packers: +20 yards, 7 plays, Field Goal, 3 points+20 yds, 7 playsField GoalQ2MINQ2 Minnesota Vikings: +12 yards, 6 plays, Punt+12 yds, 6 playsPuntQ2GBQ2 Green Bay Packers: +37 yards, 4 plays, Punt+37 yds, 4 playsPuntQ2MINQ2 Minnesota Vikings: +1 yards, 3 plays, Punt+1 yds, 3 playsPuntQ2GBQ2 Green Bay Packers: +0 yards, 3 plays, Punt+0 yds, 3 playsPuntQ2MINQ2 Minnesota Vikings: +65 yards, 7 plays, Touchdown, 7 points+65 yds, 7 playsTouchdownQ2GBQ2 Green Bay Packers: +74 yards, 7 plays, Touchdown, 7 points+74 yds, 7 playsTouchdownQ2MINQ2 Minnesota Vikings: -1 yards, 1 play, End of Half-1 yds, 1 playEnd of HalfQ3GBQ3 Green Bay Packers: +24 yards, 5 plays, Punt+24 yds, 5 playsPuntQ3MINQ3 Minnesota Vikings: +4 yards, 3 plays, Punt+4 yds, 3 playsPuntQ3GBQ3 Green Bay Packers: +79 yards, 12 plays, Field Goal, 3 points+79 yds, 12 playsField GoalQ3MINQ3 Minnesota Vikings: +28 yards, 6 plays, Touchdown, 7 points+28 yds, 6 playsTouchdownQ3GBQ3 Green Bay Packers: +49 yards, 8 plays, Downs+49 yds, 8 playsDownsQ4MINQ4 Minnesota Vikings: +55 yards, 9 plays, Touchdown, 8 points+55 yds, 9 playsTouchdownQ4GBQ4 Green Bay Packers: -22 yards, 3 plays, Fumble-22 yds, 3 playsFumbleQ4MINQ4 Minnesota Vikings: +1 yards, 1 play, Touchdown, 7 points+1 yds, 1 playTouchdownQ4GBQ4 Green Bay Packers: +7 yards, 2 plays, Interception+7 yds, 2 playsInterceptionQ4MINQ4 Minnesota Vikings: +14 yards, 3 plays, Touchdown, 7 points+14 yds, 3 playsTouchdownQ4GBQ4 Green Bay Packers: +53 yards, 11 plays, Downs+53 yds, 11 playsDownsQ4MINQ4 Minnesota Vikings: +1 yards, 3 plays, End of Game+1 yds, 3 playsEnd of Game
Every drive of the last meeting, in order. Bar length is net yards and a solid bar is a drive that ended in points.
071421283542Q1 12:11 · Green Bay Packers Field Goal, 3 points · Vikings 0 Packers 3Q1 7:43 · Green Bay Packers Touchdown, 6 points · Vikings 0 Packers 9Q1 1:38 · Minnesota Vikings Field Goal, 3 points · Vikings 3 Packers 9Q1 13:52 · Green Bay Packers Field Goal, 3 points · Vikings 3 Packers 12Q2 1:55 · Minnesota Vikings Touchdown, 7 points · Vikings 10 Packers 12Q2 00:14 · Green Bay Packers Touchdown, 7 points · Vikings 10 Packers 19Q3 5:09 · Green Bay Packers Field Goal, 3 points · Vikings 10 Packers 22Q3 2:08 · Minnesota Vikings Touchdown, 7 points · Vikings 17 Packers 22Q4 6:37 · Minnesota Vikings Touchdown, 8 points · Vikings 25 Packers 22Q4 4:48 · Minnesota Vikings Touchdown, 7 points · Vikings 32 Packers 22Q4 3:55 · Minnesota Vikings Touchdown, 7 points · Vikings 39 Packers 22
The score through that game, one step per scoring play. Built from the drive feed rather than typed in, which is checkable: the derived final reads Minnesota Vikings 39, Green Bay Packers 22, and that is the real final score.

How to watch Vikings vs Packers

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Lambeau Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the broadcast.

DetailVikings vs Packers
DateSunday, November 15, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueLambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fubo
WeekWeek 10, 2026 NFL season

Vikings vs Packers prediction and score projection

Green Bay win 20-13. Minnesota’s defense travels and will keep this low, but an offense averaging 1.5 touchdowns a game has to score at Lambeau and there is little sign it can.

The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMCommanders @ GiantsGiants 23-20Read
Sun 9:30 AMPatriots @ LionsLions 31-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMBills @ JetsBills 30-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMPanthers @ SaintsSaints 27-24Read
Sun 1:00 PMTexans @ BrownsTexans 26-17Read
Sun 1:00 PMJaguars @ TitansJaguars 27-13Read
Sun 1:00 PMChiefs @ FalconsChiefs 27-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMDolphins @ ColtsColts 20-16Read
Sun 1:00 PMVikings @ PackersPackers 20-13You are here
Sun 4:05 PMRams @ CardinalsRams 24-16Read
Sun 4:05 PMSeahawks @ RaidersSeahawks 27-13Read
Sun 4:25 PM49ers @ Cowboys49ers 34-24Read
Sun 8:20 PMSteelers @ BengalsBengals 27-23Read
Mon 8:15 PMChargers @ RavensRavens 23-13Read

You can find our pick record alongside our NFL betting coverage. The outright markets are priced in NFC Championship odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.

Vikings vs Packers FAQ

Who is favored, the Vikings or the Packers?

Green Bay. They are at home, Jordan Love rated 153.2 last week and Minnesota scored six points in their last outing. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.

Who won the last Vikings vs Packers game?

Minnesota, 39-22 in Week 1. Green Bay scored on five of 12 drives and Minnesota on six of 13.

What time is Vikings vs Packers?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Lambeau Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.

Which defense has been better?

Minnesota’s, clearly. Their opponents convert 26.3% in the red zone and rate 67.9, both the best figures in the NFL.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change