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Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chelsea vs Bournemouth predicted formations

Chelsea host Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, October 10 (10:00 AM ET / 9:00 AM CT / 7:00 AM PT).

A knee injury rules out João Pedro, calf trouble removes Moisés Caicedo from contention and a thigh issue keeps Reece James out, with Marco Palestra and Emmanuel Emegha also sidelined for other reasons. A groin problem leaves Cole Palmer a doubt, Mike Penders is uncertain, and an ankle issue puts Jamie Gittens in question too, which makes Morgan Rogers, who already has 3 goals and 11 chances created this season, the safer bet to lead the Chelsea attack. Bournemouth have deeper issues of their own: ankle trouble rules out Eli Kroupi, a thigh injury removes Julian Araujo, Justin Kluivert is out for other reasons, a knee injury sidelines Veljko Milosavljevic and calf trouble keeps Amine Adli out, leaving Marcus Tavernier, who already has 3 goals and 8 shots on target, to carry the away side’s attacking threat.

Chelsea’s 7 points from 5 games sit comfortably clear of Bournemouth’s 3, and goals have come thick and fast in nearly every game either side has played this season. Expect that pattern to hold at Stamford Bridge: both teams finding the net before Chelsea’s extra sharpness in the final third tells late on.

US viewers can watch Chelsea vs Bournemouth on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
ChelseaChelsea51%mkt 57%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 23%
BournemouthBournemouth26%mkt 20%Value +6

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Chelsea at 51% — no edge over the market on the result. The market’s soft on Bournemouth (+6) — our value angle.

In lineno standout edge on the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreChelsea 2-1 BournemouthMorgan Rogers and Cole Palmer have scored five goals and created 22 chances between them this season, enough craft to find a breakthrough or two against a Bournemouth defense that has already drawn three of its five games.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBournemouth have scored in four of their five league games this season, and Chelsea have conceded in every one of theirs, a combination that points toward goals at both ends.
65%
65%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Chelsea's 4-3 win over Brighton and 2-2 draw with Hull City show goals come at both ends at Stamford Bridge, while Bournemouth's own 2-2 draws with Brentford and Newcastle add to the case for Over 2.5 goals.
66%
64%
In line
Anytime ScorerMorgan Rogers — Anytime GoalscorerMorgan Rogers leads Chelsea's scoring with 3 goals from 15 shots this season, with 5 on target and 11 chances created, making him the likeliest source of a goal against Bournemouth.
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37%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Chelsea have taken 7 points from their opening 5 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Bournemouth have just 3 points from the same number of games, built from 3 draws and 2 losses without a win. Both sides share a goal difference of -2, but Chelsea’s extra wins put them in the stronger position heading into Saturday.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chelsea1052121012-27
Bournemouth17503268-23
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Team News Predicted

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
E. Martinez
L. Colwill
M. Lacroix
W. Fofana
Pep Chavarria
V. Barco
J. Henderson
Pedro Neto
M. Rogers
C. Palmer
D. Welbeck

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
D. Petrovic
A. Truffert
Antonio Silva
J. Hill
A. Smith
A. Scott
T. Adams
M. Tavernier
R. Christie
Rayan
Evanilson
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): The attacking midfielder has 3 goals and 11 chances created from 439 minutes this season, Chelsea’s most reliable creative outlet so far.
    • Cole Palmer (Chelsea): A groin issue leaves Cole Palmer a fitness doubt, but when fit the attacking midfielder has 2 goals and a team-high 11 chances created from 17 shots this season.
    • Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth): Bournemouth’s standout performer, the attacking midfielder has 3 goals from 13 shots with 8 on target, comfortably the away side’s sharpest attacking threat.

    Recent Form

    Chelsea: W W L D L

    • 2026-09-18: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (D, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (W, home)
    • 2026-08-24: Fulham 2-3 Chelsea (W, away)

    Chelsea’s form reads W-W-L-D-L across their last 5 league games: a 3-2 win at Fulham and a 4-3 win over Brighton, then a 2-1 loss at Arsenal and a 2-2 draw with Hull City, before a 3-0 defeat at Brentford most recently.

    Bournemouth: L D D D L

    • 2026-09-20: Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool (L, home)
    • 2026-09-12: Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford (D, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, away)
    • 2026-08-29: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (D, home)
    • 2026-08-23: Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth (L, away)

    Bournemouth’s form reads L-D-D-D-L across their last 5 league games: a 2-1 loss at Manchester City, a 1-1 home draw with Everton, a 2-2 away draw at Newcastle, a 2-2 home draw with Brentford, and a 1-0 home defeat to Liverpool most recently.

    Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction

    Expect goals at both ends before Chelsea’s greater quality tells. Morgan Rogers, Chelsea’s leading scorer with 3 goals already, looks the most likely source of a breakthrough, while Marcus Tavernier offers Bournemouth a route back into it. Chelsea should have enough in reserve to close this out 2-1 at Stamford Bridge.

    Squawka Signal

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