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Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal predicted formations

Crystal Palace host Arsenal at Selhurst Park on Sunday, May 24 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT) on the Premier League’s final day, with Arsenal arriving as the freshly-crowned champions of the 2025-26 Premier League.

Our Crystal Palace vs Arsenal prediction starts with the title context: Arsenal, top of the table with 82 points and the title already wrapped, travel to Crystal Palace, fifteenth-placed with 45 points and safety long since secured. This is the champions’ parade away trip — Mikel Arteta’s side have been the team of the season and arrive on a four-win streak with no remaining table stake but with the kind of momentum that has carried them since April.

bet365 prices Arsenal at -125 to win on the road, with Crystal Palace at +290 and the draw at +300. The visitors are the rightful favorites — Arsenal have won 10 of their 18 away league outings, taken four points from the previous two meetings with Palace, and arrive with the confidence of a side that has just won the league.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: Best Bets & Predictions

The away side is the title-winning favorite but the markets retain signal across multiple selections.

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Arsenal to Win-125 @ bet365
(56%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Arsenal won 10 of 18 league trips and have taken four of the last six available points from Palace. Four straight league wins point to a side fully switched on for the parade.
Correct Score: 1-3 Arsenal+1400 @ bet365
(7%)
⭐⭐Both sides have scored in nine of Palace’s 18 home games. A 1-3 away win matches Arsenal’s late-season scoring form — four straight wins to seal the title with Gyokeres returning multiple goals on the road.
Viktor Gyokeres Anytime Goalscorer+125 @ bet365
(44%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Fourteen league goals from 2,223 minutes — the Swedish striker has been the difference-maker in Arsenal’s title push and is the obvious lead striker against a Palace side that has shipped goals in nine of 18 home outings.
Over 2.5 Goals-150 @ bet365
(60%)
⭐⭐⭐Arsenal away games have averaged Over 2.5 in nine of 18 trips, and Palace have scored in 14 of 18 home games — the points are settled, both sides have reason to attack.
Both Teams to Score: Yes-150 @ bet365
(60%)
⭐⭐⭐BTTS landed in nine of 18 Palace home games and nine of 18 Arsenal trips. Jean-Philippe Mateta (+160 anytime) is enough of a threat to make the away clean sheet a tougher ask than the price suggests.

Our approach: Start with Arsenal to Win at -125, layer Gyokeres anytime as the player-prop value, and add Over 2.5 as the over-friendly leg.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability

With Arsenal’s title settled, the live prediction-market story tied to this trip is the parade itself and the top-four berth Arsenal carry into next season’s Champions League. Polymarket and Kalshi have closed the title market and now price the Europa and Conference qualification battles down the table.

For this individual fixture, match-specific prediction market pricing for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for the 90-minute call. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.

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Season Form & Standings

Arsenal are champions and Crystal Palace are safely mid-table. The 2025-26 Premier League winner odds page has closed for the season and our Manchester City vs Aston Villa preview covers the second and fourth-placed sides closing out their seasons.

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal13725756926+4382
Crystal Palace15371112144049-945

Potential Match-Winners

  • Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal): 14 league goals and one assist this season — the Swedish striker has been Arsenal’s lead nine all season and the player most likely to find the net at Selhurst Park.
  • Bukayo Saka (Arsenal): Seven goals and five assists this season with 11 big chances created — the academy product is Arsenal’s leading right-side creator and a consistent set-piece threat.
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): 11 league goals this season — the French striker is Palace’s first-choice center forward and the most reliable home scoring threat.
  • Ismaila Sarr (Crystal Palace): Nine goals and one assist this season — the Senegalese winger is Palace’s second-line attacking outlet and an obvious counter-attack threat on the break.

Head-to-Head

Arsenal won the reverse 1-0 at the Emirates in October and have dominated the recent series, winning four of the last five Premier League meetings with one draw.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2025Arsenal 1-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
Apr 23, 2025Arsenal 2-2 Crystal PalacePremier League
Dec 21, 2024Crystal Palace 1-5 ArsenalPremier League
Jan 20, 2024Arsenal 5-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
Aug 21, 2023Crystal Palace 0-1 ArsenalPremier League

Recent Form

Crystal Palace: D L L D D (oldest left → most recent right)

  • May 17, 2026: Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace (D, away)
  • May 10, 2026: Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton (D, home)
  • May 3, 2026: Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace (L, away)
  • Apr 25, 2026: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace (L, away)
  • Apr 20, 2026: Crystal Palace 0-0 West Ham (D, home)

No wins in the last five league outings with three draws and two defeats — Palace’s run-in has tailed off after a steady early-spring stretch. Oliver Glasner remains without Cheick Doucoure for the season, missing Eddie Nketiah to a long-term hamstring issue with Chris Richards a doubt.

Arsenal: L W W W W

  • May 18, 2026: Arsenal 1-0 Burnley (W, home)
  • May 10, 2026: West Ham 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
  • May 2, 2026: Arsenal 3-0 Fulham (W, home)
  • Apr 25, 2026: Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle (W, home)
  • Apr 19, 2026: Manchester City 2-1 Arsenal (L, away)

Four straight wins to seal the title — Arsenal’s run-in has been peak champions form. Mikel Arteta will be missing Mikel Merino to a long-term foot issue, and deprived of Timber and White, but the underlying picture is one of a side at full health for the parade trip.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

This is the title-winning trip — Arsenal arrive as champions, Palace as a safely mid-table side, and the form line points overwhelmingly one way. Arsenal to Win at -125 with bet365 is the right call given the H2H, the away record and the Gyokeres factor, with the player prop as the value lean. Kick-off is 11:00 AM ET at Selhurst Park.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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