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Vikings vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions prediction, picks and odds for Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season

Minnesota have conceded seven touchdowns in six games and allow a 61.7 opponent passer rating. Both are the best figures in the NFL. Our Vikings vs Lions prediction sends them to the league’s best passing offense.

The Detroit Lions rate 112.5 through the air, the highest mark in football, and Jared Goff has thrown 14 touchdown passes without an interception. The Minnesota Vikings are 6-0.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Minnesota Vikings favorites by about 2 points, a 57% win probability.

MINMinnesota VikingsSquawka57%Market38%▲ Strong value
DETDetroit LionsSquawka43%Market62%▼ Overpriced
Projected lineMinnesota Vikings -2
Against the spreadMinnesota Vikings +3 — model Minnesota Vikings -2 vs market Detroit Lions -3
ValueMinnesota Vikings — model 57% vs market 38%

Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

Week 8 · Editorial pick

Vikings vs Lions: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Vikings AT Lions

Our props

TotalUnder 44.5 pointsMinnesota have conceded seven touchdowns in six games and hold opponents to 23.1% in the red zone, the best rates in the NFL. They have thrown for 974 yards themselves.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence
Player propJared Goff under 1.5 passing touchdownsGoff has 14 and no interceptions, but Minnesota allow a 61.7 opponent rating and seven touchdowns in six games. Something has to give.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Vikings vs Lions: 2026 form so far

The best defense in the league against the best passing attack in it. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Vikings attack against the Lions defense

Per gameVikings offenseLions allow
Passing yards162.3291.8
Rushing yards119.399.2
Yards per carry4.04.1
Passer rating90.7102.2
Touchdowns1.73.7
Third-down conversion36.7%47.7%
Red-zone conversion50.0%72.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.03.5

Lions attack against the Vikings defense

Per gameLions offenseVikings allow
Passing yards282.3155.0
Rushing yards115.097.8
Yards per carry4.24.2
Passer rating112.561.7
Touchdowns3.71.2
Third-down conversion39.1%28.2%
Red-zone conversion70.4%23.1%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.03.5

Minnesota hold opponents to 23.1% in the red zone, the best rate in the NFL, and 28.2% on third down, the third-best.

Vikings vs Lions quarterback matchup

Jared Goff has 14 touchdown passes and no interceptions at 112.5, the best team rating in football. Kyler Murray has three to two at 85.8 from five starts.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
VikingsKyler Murray14/24, 150 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 90.6 rtg83/125, 812 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT, 85.8 rtg (5 games)
LionsJared Goff22/32, 303 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 119.7 rtg150/223, 1788 yds, 14 TD, 0 INT, 112.5 rtg (6 games)
Last game is Week 7. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Vikings vs Lions injury report and team news

Minnesota are 6-0 and have conceded seven touchdowns, the fewest in the NFL.

Jared Goff has thrown 14 touchdown passes and no interceptions in six games.

Minnesota have thrown for 974 yards, the second-lowest total in the league.

Injury report · Week 8Official game-status report — updates through the week
MINMinnesota Vikings
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Nick SamacCIR
Donovan JacksonGIR
Jamal AdamsLBIR
Tyler BattyOLBIR
Josh OliverTEIR
DETDetroit Lions
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Avonte MaddoxDBIR
Payton TurnerDEIR
Damone ClarkLBIR
Devin WhiteLBIR
Ben BartchOLIR
Isiah PachecoRBIR
Thomas HarperSAFIR
Kendrick LawWRIR
Tom KennedyWRIR
Kerby JosephSAFPUP

An unbeaten defense meets an unbeaten passer

Seven touchdowns conceded, a 61.7 opponent rating and 23.1% allowed in the red zone — Minnesota lead the NFL in all three — with 28.2% on third down behind only Chicago and Seattle.

Detroit are the sternest test any of those numbers has faced: a 112.5 team rating, 22 touchdowns, and a quarterback who has not thrown an interception all season.

The Lions’ own defense is the catch. Twenty-two touchdowns conceded and 47.7% allowed on third down are ordinary numbers attached to an extraordinary offense.

Players to watch

  • Jared Goff (DET, QB): 1,788 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and no interceptions.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 4.23 a carry.
  • Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): An 85.8 rating from five starts for an unbeaten team.
  • Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): The first read in a passing game that throws sparingly.

How to watch Vikings vs Lions

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Ford Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.

DetailVikings vs Lions
DateSunday, November 1, 2026
Kickoff1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT
VenueFord Field, Detroit, MI
TVFOX
Live streamNFL+ / Fubo
WeekWeek 8, 2026 NFL season

Vikings vs Lions prediction and score projection

Minnesota win 24-21. Detroit will score more than most manage against this defense, but 6-0 and seven touchdowns conceded is not a record built on luck.

Signal carries the live number for this game, and it moves as team news arrives.

Every Week 8 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 8:15 PMPanthers @ PackersPackers 27-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMCardinals @ CowboysCowboys 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMFalcons @ BuccaneersBuccaneers 24-21Read
Sun 2:00 PMRavens @ BillsBills 27-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SteelersSteelers 23-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMColts @ JaguarsJaguars 27-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMRaiders @ JetsRaiders 23-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMVikings @ LionsVikings 24-21You are here
Sun 2:00 PMTitans @ BengalsBengals 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMChargers @ RamsRams 26-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMChiefs @ BroncosChiefs 27-24Read
Sun 5:25 PMPatriots @ DolphinsPatriots 26-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMEagles @ CommandersEagles 20-17Read
Mon 9:15 PMBears @ SeahawksSeahawks 24-21Read

The rest of the round sits in our pick record and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.

Vikings vs Lions FAQ

Who is favored, the Vikings or the Lions?

Minnesota, narrowly. Our Signal model has the Vikings as slight favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page, even on the road. Minnesota are 6-0 at +51.

What time is Vikings vs Lions?

1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at Ford Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.

Which defense has conceded fewest touchdowns?

Minnesota, with seven in six games.

Has Jared Goff thrown an interception?

Not this season. Fourteen touchdown passes and none the other way in six games.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change