Buffalo score 3.6 touchdowns a game, second only to San Francisco, and run for 147 yards an afternoon, second in the NFL. New York convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st. Our Bills vs Jets prediction is a mismatch on paper.
The Buffalo Bills are 7-1 at +69. The New York Jets are 2-7 and have scored 182 points in nine games.
Bills vs Jets: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
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Bills vs Jets: 2026 form so far
The second-best offense in football against a team that cannot finish drives. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Bills attack against the Jets defense
| Per game | Bills offense | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 239.8 | 197.8 |
| Rushing yards | 146.6 | 128.0 |
| Yards per carry | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 99.3 | 103.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.1 | 2.4 |
Jets attack against the Bills defense
| Per game | Jets offense | Bills allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 204.7 | 238.8 |
| Rushing yards | 105.2 | 91.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.5 | 89.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 35.4% | 38.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 40.7% | 63.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.1 | 2.1 |
New York convert 40.7% of their red-zone trips, 31st in the NFL, and that is where this game is likely decided.
Buffalo Bills 7-1 · average margin +8.6
New York Jets 2-7 · average margin -4.6
Bills vs Jets quarterback matchup
Josh Allen threw for 234 yards and a touchdown at 87.3 in a 23-6 win in Minnesota. Geno Smith went 18 of 32 for 165 with no touchdowns at 70.4.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Josh Allen | 21/31, 234 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 87.3 rtg | 156/236, 2027 yds, 12 TD, 6 INT, 99.3 rtg (8 games) |
| Jets | Geno Smith | 18/32, 165 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 70.4 rtg | 183/271, 2078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT, 100.5 rtg (9 games) |
Bills vs Jets injury report and team news
Buffalo are 7-1 at +69 and score 3.6 touchdowns a game, second in the NFL.
New York convert 40.7% in the red zone, 31st in the league.
Buffalo run for 147 yards a game, second only to Tampa Bay.
The second-best offense in football against a red zone that does not work
Buffalo are 7-1 and there is no soft spot: 3.6 touchdowns a game is second in the league, 147 rushing yards is second, and they just held Minnesota to six points.
New York’s trouble is conversion. They rate 100.5 through the air, seventh in the NFL, and still score 1.9 touchdowns a game, because 40.7% of red-zone trips end in six.
Buffalo concede 239 passing yards a game, which is 29th, so the Jets will move it. Whether they finish anything is a different question.
Their own numbers
What opponents have managed against them
Players to watch
- Josh Allen (BUF, QB): Leads an offense scoring 3.6 touchdowns a game.
- James Cook III (BUF, RB): Fronts a run game averaging 147 yards, second in the NFL.
- Breece Hall (NYJ, RB): The most reliable way New York have of moving the ball.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): A primary target in a passing game rating 100.5.
How to watch Bills vs Jets
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the broadcast.
| Detail | Bills vs Jets |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 10, 2026 NFL season |
Bills vs Jets prediction and score projection
Buffalo win 30-17. The Jets will gain yards against a Buffalo secondary ranked 29th, but 40.7% in the red zone against a 7-1 team is not a plan.
The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.
Every Week 10 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Commanders @ Giants | Giants 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Patriots @ Lions | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bills @ Jets | Bills 30-17 | You are here |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Saints | Saints 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Browns | Texans 26-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Titans | Jaguars 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Falcons | Chiefs 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Dolphins @ Colts | Colts 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Vikings @ Packers | Packers 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Rams @ Cardinals | Rams 24-16 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Seahawks @ Raiders | Seahawks 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | 49ers @ Cowboys | 49ers 34-24 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Steelers @ Bengals | Bengals 27-23 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Chargers @ Ravens | Ravens 23-13 | Read |
The rest of the round sits in our weekly NFL picks and our wider NFL analysis. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. Individual lines are covered in prop markets for this game.
Bills vs Jets FAQ
Buffalo. The Bills are 7-1 at +69 against a 2-7 New York team. The live number sits in the Signal card on this page.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at MetLife Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
The red zone. New York rate 100.5 through the air, seventh in the NFL, but convert only 40.7% of red-zone trips, which is 31st.
Buffalo, at 147 yards a game — second in the NFL behind Tampa Bay.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change