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Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens predicted formations

Shakhtar Donetsk host AEK Athens at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, October 14 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

No fresh fitness concerns have been flagged for either side ahead of this one. Shakhtar Donetsk are expected to lean on Isaque Silva and Gleiker Mendoza Barrios in the final third, with Marlon and Oleh Ocheretko screening in midfield and Vinícius Tobias marshaling the back line. AEK Athens travel with Luka Jović and Barnabás Varga leading the line, Răzvan Marin dictating the tempo from midfield, and Lovro Majer and Lazaros Rota supplying the creative passes from deeper positions.

US viewers can watch Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens on Paramount+.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk33%mkt 37%
DrawDraw29%mkt 28%
AEK AthensAEK Athens39%mkt 37%Our pick

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 41%. Signal says 50%.

+9points of value · both teams to score

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreShakhtar Donetsk 0-1 AEK AthensShakhtar's only output in this phase was a 1-1 draw at PSV, while AEK's low-volume, high-efficiency finishers suggest a single away goal settles a tight game.
—
15%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoShakhtar's top scoring threat, Mendoza Barrios, managed just 1 shot on target in his outing, a low attacking return that points to a clean sheet at the other end.
41%
50%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5With Shakhtar sitting on a goal difference of 0 and AEK's at +1 from their opener, neither side's underlying numbers point to a high-scoring game.
47%
56%
Value
Anytime ScorerRăzvan Marin to Score AnytimeMarin leads AEK's scoring with 2 goals from 8 shots, 4 of them on target, making him the most direct route to goal in a game expected to be low on chances.
—
40%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Shakhtar Donetsk have 1 point from 1 game in this section, a draw to show for their opening fixture, while AEK Athens sit on 3 points from 1 game after an opening win, giving them a +1 goal difference to Shakhtar Donetsk’s 0.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
AEK Athens16110010+13
Shakhtar Donetsk1810101101
Team News Predicted

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-2-3-1
D. Riznyk
Pedro Henrique
M. Matviienko
V. Bondar
Vinicius Tobias
O. Ocheretko
Marlon Gomes
G. Mendoza
Isaque
Alisson Santana
Kaua Elias

AEK Athens

4-4-2
A. Brignoli
S. Pilios
Filipe Relvas
H. Moukoudi
L. Rota
A. Koita
R. Marin
M. Vitalis
L. Majer
L. Jovic
B. Varga
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Isaque Silva (Shakhtar Donetsk): The attacking midfielder created 2 chances and claimed an assist in 89 minutes during Shakhtar’s opener, their most productive creative outlet so far.
    • Răzvan Marin (AEK Athens): Marin has scored two goals from eight shots this term, with four on target and seven chances created, giving AEK a genuine two-way midfield threat.
    • Barnabás Varga (AEK Athens): Varga has also scored 2 goals, taking 7 shots in 204 minutes to lead the line for AEK’s attack.

    Recent Form

    Shakhtar Donetsk: D

    • 2026-09-10: PSV 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk (D, away)

    Shakhtar Donetsk’s log shows a 1-1 draw at PSV on September 10, their only game in this phase, leaving them on 1 point from 1 match.

    AEK Athens: D W W

    • 2026-09-08: AEK Athens 1-0 LASK (W, home)
    • 2026-08-26: AEK Athens 4-0 Levski Sofia (W, home)
    • 2026-08-18: Levski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens (D, away)

    AEK Athens arrive in better rhythm, with a win over LASK and a win over Levski Sofia either side of a draw at Levski Sofia, a D W W sequence across their last 3 matches.

    Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction

    Our prediction: AEK Athens to win 0-1. Shakhtar Donetsk’s 1 point from 1 game shows resilience without end product, while AEK Athens’ 3 points and +1 goal difference from their opener reflect the sharper cutting edge in Varga and Jović. Expect a tight, low-scoring night that tips in AEK Athens’ favor on the road.