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Club Puebla vs Club Leon: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Club Puebla vs Club Leon predicted formations

Club Puebla host Club Leon at Estadio Cuauhtemoc on Friday, October 9 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).

No fresh fitness concerns have surfaced on either side for this one, so the attacking personnel seen all Apertura should carry over. For Puebla, Eduardo Mustre Torres (3 goals in 355 minutes) and Kevin Velasco Bonilla (18 chances created) have driven the goal-scoring and creative numbers, with Carlos Baltazar Agraz and Ignacio Maestro Puch adding depth up top. Leon travel with Daniel Arcila Rojas (4 goals, 16 chances created) and Diber Cambindo Abonia (3 goals from 28 shots) pushing hardest in behind the Leon attack.

This looks a cagey one. Puebla’s -1 goal difference and Leon’s +3 mark are closer than the 3-point gap between them suggests, and neither side has strung together back-to-back wins across their last 5 matches (Puebla: L-W-L-D-L; Leon: D-L-W-D-W). Expect a scrap for the only goal of the game, with the Signal model landing on a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts and under 2.5 goals as both defenses try to keep this scrappy rather than open.

US viewers can watch Club Puebla vs Club Leon on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Club PueblaClub Puebla40%mkt 33%Our pick
DrawDraw27%mkt 28%
Club LeonClub Leon33%mkt 40%

Club Puebla vs Club Leon: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 40%. Signal says 48%.

+8points of value · both teams to score

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreClub Puebla 1-0 Club LeonOur 1-0 projection fits a tight affair: 4 of Puebla's last 5 matches have been decided by a single goal or finished level.
—
11%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoPuebla were shut out 0-1 at home to Toluca last time out, and the Signal model's 1-0 read leaves Leon – winless in their last 3 on the road – off the scoresheet.
40%
48%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
47%
54%
Value
Anytime ScorerEduardo Mustre Torres to score anytimeEduardo Mustre Torres is Puebla's leading scorer with 3 goals from just 9 shots this Apertura, 4 of them on target.
—
36%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Puebla have taken 14 points from 10 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses) and sit on a -1 goal difference, while Leon have 17 points from the same 10 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and a +3 goal difference.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Club Leon5105231411+317
Club Puebla9104241112-114
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Team News Predicted

Club Puebla vs Club Leon Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Club Puebla

4-2-3-1
R. Gutierrez
F. Monarrez
J. Vargas
F. Almada
J. Pachuca
S. Sanabria
A. Organista
C. Baltazar
M. Tomas
B. Garnica
I. Maestro Puch

Club Leon

4-1-4-1
I. Martinez
S. Vegas
J. Guevara
J. Romana
I. Moreno
I. Rodriguez
I. Diaz
F. Beltran
J. Lara
J. Cortizo
D. Cambindo
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Eduardo Mustre Torres (Club Puebla): Eduardo Mustre Torres leads Puebla’s line with 3 goals in just 355 minutes this Apertura, and 4 of his 9 shots have hit the target.
    • Kevin Velasco Bonilla (Club Puebla): Kevin Velasco Bonilla is the creative heartbeat, racking up 18 chances created and 20 shots across 587 minutes, though only 1 goal has followed so far.
    • Daniel Arcila Rojas (Club Leon): Daniel Arcila Rojas is Leon’s most productive outlet, with 4 goals, 16 chances created and 13 shots on target from 658 minutes.

    Recent Form

    Club Puebla: L W L D L

    • 2026-09-27: Tigres UANL 1-0 Club Puebla (L, away)
    • 2026-09-18: Club Puebla 1-1 Atlante FC (D, home)
    • 2026-09-15: Club Puebla 0-1 Toluca (L, home)
    • 2026-09-11: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (W, away)
    • 2026-08-29: Club America 2-0 Club Puebla (L, away)

    Puebla’s last 5 reads L-W-L-D-L: a 2-0 loss at Club America, a 1-0 win at Necaxa, a 0-1 home loss to Toluca, a 1-1 home draw with Atlante, and a 1-0 loss at Tigres UANL.

    Club Leon: D L W D W

    • 2026-09-28: Club Leon 2-1 FC Juarez (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Queretaro FC 1-1 Club Leon (D, away)
    • 2026-09-14: Club Leon 2-0 Atletico San Luis (W, home)
    • 2026-09-10: Pumas UNAM 3-1 Club Leon (L, away)
    • 2026-08-28: Atlante FC 1-1 Club Leon (D, away)

    Leon’s last 5 reads D-L-W-D-W: a 1-1 draw at Atlante, a 3-1 loss at Pumas UNAM, a 2-0 home win over Atletico San Luis, a 1-1 draw at Queretaro, and a 2-1 home win over FC Juarez.

    Club Puebla vs Club Leon Prediction

    Both sides arrive with contrasting points totals – Puebla on 14, Leon on 17 – but this should be a tight, low-event night at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. Mustre Torres’s movement up top is the difference the Signal model sees, with Puebla’s home control enough to nick a 1-0 win and shut out a Leon side that has not scored more than once in any of its last 3 away trips.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — see the numbers behind Club Puebla v Club Leon.

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